Spartak Moscow vs Cherepovets prediction
Chance to win · 46% and 31% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 64%Full game
- 1X2WonSpartak Moscowodds down 1.92Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonU6.5odds down 1.36Confidence 77%
- HandicapLostCherepovets +1.51.43Confidence 66%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonSpartak Moscowodds down 1.55Confidence 59%
- Best tip of the game: Double chanceWonSpartak Moscow or drawodds down 1.32Confidence 70%
- Draw no betWonSpartak Moscowodds down 1.50Confidence 62%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.10Confidence 83%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostDrawodds down 2.60Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU1.5odds down 1.75Confidence 58%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–1After 60 min3–14%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–01st period0–123%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goals3rd · 2 goals27%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-1
- By period 0-0, 1-1, 1-0
- Likeliest 2-1 (4%), 3-2 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Oct 30, 2026: Cherepovets 1, Spartak Moscow 5.
- Oct 29, 2026: Cherepovets 3, Spartak Moscow 2, after a shootout.
- Sep 12, 2026: Spartak Moscow 8, Cherepovets 0.
- Feb 2, 2026: Cherepovets 1, Spartak Moscow 5.
- Jan 6, 2026: Cherepovets 1, Spartak Moscow 2.
Last five games
- Win, 2–0 against CSKA Moscow, Oct 21. Odds: Spartak Moscow 2.95, CSKA Moscow 2.14.
- Win, 5–1 at Vladivostok, Oct 16. Odds: Vladivostok 3.15, Spartak Moscow 1.93.
- Win, 2–1 at Khabarovsk, Oct 14. Odds: Khabarovsk 2.98, Spartak Moscow 2.12.
- Win, 2–0 at Sochi, Oct 9. Odds: Sochi 4.70, Spartak Moscow 1.56.
- Win, 5–2 at Sochi, Oct 7.
- Loss, 1–5 against Shanghai, Oct 21. Odds: Cherepovets 2.02, Shanghai 3.12.
- Win, 4–1 against Nizhny Novgorod, Oct 19. Odds: Cherepovets 2.30, Nizhny Novgorod 2.67.
- Win, 5–2 against Lokomotiv Yaroslavl, Oct 15. Odds: Cherepovets 3.25, Lokomotiv 1.94.
- Win, 2–0 against SKA St. Petersburg, Oct 13. Odds: Cherepovets 2.50, SKA 2.31.
- Win, 4–1 at Bars Kazan, Oct 10. Odds: Ak Bars Kazan 2.02, Cherepovets 3.05.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-1
- 01:35 2 min Spartak Moscow: Poryadin P. Hooking
- 11:26 Goal Cherepovets: Abrosimov R. assists: Kaldis Y., Liska A. 0-1
- 11:26 2 min Spartak Moscow: Comtois M. Delay of game
2nd period1-0
- 13:29 2 min Cherepovets: Skorenov A. Holding the stick
- 19:09 2 min Cherepovets: Yan D. Delay of game
- 19:44 Goal PPG Spartak Moscow: Poryadin P. assists: Keane J., Lockhart L. 1-1
3rd period2-0
- 00:51 2 min Cherepovets: Dumbadze D. High sticking
- 08:01 Goal Spartak Moscow: Lukyantsev S. assists: Orlov D., Kozhushko S. 2-1
- 11:49 2 min Cherepovets: Popugayev N. A. Tripping
- 14:04 Goal Spartak Moscow: Ryabov I. 3-1
- 16:50 2 min Spartak Moscow: Kozhushko S. Tripping
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 5-game winning streak for Spartak Moscow coming into this game.
- In goal: Zagidulin A. for Spartak Moscow (5-2-3 in the last 10 starts), Skotnikov V. for Cherepovets (7-2-1 in the last 10 starts).
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Spartak Moscow.
- 4-1-0 in the last five for Cherepovets.
- 5.6 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (SPA) | 1.93 | 1.93 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.00 | 4.00 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (CHE) | 3.32 | 3.32 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5 | Line lowered |
| Handicap SPA | −0.5 | −0.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
KHL standings
Regular Season · Western Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 37 | .771 | 78 | 45 | +33 | |
| 2 | 24 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 35 | .729 | 64 | 39 | +25 | |
| 3 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 31 | .674 | 64 | 51 | +13 | |
| 4 | 25 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 30 | .600 | 66 | 56 | +10 | |
| 5 | 25 | 14 | 9 | 2 | 30 | .600 | 59 | 57 | +2 | |
| 6 | 23 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 30 | .652 | 68 | 59 | +9 | |
| 7 | 23 | 12 | 10 | 1 | 25 | .543 | 72 | 68 | +4 | |
| 8 | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 25 | .500 | 60 | 74 | −14 | |
| 9 | 26 | 10 | 11 | 5 | 25 | .481 | 56 | 68 | −12 | |
| 10 | 24 | 8 | 16 | 0 | 16 | .333 | 42 | 81 | −39 | |
| 11 | 25 | 5 | 15 | 5 | 15 | .300 | 38 | 81 | −43 |
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Spartak Moscow host Cherepovets in the KHL on Friday, October 23, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.