Spartak Moscow vs Lokomotiv Yaroslavl Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Handicap Lost

Spartak Moscow +1.5 1.29

Confidence72%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 62%

Full game

1X2LostSpartak Moscow2.61Confidence 51%
Over/UnderWonU5.5odds down 1.47Confidence 71%
Best tip of the game: HandicapLostSpartak Moscow +1.5odds down 1.29Confidence 72%
Winner (incl. OT)LostSpartak Moscowodds down 1.98Confidence 51%
Double chanceLostSpartak Moscow or drawodds down 1.56Confidence 67%
Draw no betLostSpartak Moscowodds down 2.01Confidence 51%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.14Confidence 82%

1st period

1st period 1X2LostDrawodds down 2.44Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderLostU1.5odds down 1.58Confidence 62%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the odds drifted 5% since they opened; the odds drifted 4% since they opened; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Spartak Moscow 21

Lokomotiv

Final 1–4

Total goalsTotal 3 Actual 5

Draw after 60 minDraw 24% Decided in regulation

SPA to winTo win 52% LOK won

Score details

Correct scoreLost2–1After 60 min1–45%chance
1st period correct scoreLost0–01st period0–226%chance
Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goalsTie · 1st & 2nd26%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 2-1
By period 0-0, 1-1, 1-0
Likeliest 2-1 (5%), 3-1 (5%), 3-2 (4%)

Team stats

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Possession & hits

Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record12-6-415-6-0

Home / road split4-4-36-3-0

StreakL1L1

Rest2 days1 day

Goals for2.72.6

Goals against1.91.7

In the standings4th2nd

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game+1.6+1.0

Goals for3.02.8

Goals against1.41.8

Shots on goal30.331.4

Shots against21.322.0

Shooting %9.9%8.9%

Save %93.4%92.3%

Power-play %18.4%13.9%

Penalty kill %82.1%85.7%

Faceoff %50.4%54.1%

Penalty minutes5.97.3

Blocked shots14.219.3

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Head-to-head

Spartak Moscow 14

Lokomotiv

Lokomotiv Yaroslavl won four of the last five meetings

Goals a gameGoals 5.0 SPA 2.0 · LOK 3.0

Over 4.5 goalsOver 4.5 3 of 5 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 2 of 5 2 in overtime

Apr 1, 2026: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl 3, Spartak Moscow 2.
Mar 30, 2026: Spartak Moscow 0, Lokomotiv Yaroslavl 2.
Mar 28, 2026: Spartak Moscow 3, Lokomotiv Yaroslavl 4, after overtime.
Mar 26, 2026: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl 1, Spartak Moscow 2, after overtime.
Mar 24, 2026: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl 5, Spartak Moscow 3.

Last five games

Spartak Moscow 2-1-2

Loss, 1–3 at Nizhny Novgorod, Nov 1. Odds: Nizhny Novgorod 2.30, Spartak Moscow 2.70.
Win, 5–1 at Cherepovets, Oct 30. Odds: Cherepovets 2.85, Spartak Moscow 2.19.
Overtime loss, 2–3 at Cherepovets, after a shootout, Oct 29. Odds: Cherepovets 2.80, Spartak Moscow 2.22.
Overtime loss, 3–4 against Shanghai, after a shootout, Oct 25. Odds: Spartak Moscow 1.94, Shanghai 3.28.
Win, 3–1 against Cherepovets, Oct 23. Odds: Spartak Moscow 1.93, Cherepovets 3.32.

Lokomotiv 3-2-0

Loss, 0–1 against Lada, Nov 2. Odds: Lokomotiv 1.37, Lada 7.80.
Win, 6–2 against Sochi, Oct 29. Odds: Lokomotiv 1.37, Sochi 7.60.
Win, 1–0 against Cherepovets, Oct 25. Odds: Lokomotiv 1.88, Cherepovets 3.58.
Win, 2–1 against Dynamo Moscow, after overtime, Oct 23. Odds: Lokomotiv 1.73, Dynamo Moscow 4.10.
Loss, 0–1 against Niznekamsk, Oct 20. Odds: Lokomotiv 1.66, Niznekamsk 4.50.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period0-2

05:02 Goal Lokomotiv Yaroslavl: Surin Y. assists: Sergeyev A., Rafikov R. 0-1
09:34 2 min Spartak Moscow: Lukyantsev S. Roughing
09:34 2 min Lokomotiv Yaroslavl: Kayumov A. Slashing
10:08 2 min Lokomotiv Yaroslavl: Misyul D. Tripping
13:14 2 min Lokomotiv Yaroslavl: Misyul D. Tripping
15:24 2 min Spartak Moscow: Lukyantsev S. Slashing
15:24 2 min Lokomotiv Yaroslavl: Yelesin A. Roughing
17:44 Goal Lokomotiv Yaroslavl: Romantsev D. assists: Sergeyev A., Polunin A. 0-2

2nd period1-1

02:30 Goal Lokomotiv Yaroslavl: Alexeyev D. assists: Romantsev D., Cherepanov N. 0-3
10:26 Goal Spartak Moscow: Lukyantsev S. assists: Mansurov D., Vishnevsky D. 1-3
17:52 2 min Lokomotiv Yaroslavl: Romantsev D. Hooking

3rd period0-1

08:40 2 min Lokomotiv Yaroslavl: Falkovsky S. High sticking
16:36 2 min Lokomotiv Yaroslavl: Kayumov A. High sticking
17:58 Goal ENG Lokomotiv Yaroslavl: Rafikov R. 1-4
19:59 2 min Spartak Moscow: Dronov N. Holding

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Lokomotiv Yaroslavl.
5.0 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 4.5.
4th vs 2nd in the KHL standings.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (SPA)	2.85	2.85	No change
1X2: X (draw)	3.85	3.85	No change
1X2: 2 (LOK)	2.20	2.20	No change
Over/Under line	5	4.5	Line lowered
Handicap SPA	+0.5	+0.5	No change

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

KHL standings

Regular Season · Western Conference

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	CSKA Moscow	24	18	5	1	37	.771	78	45	+33
2	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	24	17	6	1	35	.729	64	39	+25
3	Nizhny Novgorod	23	14	6	3	31	.674	64	51	+13
4	Spartak Moscow	25	13	8	4	30	.600	66	56	+10
5	Cherepovets	25	14	9	2	30	.600	59	57	+2
6	Shanghai	23	14	7	2	30	.652	68	59	+9
7	SKA St. Petersburg	23	12	10	1	25	.543	72	68	+4
8	Dinamo Minsk	25	9	9	7	25	.500	60	74	−14
9	Dynamo Moscow	26	10	11	5	25	.481	56	68	−12
10	Sochi	24	8	16	0	16	.333	42	81	−39
11	Lada	25	5	15	5	15	.300	38	81	−43

Playoffs: 1/8-finals

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Spartak Moscow vs Lokomotiv Yaroslavl prediction

All predictions

Full game

1st period

Predicted final score

Score details