Sparta Prague vs Trinec prediction
Chance to win · 33% and 46% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 66%Full game
- 1X2WonTrinecodds up 2.42Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonU6.5odds down 1.42Confidence 71%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonTrinec +1.5odds up 1.28Confidence 72%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonTrinecodds up 1.90Confidence 59%
- Double chanceWonTrinec or drawodds up 1.49Confidence 69%
- Draw no betWonTrinecodds up 1.86Confidence 61%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.09Confidence 86%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostTrinecodds up 2.80Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU2.5odds down 1.23Confidence 77%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost1–4After 60 min1–24%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–11st period0–017%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goals3rd · 2 goals28%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 1-4
- By period 0-1, 1-2, 0-1
- Likeliest 1-4 (4%), 2-3 (4%), 1-3 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Jan 11, 2026: Trinec 5, Sparta Prague 3.
- Nov 30, 2025: Trinec 1, Sparta Prague 2.
- Oct 21, 2025: Sparta Prague 1, Trinec 4.
- Sep 12, 2025: Sparta Prague 5, Trinec 2.
- Mar 24, 2025: Sparta Prague 3, Trinec 2.
Last five games
- Win, 2–0 at Plzen, Oct 16. Odds: Plzen 2.40, Sparta Prague 2.54.
- Win, 3–0 against Vitkovice, Oct 11. Odds: Sparta Prague 1.55, Vitkovice 4.65.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 against Kometa Brno, after overtime, Oct 8.
- Loss, 4–6 at Pardubice, Oct 4.
- Win, 4–2 against Ceske Budejovice, Oct 1.
- Win, 3–0 against Mlada Boleslav, Oct 16. Odds: Trinec 1.40, Mlada Boleslav 5.00.
- Overtime loss, 4–5 at Pardubice, after overtime, Oct 11. Odds: Pardubice 2.11, Trinec 2.82.
- Win, 5–2 against Mountfield HK, Oct 9. Odds: Trinec 1.63, Hradec Kralove 4.10.
- Win, 9–0 at Olomouc, Oct 4.
- Win, 3–2 against Litvinov, Oct 2.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-0
- 19:18 2 min Sparta Prague: Seppala N. Delay of game
2nd period0-1
- 03:57 2 min Trinec: Galvas J. Tripping
- 07:43 2 min Trinec: Kubiesa M. Tripping
- 12:39 Goal Trinec: Ruzicka Mart. assists: Marincin M., Roman M. 0-1
3rd period1-1
- 03:46 Goal Sparta Prague: Spacek M. assists: Seppala M., Chlapik F. 1-1
- 11:45 2 min Sparta Prague: Masin D. Interference
- 13:58 Goal Trinec: Hudacek L. assists: Nestrasil A., Vozenilek D. 1-2
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- In goal: Korenar J. for Sparta Prague (6-2-2 in the last 10 starts), Mazanec M. for Trinec (9-1-0 in the last 10 starts).
- Goal differential gap of 2.4 per game — Sparta Prague +0.3, Trinec +2.7 over their recent games.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Sparta Prague.
- 4-0-1 in the last five for Trinec.
- 5.6 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (SPA) | 2.20 | 2.20 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 3.85 | 3.85 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (TRI) | 2.35 | 2.35 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap SPA | −1.5 | −0.5 | Line moved |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Extraliga standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 39 | 1.219 | 64 | 38 | +26 | |
| 2 | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 36 | 1.059 | 64 | 43 | +21 | |
| 3 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 30 | .882 | 53 | 49 | +4 | |
| 4 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 28 | .824 | 41 | 33 | +8 | |
| 5 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 26 | .765 | 45 | 47 | −2 | |
| 6 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 25 | .735 | 45 | 40 | +5 | |
| 7 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 25 | .735 | 44 | 42 | +2 | |
| 8 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 24 | .750 | 44 | 43 | +1 | |
| 9 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 24 | .750 | 43 | 42 | +1 | |
| 10 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 24 | .750 | 43 | 43 | 0 | |
| 11 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 21 | .618 | 36 | 45 | −9 | |
| 12 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 17 | .500 | 35 | 57 | −22 | |
| 13 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 16 | .533 | 37 | 49 | −12 | |
| 14 | 17 | 4 | 11 | 2 | 13 | .382 | 32 | 55 | −23 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Relegation
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Sparta Prague host Trinec in the Extraliga on Sunday, October 18, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.