Sonderjyske Ishockey vs Frederikshavn prediction
Chance to win · 43% and 36% in regulation
Lillie T.Started7-3-0
Vay A.Started5-4-1All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 61%Full game
- 1X2LostSonderjyskeodds down 2.05Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonO5.5odds up 1.67Confidence 53%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonFrederikshavn +2.5odds down 1.26Confidence 74%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostSonderjyskeodds down 1.67Confidence 54%
- Double chanceLostSonderjyske or drawodds down 1.38Confidence 66%
- Draw no betLostSonderjyskeodds down 1.62Confidence 56%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.09Confidence 87%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostSonderjyskeodds down 2.52Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds up 1.83Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Sonderjyske 4–2
Frederikshavn Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–2After 60 min2–74%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period0–37%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals2nd · 4 goals27%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-2
- By period 2-0, 0-1, 2-1
- Likeliest 4-2 (4%), 5-3 (2%), 4-3 (2%)
Season so far
This seasonSonderjyske Ishockey
Frederikshavn
Head-to-head
Sonderjyske 3–2
Frederikshavn - Aug 30, 2026: Frederikshavn 7, Sonderjyske Ishockey 3.
- Feb 10, 2026: Sonderjyske Ishockey 8, Frederikshavn 1.
- Jan 4, 2026: Frederikshavn 2, Sonderjyske Ishockey 5.
- Nov 19, 2025: Frederikshavn 5, Sonderjyske Ishockey 1.
- Nov 10, 2025: Sonderjyske Ishockey 5, Frederikshavn 1.
Last five games
Sonderjyske
3-2-0 - Win, 3–1 against Aalborg, Oct 26. Odds: Sonderjyske 1.95, Aalborg 2.90.
- Win, 3–2 at Odense Bulldogs, Oct 23. Odds: Odense 1.87, Sonderjyske 3.10.
- Win, 6–1 at Rungsted, Oct 16. Odds: Rungsted 2.16, Sonderjyske 2.72.
- Loss, 2–4 against Esbjerg, Oct 10.
- Loss, 4–6 at Esbjerg, Oct 9. Odds: Esbjerg 1.63, Sonderjyske 3.55.
Frederikshavn
3-1-1 - Win, 5–2 against Odense Bulldogs, Oct 26. Odds: Frederikshavn 2.30, Odense 2.40.
- Win, 4–1 against Rungsted, Oct 23. Odds: Frederikshavn 2.18, Rungsted 2.45.
- Win, 4–2 at Rodovre Mighty Bulls, Oct 18. Odds: Rodovre 2.42, Frederikshavn 2.07.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 at Herlev, after overtime, Oct 16. Odds: Herlev 1.45, Frederikshavn 4.35.
- Loss, 0–6 against Herning Blue Fox, Oct 9. Odds: Frederikshavn 4.60, Herning 1.44.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-3
- 09:58 Goal PPG Frederikshavn: Bertelsen M. assists: Schioldan A., Frederiksen C. 0-1
- 10:41 Goal Frederikshavn: Stenbakken A. assists: Karppinen A. 0-2
- 15:07 Goal Frederikshavn: Nielsen G. assists: Halme A. 0-3
2nd period1-3
- 02:32 Goal Frederikshavn: Nielsen G. assists: Gymer F. 0-4
- 05:10 Goal Frederikshavn: Nielsen G. assists: Halme A., Schioldan A. 0-5
- 15:52 Goal Frederikshavn: Nielsen G. 0-6
- 19:58 Goal Sonderjyske Ishockey: Karabacek V. assists: Almquist M., Lundgren J. 1-6
3rd period1-1
- 02:20 Goal PPG Frederikshavn: Schioldan A. assists: Nielsen G., Frederiksen C. 1-7
- 06:45 Goal Sonderjyske Ishockey: Carlsen M. assists: Vitolins R. 2-7
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 3-game winning streak for Sonderjyske Ishockey coming into this game.
- 3-game winning streak for Frederikshavn coming into this game.
- In goal: Lillie T. for Sonderjyske Ishockey (7-3-0 in the last 10 starts), Vay A. for Frederikshavn (5-4-1 in the last 10 starts).
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Sonderjyske Ishockey.
- 7.6 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (SON) | 2.05 | 1.73 | Shortened |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.30 | 4.75 | Drifted |
| 1X2: 2 (FRE) | 2.70 | 3.30 | Drifted |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap SON | −1.5 | −0.5 | Line moved |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Metal Ligaen standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Herning Blue Fox |
17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 45 | 1.324 | 78 | 30 | +48 |
| 2 | Frederikshavn |
17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 36 | 1.059 | 60 | 49 | +11 |
| 3 |  Esbjerg |
17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 28 | .824 | 52 | 53 | −1 |
| 4 | Sonderjyske Ishockey |
16 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 24 | .750 | 44 | 53 | −9 |
| 5 |  Odense Bulldogs |
17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 23 | .676 | 49 | 47 | +2 |
| 6 |  Herlev |
16 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 20 | .625 | 46 | 48 | −2 |
| 7 |  Rungsted |
17 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 18 | .529 | 44 | 57 | −13 |
| 8 |  Rodovre Mighty Bulls |
17 | 6 | 11 | 0 | 16 | .471 | 40 | 63 | −23 |
| 9 |  Aalborg |
16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 15 | .469 | 36 | 49 | −13 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Sonderjyske Ishockey host Frederikshavn in the Metal Ligaen on Friday, October 30, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.