Sparta Prague U20 vs Poruba U20 prediction
Chance to win · 62% and 21% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 69%Full game
- 1X2WonSparta U201.44Confidence 64%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonO4.51.31Confidence 71%
- HandicapWonSparta U20 -0.5Confidence 65%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonSparta U201.24Confidence 74%
- Double chanceWonSparta U20 or drawConfidence 81%
- Draw no betWonSparta U20Confidence 77%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesConfidence 86%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostSparta U20Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.51.77Confidence 55%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–1After 60 min4–36%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period2–210%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals1st · 4 goals28%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-1
- By period 2-0, 0-0, 2-1
- Likeliest 4-1 (6%), 5-2 (5%), 4-2 (5%)
Season so far
This seasonHead-to-head
- Sep 5, 2026: Poruba U20 5, Sparta Prague U20 6, after a shootout.
- Feb 28, 2026: Sparta Prague U20 9, Poruba U20 2.
- Feb 14, 2026: Poruba U20 3, Sparta Prague U20 6.
- Jan 17, 2026: Sparta Prague U20 2, Poruba U20 4.
- Nov 22, 2025: Sparta Prague U20 3, Poruba U20 1.
Last five games
- Loss, 2–3 against Jihlava U20, Oct 19. Odds: Sparta U20 1.36, Jihlava U20 5.90.
- Win, 5–1 against Mountfield HK U20, Oct 17. Odds: Sparta U20 1.47, Hradec U20 4.30.
- Win, 6–4 against Pardubice U20, Oct 16. Odds: Sparta U20 2.30, Pardubice U20 2.20.
- Win, 5–3 at Liberec U20, Oct 10.
- Loss, 1–2 at Mlada Boleslav U20, Oct 9. Odds: Boleslav U20 2.35, Sparta U20 2.32.
- Loss, 2–3 at Trinec U20, Oct 17. Odds: Trinec U20 1.43, Poruba U20 5.00.
- Win, 2–1 at Vitkovice U20, Oct 16. Odds: Vitkovice U20 1.68, Poruba U20 3.60.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 against Slavia Prague U20, after overtime, Oct 10. Odds: Poruba U20 2.20, Slavia U20 2.35.
- Loss, 3–5 against Plzen U20, Oct 8.
- Loss, 1–3 at Mlada Boleslav U20, Oct 3.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period2-2
- 05:50 Goal Sparta Prague U20: Stekly V. assists: Cizek J., Burda A. 1-0
- 07:40 Goal Poruba U20: Zidek J. assists: Latvens R. 1-1
- 08:58 Goal PPG Poruba U20: Zduba J. assists: Dietrich V., Fusek M. 1-2
- 11:01 Goal Sparta Prague U20: Holoubek S. assists: Stekly V., Lucan J. 2-2
2nd period1-0
- 05:43 Goal PPG Sparta Prague U20: Nejedly R. assists: Stekly V., Zubek P. 3-2
3rd period1-1
- 09:16 Goal Sparta Prague U20: Cizek J. assists: Sichtar S. 4-2
- 09:58 Goal Poruba U20: Bodnar M. assists: Vaculik O., Dietrich V. 4-3
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Rest advantage: 5 days off for Poruba U20, 3 for Sparta Prague U20.
- 7-1-1 at home for Sparta Prague U20 this season.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Sparta Prague U20.
- 1-3-1 in the last five for Poruba U20.
- 8.2 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (SPU) | 1.45 | 1.45 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.50 | 4.75 | Drifted |
| 1X2: 2 (POR) | 4.33 | 4.90 | Drifted |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap SPU | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
ELJ standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 39 | 1.083 | 57 | 32 | +25 | |
| 2 | 18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 39 | 1.083 | 75 | 53 | +22 | |
| 3 | 18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 38 | 1.056 | 72 | 48 | +24 | |
| 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 37 | 1.028 | 67 | 42 | +25 | |
| 5 | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 36 | 1.059 | 79 | 42 | +37 | |
| 6 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 31 | .861 | 46 | 39 | +7 | |
| 7 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 29 | .853 | 42 | 48 | −6 | |
| 8 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 27 | .794 | 51 | 45 | +6 | |
| 9 | 18 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 26 | .722 | 39 | 46 | −7 | |
| 10 | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 25 | .658 | 63 | 63 | 0 | |
| 11 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 21 | .618 | 55 | 57 | −2 | |
| 12 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 20 | .556 | 44 | 56 | −12 | |
| 13 | 18 | 7 | 10 | 1 | 20 | .556 | 44 | 60 | −16 | |
| 14 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 17 | .500 | 46 | 74 | −28 | |
| 15 | 16 | 3 | 11 | 2 | 10 | .313 | 36 | 67 | −31 | |
| 16 | 16 | 1 | 13 | 2 | 5 | .156 | 42 | 86 | −44 |
- Winners stage
- Losers stage
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Sparta Prague U20 host Poruba U20 in the ELJ on Friday, October 23, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.