Södertälje vs Nybro prediction
Chance to win · 65% and 16% in regulation
Harenstam L.StartedSV 90.3% · GAA 2.50 · 5-4-1
Eltonius P.StartedSV 87% · GAA 3.70 · 4-6-0All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 75%Full game
- 1X2WonSodertaljeodds down 1.55Confidence 68%
- Over/UnderLostU6.5odds down 1.40Confidence 70%
- HandicapWonSodertalje -0.5odds up 1.52Confidence 66%
- Banker of the day: Winner (incl. OT)WonSodertaljeodds up 1.29Confidence 93%
- Double chanceWonSodertalje or drawodds up 1.17Confidence 84%
- Draw no betWonSodertaljeodds down 1.26Confidence 80%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.12Confidence 83%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonSodertaljeodds down 2.10Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostU2.51.22Confidence 78%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The banker is the day’s best bet at short odds, not its surest result. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Sodertalje 4–1
Nybro Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–1After 60 min5–27%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost1–01st period2–121%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · 1st & 2nd30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-1
- By period 1-0, 1-0, 2-1
- Likeliest 4-1 (7%), 3-1 (5%), 4-2 (5%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formSödertälje
Nybro
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Sodertalje 2–3
Nybro - Oct 23, 2026: Nybro 3, Södertälje 1.
- Jan 30, 2026: Nybro 4, Södertälje 0.
- Dec 12, 2025: Södertälje 3, Nybro 0.
- Dec 3, 2025: Nybro 3, Södertälje 4.
- Nov 12, 2025: Södertälje 3, Nybro 5.
Last five games
Sodertalje
4-0-1 - Overtime loss, 3–4 at Kalmar, after overtime, Oct 14. Odds: Kalmar 1.90, Sodertalje 3.17.
- Win, 3–1 against Mora, Oct 11.
- Win, 3–2 against Vimmerby, after overtime, Oct 9. Odds: Sodertalje 1.43, Vimmerby 5.75.
- Win, 4–1 at MODO, Oct 7.
- Win, 5–3 against Ostersund, Oct 2.
Nybro
0-5-0 - Loss, 2–3 against Oskarshamn, Oct 14. Odds: Nybro 2.50, Oskarshamn 2.33.
- Loss, 2–4 at Almtuna, Oct 11.
- Loss, 0–2 at Vasteras, Oct 9. Odds: Vasteras 2.08, Nybro 2.95.
- Loss, 1–7 at Leksand, Oct 7.
- Loss, 3–5 against AIK, Oct 2.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period2-1
- 06:40 Goal PPG Södertälje: Souch C. assists: Norbe D., Fizer T. 1-0
- 08:49 Goal Södertälje: Hesselvall A. assists: Loimaranta V., Laavainen R. 2-0
- 16:11 Goal Nybro: Engebraten S. assists: Rohdin J. 2-1
2nd period2-1
- 03:11 Goal Nybro: Jacobsson T. assists: Rohdin J., Wytinck Z. 2-2
- 05:10 Goal Södertälje: Muzito-Bagenda D. assists: Vanderbeck A. 3-2
- 10:45 Goal Södertälje: Vayrynen T. assists: Harlestam H., Muzito-Bagenda D. 4-2
3rd period1-0
- 16:24 Goal PPG Södertälje: Loimaranta V. assists: Holst-Persson F., Laavainen R. 5-2
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 5-game losing streak for Nybro coming into this game.
- In goal: Harenstam L. for Södertälje (5-4-1 in the last 10 starts), Eltonius P. for Nybro (4-6-0 in the last 10 starts).
- Goal differential gap of 2.7 per game — Södertälje +1.0, Nybro −1.7 over their recent games.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Nybro.
- +1.6 goals at home — Södertälje averaged 4.0 at home and 2.4 away this season.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (SOD) | 1.45 | 1.70 | Drifted |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.87 | 4.36 | Shortened |
| 1X2: 2 (NYB) | 5.46 | 3.86 | Shortened |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap SOD | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Hockey Allsvenskan standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  AIK |
17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 40 | 1.176 | 65 | 44 | +21 |
| 2 |  Leksand |
17 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 39 | 1.147 | 73 | 40 | +33 |
| 3 |  Kalmar |
17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 1.000 | 57 | 45 | +12 |
| 4 |  Modo |
17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 33 | .971 | 49 | 39 | +10 |
| 5 | Sodertalje |
17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 31 | .912 | 50 | 39 | +11 |
| 6 |  Oskarshamn |
18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 29 | .806 | 69 | 61 | +8 |
| 7 |  Mora |
17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 24 | .706 | 48 | 41 | +7 |
| 8 |  BIK Karlskoga |
17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 23 | .676 | 43 | 53 | −10 |
| 9 |  Almtuna |
17 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 23 | .676 | 44 | 55 | −11 |
| 10 |  Vasteras |
17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 22 | .647 | 44 | 46 | −2 |
| 11 |  Ostersund |
17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 21 | .618 | 46 | 55 | −9 |
| 12 |  Vimmerby |
16 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 13 | .406 | 43 | 61 | −18 |
| 13 | Nybro |
17 | 5 | 12 | 0 | 13 | .382 | 33 | 54 | −21 |
| 14 |  Visby/Roma |
17 | 4 | 12 | 1 | 12 | .353 | 36 | 67 | −31 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Play Out
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Södertälje host Nybro in the Hockey Allsvenskan on Friday, October 16, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.