Sparta Prague U20 vs Mountfield HK U20 prediction
Chance to win · 60% and 23% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 68%Full game
- 1X2WonSparta U20odds down 1.45Confidence 62%
- Over/UnderWonO5.5odds down 1.46Confidence 71%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapLostHradec U20 +1.51.91Confidence 53%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonSparta U201.24Confidence 70%
- Double chanceWonSparta U20 or drawConfidence 78%
- Draw no betWonSparta U20Confidence 74%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesConfidence 89%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonSparta U20Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds down 1.65Confidence 60%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–3After 60 min5–13%chance
- 1st period correct scoreWon2–01st period2–010%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goals3rd · 3 goals28%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-3
- By period 2-0, 1-2, 1-1
- Likeliest 4-3 (3%), 5-4 (1%), 6-5 (1%)
Season so far
This seasonHead-to-head
- Mar 7, 2026: Sparta Prague U20 3, Mountfield HK U20 4.
- Jan 30, 2026: Sparta Prague U20 3, Mountfield HK U20 5.
- Jan 9, 2026: Mountfield HK U20 3, Sparta Prague U20 4.
- Dec 14, 2025: Sparta Prague U20 5, Mountfield HK U20 4, after a shootout.
- Oct 18, 2025: Mountfield HK U20 3, Sparta Prague U20 4, after overtime.
Last five games
- Win, 6–4 against Pardubice U20, Oct 16. Odds: Sparta U20 2.30, Pardubice U20 2.20.
- Win, 5–3 at Liberec U20, Oct 10.
- Loss, 1–2 at Mlada Boleslav U20, Oct 9. Odds: Boleslav U20 2.35, Sparta U20 2.32.
- Win, 6–3 against Ceske Budejovice U20, Oct 2.
- Win, 4–2 against Kladno U20, Sep 28.
- Win, 11–4 at Kladno U20, Oct 16. Odds: Kladno U20 2.62, Hradec U20 1.91.
- Loss, 1–8 against Karlovy Vary U20, Oct 10.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 against Litvinov U20, after a shootout, Oct 9. Odds: Hradec U20 1.80, Litvinov U20 3.20.
- Win, 5–2 at Slavia Prague U20, Oct 3.
- Loss, 2–5 at Plzen U20, Oct 2.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period2-0
- 12:40 Goal Sparta Prague U20: Cvikl J. assists: Prichodko S., Petrovic D. 1-0
- 16:40 Goal Sparta Prague U20: Petrovic D. assists: Cvikl J., Burda A. 2-0
2nd period1-0
- 18:07 Goal Sparta Prague U20: Zubek P. 3-0
3rd period2-1
- 05:00 Goal PPG Sparta Prague U20: Novak B. assists: Zubek P., Hlinka T. 4-0
- 05:50 Goal Sparta Prague U20: Cvikl J. assists: Petrovic D. 5-0
- 16:03 Goal PPG Mountfield HK U20: Jon J. assists: Cerny S. 5-1
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Second game in two days for both teams — Sparta Prague U20 and Mountfield HK U20 played yesterday.
- 6-0-1 at home for Sparta Prague U20 this season.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Sparta Prague U20.
- 4-1-0 in the last five for Sparta Prague U20.
- 7.6 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 6.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (SPU) | 1.43 | 1.47 | Drifted |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 5.00 | 4.75 | Shortened |
| 1X2: 2 (MHU) | 4.50 | 4.30 | Shortened |
| Over/Under line | 6.5 | 6.5 | No change |
| Handicap SPU | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
ELJ standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 39 | 1.083 | 57 | 32 | +25 | |
| 2 | 18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 39 | 1.083 | 75 | 53 | +22 | |
| 3 | 18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 38 | 1.056 | 72 | 48 | +24 | |
| 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 37 | 1.028 | 67 | 42 | +25 | |
| 5 | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 36 | 1.059 | 79 | 42 | +37 | |
| 6 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 31 | .861 | 46 | 39 | +7 | |
| 7 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 29 | .853 | 42 | 48 | −6 | |
| 8 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 27 | .794 | 51 | 45 | +6 | |
| 9 | 18 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 26 | .722 | 39 | 46 | −7 | |
| 10 | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 25 | .658 | 63 | 63 | 0 | |
| 11 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 21 | .618 | 55 | 57 | −2 | |
| 12 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 20 | .556 | 44 | 56 | −12 | |
| 13 | 18 | 7 | 10 | 1 | 20 | .556 | 44 | 60 | −16 | |
| 14 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 17 | .500 | 46 | 74 | −28 | |
| 15 | 16 | 3 | 11 | 2 | 10 | .313 | 36 | 67 | −31 | |
| 16 | 16 | 1 | 13 | 2 | 5 | .156 | 42 | 86 | −44 |
- Winners stage
- Losers stage
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Sparta Prague U20 host Mountfield HK U20 in the ELJ on Saturday, October 17, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.