Sparta Prague vs Olomouc prediction
Chance to win · 65% and 17% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 75%Full game
- 1X2LostSparta Pragueodds up 1.34Confidence 67%
- Over/UnderWonU6.5odds down 1.39Confidence 71%
- HandicapWonOlomouc +3.51.26Confidence 74%
- Banker of the day: Winner (incl. OT)WonSparta Pragueodds up 1.20Confidence 92%
- Double chanceWonSparta Prague or drawodds up 1.10Confidence 83%
- Draw no betPushSparta Pragueodds up 1.13Confidence 79%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds down 1.19Confidence 83%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostSparta Pragueodds up 1.86Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU2.51.19Confidence 78%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The banker is the day’s best bet at short odds, not its surest result. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–1After 60 min1–17%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost1–01st period0–021%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goalsTie · 2nd & 3rd28%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-1
- By period 1-0, 2-1, 1-0
- Likeliest 4-1 (7%), 3-1 (5%), 4-2 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Sep 16, 2026: Olomouc 2, Sparta Prague 5.
- Jan 26, 2026: Sparta Prague 6, Olomouc 3.
- Dec 23, 2025: Sparta Prague 7, Olomouc 2.
- Oct 31, 2025: Olomouc 1, Sparta Prague 4.
- Sep 23, 2025: Olomouc 4, Sparta Prague 2.
Last five games
- Loss, 1–3 at Liberec, Oct 23. Odds: Liberec 2.45, Sparta Prague 2.40.
- Loss, 1–2 against Trinec, Oct 18. Odds: Sparta Prague 2.20, Trinec 2.35.
- Win, 2–0 at Plzen, Oct 16. Odds: Plzen 2.40, Sparta Prague 2.54.
- Win, 3–0 against Vitkovice, Oct 11. Odds: Sparta Prague 1.55, Vitkovice 4.65.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 against Kometa Brno, after overtime, Oct 8.
- Win, 4–2 against Mlada Boleslav, Oct 22. Odds: Olomouc 3.10, Mlada Boleslav 2.05.
- Loss, 1–4 against Pardubice, Oct 18. Odds: Olomouc 6.60, Pardubice 1.40.
- Loss, 0–5 against Karlovy Vary, Oct 16. Odds: Olomouc 3.13, Karlovy Vary 2.00.
- Loss, 1–3 at Mountfield HK, Oct 11. Odds: Hradec Kralove 1.56, Olomouc 4.60.
- Loss, 1–3 at Litvinov, Oct 9. Odds: Litvinov 1.79, Olomouc 3.45.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-0
- 08:17 2 min Olomouc: Senyshyn Z. Holding
- 14:15 2 min Olomouc: Orsava J. Tripping
- 18:05 2 min Olomouc: Orsava J. Tripping
2nd period1-0
- 01:14 2 min Sparta Prague: Blumel M. High sticking
- 10:49 2 min Sparta Prague: Michalek M. High sticking
- 15:42 Goal Sparta Prague: Repik M. assists: Hradec V., Seppala N. 1-0
- 16:39 2 min Sparta Prague: Krejcik J. Tripping
3rd period0-1
- 03:07 2 min Olomouc: Gewiese P. Hooking
- 08:02 2 min Sparta Prague: Spacek M. Tripping
- 17:52 Goal Olomouc: Kos J. assists: Freibergs R., Hercik D. 1-1
Overtime1-0
- 03:55 2 min Olomouc: Freibergs R. High sticking
- 04:34 Goal PPG Sparta Prague: Blumel M. assists: Spacek M., Chlapik F. 2-1
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Second game in two days for Sparta Prague, who played yesterday.
- 1-4-0 away for Olomouc this season.
- In goal: Kovar J. for Sparta Prague (4-4-2 in the last 10 starts), Cichon O. for Olomouc (3-7-0 in the last 10 starts).
- Goal differential gap of 2.3 per game — Sparta Prague +0.2, Olomouc −2.1 over their recent games.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Sparta Prague.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (SPA) | 1.36 | 1.36 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 5.75 | 5.75 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (OLO) | 6.50 | 6.50 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap SPA | −2.5 | −1.5 | Line moved |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Extraliga standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 39 | 1.219 | 64 | 38 | +26 | |
| 2 | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 36 | 1.059 | 64 | 43 | +21 | |
| 3 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 30 | .882 | 53 | 49 | +4 | |
| 4 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 28 | .824 | 41 | 33 | +8 | |
| 5 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 26 | .765 | 45 | 47 | −2 | |
| 6 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 25 | .735 | 45 | 40 | +5 | |
| 7 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 25 | .735 | 44 | 42 | +2 | |
| 8 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 24 | .750 | 44 | 43 | +1 | |
| 9 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 24 | .750 | 43 | 42 | +1 | |
| 10 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 24 | .750 | 43 | 43 | 0 | |
| 11 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 21 | .618 | 36 | 45 | −9 | |
| 12 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 17 | .500 | 35 | 57 | −22 | |
| 13 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 16 | .533 | 37 | 49 | −12 | |
| 14 | 17 | 4 | 11 | 2 | 13 | .382 | 32 | 55 | −23 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Relegation
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Sparta Prague host Olomouc in the Extraliga on Saturday, October 24, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.