Sonderjyske Ishockey vs Aalborg prediction
Chance to win · 46% and 33% in regulation
Lillie T.Started6-4-0
Olofsson E.Started4-6-0All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 66%Full game
- 1X2WonSonderjyskeodds down 2.00Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonU7.5odds down 1.32Confidence 71%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonAalborg +2.5odds down 1.28Confidence 72%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonSonderjyskeodds down 1.65Confidence 58%
- Double chanceWonSonderjyske or drawodds down 1.37Confidence 69%
- Draw no betWonSonderjyskeodds down 1.60Confidence 61%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.09Confidence 85%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonSonderjyskeodds up 2.42Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU2.5odds down 1.21Confidence 76%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Sonderjyske 4–2
Aalborg Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–2After 60 min3–14%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost1–01st period2–017%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · 1st & 2nd27%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-2
- By period 1-0, 1-1, 2-1
- Likeliest 4-2 (4%), 3-1 (4%), 3-2 (4%)
Season so far
This seasonSonderjyske Ishockey
Aalborg
Head-to-head
Sonderjyske 2–3
Aalborg - Sep 28, 2026: Aalborg 1, Sonderjyske Ishockey 2.
- Feb 4, 2026: Sonderjyske Ishockey 2, Aalborg 1, after a shootout.
- Dec 16, 2025: Aalborg 4, Sonderjyske Ishockey 1.
- Nov 16, 2025: Sonderjyske Ishockey 1, Aalborg 2.
- Oct 17, 2025: Sonderjyske Ishockey 2, Aalborg 5.
Last five games
Sonderjyske
3-2-0 - Win, 3–2 at Odense Bulldogs, Oct 23. Odds: Odense 1.87, Sonderjyske 3.10.
- Win, 6–1 at Rungsted, Oct 16. Odds: Rungsted 2.16, Sonderjyske 2.72.
- Loss, 2–4 against Esbjerg, Oct 10.
- Loss, 4–6 at Esbjerg, Oct 9. Odds: Esbjerg 1.63, Sonderjyske 3.55.
- Win, 3–1 against Herlev, Oct 5.
Aalborg
1-4-0 - Loss, 1–3 against Herning Blue Fox, Oct 20. Odds: Aalborg 4.00, Herning 1.50.
- Loss, 3–5 against Rodovre Mighty Bulls, Oct 16. Odds: Aalborg 1.46, Rodovre 5.33.
- Loss, 1–3 at Herlev, Oct 12. Odds: Herlev 1.83, Aalborg 3.48.
- Win, 3–1 at Rodovre Mighty Bulls, Oct 11.
- Loss, 0–1 against Rungsted, Oct 4.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period2-0
- 11:28 Goal Sonderjyske Ishockey: Lundgren J. assists: Madsen P., Borring M. 1-0
- 18:58 Goal Sonderjyske Ishockey: Almquist M. assists: Schmidt Nielsen V. 2-0
2nd period1-1
- 00:26 Goal Sonderjyske Ishockey: Mogensen A. assists: Lukosevicius J., Schmidt Nielsen V. 3-0
- 17:19 Goal Aalborg: Dornbach C. assists: Ladehoff T., Lindelof A. 3-1
3rd period0-0
No goals or penalties.
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 3-game losing streak for Aalborg coming into this game.
- Rest advantage: 5 days off for Aalborg, 2 for Sonderjyske Ishockey.
- In goal: Lillie T. for Sonderjyske Ishockey (6-4-0 in the last 10 starts), Olofsson E. for Aalborg (4-6-0 in the last 10 starts).
- 4-1-0 away for Aalborg this season.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Aalborg.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (SON) | 1.91 | 1.95 | Drifted |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.50 | 4.30 | Shortened |
| 1X2: 2 (AAL) | 2.90 | 2.90 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap SON | −1.5 | −0.5 | Line moved |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Metal Ligaen standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Herning Blue Fox |
17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 45 | 1.324 | 78 | 30 | +48 |
| 2 |  Frederikshavn |
17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 36 | 1.059 | 60 | 49 | +11 |
| 3 |  Esbjerg |
17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 28 | .824 | 52 | 53 | −1 |
| 4 | Sonderjyske Ishockey |
16 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 24 | .750 | 44 | 53 | −9 |
| 5 |  Odense Bulldogs |
17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 23 | .676 | 49 | 47 | +2 |
| 6 |  Herlev |
16 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 20 | .625 | 46 | 48 | −2 |
| 7 |  Rungsted |
17 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 18 | .529 | 44 | 57 | −13 |
| 8 |  Rodovre Mighty Bulls |
17 | 6 | 11 | 0 | 16 | .471 | 40 | 63 | −23 |
| 9 | Aalborg |
16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 15 | .469 | 36 | 49 | −13 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Sonderjyske Ishockey host Aalborg in the Metal Ligaen on Monday, October 26, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.