Soo Greyhounds vs Windsor Spitfires prediction
Chance to win · 41% and 37% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 62%Full game
- 1X2LostSault Ste Marieodds down 2.00Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderLostU7.5odds up 1.32Confidence 71%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonWindsor +1.5odds up 1.47Confidence 67%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonSault Ste Marieodds down 1.61Confidence 53%
- Double chanceWonSault Ste Marie or drawodds down 1.34Confidence 66%
- Draw no betPushSault Ste Marieodds down 1.55Confidence 54%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.05Confidence 89%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostSault Ste Marieodds down 2.40Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds down 1.70Confidence 56%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min4–43%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period2–27%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goals1st · 4 goals29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 2-0, 1-2, 0-0
- Likeliest 3-2 (3%), 4-3 (2%), 2-1 (2%)
Season so far
This seasonHead-to-head
- Oct 24, 2026: Windsor Spitfires 4, Soo Greyhounds 3.
- Mar 22, 2026: Soo Greyhounds 3, Windsor Spitfires 5.
- Mar 12, 2026: Windsor Spitfires 3, Soo Greyhounds 4, after overtime.
- Feb 8, 2026: Soo Greyhounds 5, Windsor Spitfires 2.
- Dec 18, 2025: Windsor Spitfires 6, Soo Greyhounds 2.
Last five games
- Loss, 2–5 at Brantford Bulldogs, Oct 18. Odds: Brantford 2.05, Sault Ste Marie 2.87.
- Win, 3–1 at Erie Otters, Oct 16. Odds: Erie 2.46, Sault Ste Marie 2.21.
- Win, 5–4 at Niagara IceDogs, after overtime, Oct 15. Odds: Niagara 3.45, Sault Ste Marie 1.77.
- Overtime loss, 1–2 against Peterborough Petes, after overtime, Oct 10.
- Win, 3–2 against Kitchener Rangers, after overtime, Oct 9. Odds: Sault Ste Marie 2.27, Kitchener 2.37.
- Win, 11–3 against Owen Sound Attack, Oct 16. Odds: Windsor 1.80, Owen Sound 3.23.
- Loss, 2–6 against Sudbury Wolves, Oct 15. Odds: Windsor 2.76, Sudbury 2.11.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 against Saginaw Spirit, after a shootout, Oct 12. Odds: Windsor 2.41, Saginaw 2.34.
- Loss, 1–5 against Oshawa Generals, Oct 10.
- Win, 4–1 at Owen Sound Attack, Oct 3.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period2-2
- 13:44 Goal Soo Greyhounds: Fitzgerald C. assists: McKenzie Q., Winkelhofer J. 1-0
- 14:51 Goal Soo Greyhounds: Croskery C. assists: Szongoth D., Anderson C. 2-0
- 16:34 Goal Windsor Spitfires: Bergeron T. assists: Gram D. 2-1
- 18:41 Goal PPG Windsor Spitfires: Yakushevsky B. assists: Cristoforo A., Harvey C. 2-2
2nd period1-0
- 17:34 Goal PPG Soo Greyhounds: Laus N. assists: Hayes T., Fitzgerald C. 3-2
3rd period1-2
- 09:32 Goal PPG Windsor Spitfires: McLaughlin J. assists: Debruyn J., Cristoforo A. 3-3
- 10:35 Goal PPG Windsor Spitfires: Yakushevsky B. assists: Cristoforo A., Debruyn J. 3-4
- 15:47 Goal Soo Greyhounds: Winkelhofer J. assists: Charron J., Long N. 4-4
Overtime1-0
- 02:58 Goal Soo Greyhounds: Croskery C. assists: Brown C., Laus N. 5-4
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Soo Greyhounds dropped from 1.62 to 1.45 since they were first published.
- Rest advantage: 5 days off for Windsor Spitfires, 3 for Soo Greyhounds.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Windsor Spitfires.
- 7.4 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 6.5.
- 1st vs 2nd in the OHL standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (SOO) | 1.80 | 1.80 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.05 | 4.05 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (WIN) | 3.45 | 3.45 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 6 | 6.5 | Line raised |
| Handicap SOO | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
OHL standings
Regular Season · West Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 26 | .619 | 70 | 69 | +1 | |
| 2 | 19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 25 | .658 | 72 | 58 | +14 | |
| 3 | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 23 | .676 | 64 | 50 | +14 | |
| 4 | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 19 | .500 | 70 | 68 | +2 | |
| 5 | 20 | 8 | 11 | 1 | 17 | .425 | 76 | 84 | −8 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Soo Greyhounds host Windsor Spitfires in the OHL on Thursday, October 22, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.