Soo Greyhounds vs Guelph Storm prediction
Chance to win · 42% and 36% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 62%Full game
- 1X2LostSault Ste Marieodds down 3.55Confidence 51%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonU7.51.42Confidence 71%
- HandicapWonSault Ste Marie +1.5odds down 1.65Confidence 68%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostSault Ste Marieodds down 2.55Confidence 52%
- Double chanceLostSault Ste Marie or drawodds down 1.85Confidence 65%
- Draw no betLostSault Ste Marieodds down 2.72Confidence 51%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesConfidence 89%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostSault Ste Marieodds down 3.35Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds up 1.61Confidence 57%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: an edge above the model’s usual ceiling; the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost5–2After 60 min3–43%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period1–16%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goals3rd · 3 goals29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 5-2
- By period 2-0, 2-1, 1-1
- Likeliest 5-2 (4%), 4-1 (3%), 4-2 (3%)
Season so far
This seasonHead-to-head
- Mar 7, 2026: Guelph Storm 0, Soo Greyhounds 2.
- Feb 21, 2026: Soo Greyhounds 0, Guelph Storm 1.
- Jan 16, 2026: Guelph Storm 1, Soo Greyhounds 3.
- Nov 7, 2025: Soo Greyhounds 2, Guelph Storm 4.
- Feb 21, 2025: Soo Greyhounds 4, Guelph Storm 3, after overtime.
Last five games
- Win, 5–2 against Saginaw Spirit, Oct 28. Odds: Sault Ste Marie 2.05, Saginaw 2.70.
- Loss, 0–1 at Flint Firebirds, Oct 25. Odds: Flint 2.30, Sault Ste Marie 2.50.
- Loss, 3–4 at Windsor Spitfires, Oct 24. Odds: Windsor 2.15, Sault Ste Marie 2.80.
- Win, 5–4 against Windsor Spitfires, after overtime, Oct 22. Odds: Sault Ste Marie 1.80, Windsor 3.45.
- Loss, 2–5 at Brantford Bulldogs, Oct 18. Odds: Brantford 2.05, Sault Ste Marie 2.87.
- Win, 6–5 against Kitchener Rangers, after overtime, Oct 25. Odds: Guelph 1.77, Kitchener 3.60.
- Loss, 3–6 at Kitchener Rangers, Oct 23. Odds: Kitchener 3.70, Guelph 1.72.
- Win, 5–2 against Sudbury Wolves, Oct 18. Odds: Guelph 1.72, Sudbury 3.65.
- Win, 3–2 against Flint Firebirds, after overtime, Oct 16. Odds: Guelph 1.40, Flint 5.50.
- Win, 5–2 at Sarnia Sting, Oct 14. Odds: Sarnia 4.95, Guelph 1.46.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-1
- 09:52 Goal PPG Soo Greyhounds: Hayes T. assists: Laus N., McKenzie Q. 1-0
- 13:31 Goal PPG Guelph Storm: Shybinskyi I. assists: Czata E., Hopkins T. 1-1
2nd period1-1
- 14:49 Goal Guelph Storm: Stevens C. assists: Dravecky V. 1-2
- 16:37 Goal SHG Soo Greyhounds: Hayes T. assists: McKenzie Q. 2-2
3rd period1-2
- 05:12 Goal PPG Guelph Storm: Czata E. assists: Hopkins T., Roobroeck R. 2-3
- 16:02 Goal Guelph Storm: Hopkins T. assists: Topp R. 2-4
- 19:11 Goal Soo Greyhounds: Martin J. assists: McKenzie Q., Fitzgerald C. 3-4
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Soo Greyhounds dropped from 2.65 to 2.22 since they were first published.
- Rest advantage: 4 days off for Guelph Storm, 1 for Soo Greyhounds.
- 6-1-1 at home for Soo Greyhounds this season.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Soo Greyhounds.
- 4-1-0 in the last five for Guelph Storm.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (SOO) | 2.80 | 2.80 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.33 | 4.33 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (GUE) | 2.05 | 2.05 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 6.5 | 6.5 | No change |
| Handicap SOO | +1.5 | +1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
OHL standings
Regular Season · Western Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 30 | .833 | 81 | 53 | +28 | |
| 2 | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 26 | .619 | 70 | 69 | +1 | |
| 3 | 19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 25 | .658 | 72 | 58 | +14 | |
| 4 | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 24 | .706 | 71 | 59 | +12 | |
| 5 | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 23 | .676 | 64 | 50 | +14 | |
| 6 | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 23 | .605 | 61 | 56 | +5 | |
| 7 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 22 | .579 | 60 | 65 | −5 | |
| 8 | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 19 | .500 | 70 | 68 | +2 | |
| 9 | 20 | 8 | 11 | 1 | 17 | .425 | 76 | 84 | −8 | |
| 10 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 15 | .395 | 49 | 78 | −29 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Soo Greyhounds host Guelph Storm in the OHL on Friday, October 30, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.