Springfield Thunderbirds vs Charlotte Checkers prediction
Chance to win · 34% and 43% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 62%Full game
- 1X2LostCharlotte2.55Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderLostO4.51.50Confidence 70%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonCharlotte +1.51.37Confidence 66%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonCharlotte2.00Confidence 55%
- Double chanceWonCharlotte or draw1.57Confidence 65%
- Draw no betPushCharlotte2.04Confidence 56%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.11Confidence 86%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostCharlotte3.05Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.51.93Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: form from only 3 games; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Springfield 1–4
Charlotte Score details
- Correct scoreLost1–4After 60 min1–14%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–21st period0–07%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · 2nd & 3rd29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 1-4
- By period 0-2, 0-0, 1-2
- Likeliest 1-4 (4%), 2-3 (4%), 2-5 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formSpringfield Thunderbirds
Charlotte Checkers
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Springfield 3–2
Charlotte - Oct 24, 2026: Charlotte Checkers 1, Springfield Thunderbirds 2.
- Oct 23, 2026: Charlotte Checkers 3, Springfield Thunderbirds 2.
- Apr 25, 2026: Charlotte Checkers 1, Springfield Thunderbirds 2, after overtime.
- Apr 24, 2026: Charlotte Checkers 2, Springfield Thunderbirds 5.
- Apr 22, 2026: Charlotte Checkers 8, Springfield Thunderbirds 1.
Last five games
Springfield
3-2-0 - Loss, 2–5 against Laval Rocket, Oct 10. Odds: Springfield 2.20, Laval 2.50.
- Win, 2–0 at Providence Bruins, Oct 4.
- Win, 3–2 at Wilkes-Barre/Scranton, after overtime, Oct 3.
- Loss, 1–8 at Wilkes-Barre/Scranton, May 23.
- Win, 2–0 against Wilkes-Barre/Scranton, May 21.
Charlotte
1-3-1 - Loss, 2–6 at Providence Bruins, Oct 10.
- Loss, 2–3 at Hershey Bears, Oct 4.
- Win, 5–2 at Hershey Bears, Oct 3.
- Overtime loss, 1–2 against Springfield Thunderbirds, after overtime, Apr 25.
- Loss, 2–5 against Springfield Thunderbirds, Apr 24.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-0
No goals or penalties.
2nd period1-0
- 10:46 Goal SHG Springfield Thunderbirds: Kaskimaki A. assists: Stenberg O. 1-0
3rd period0-1
- 03:44 Goal Charlotte Checkers: Schwindt C. assists: Reinhardt C., Devine J. 1-1
Overtime0-0
No goals or penalties.
Shootout0-1
-
Round 1
Carbonneau J.
✗missed
Crookshank A.
✓scored
-
Round 2
Kaskimaki A.
✗missed
Sawchyn G.
✗missed
-
Round 3
Susuyev N.
✗missed
Devine J.
✗missed
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Second game in two days for both teams — Springfield Thunderbirds and Charlotte Checkers played yesterday.
- Goal differential gap of 1.6 per game — Springfield Thunderbirds −0.5, Charlotte Checkers +1.1 over their recent games.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Springfield Thunderbirds.
- 1-3-1 in the last five for Charlotte Checkers.
- Save % gap: Springfield Thunderbirds 93.1%, Charlotte Checkers 90.9% over their recent games.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (SPR) | 2.30 | 2.30 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.10 | 4.10 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (CHA) | 2.51 | 2.51 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5 | 5 | No change |
| Handicap SPR | −0.5 | −0.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
AHL standings
Regular Season · Atlantic Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charlotte Checkers |
15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 19 | .633 | 46 | 42 | +4 |
| 2 |  Hartford Wolf Pack |
17 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 17 | .500 | 44 | 49 | −5 |
| 3 |  Hershey Bears |
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 16 | .615 | 42 | 38 | +4 |
| 4 |  Wilkes-Barre/Scranton |
13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 15 | .577 | 47 | 37 | +10 |
| 5 |  Providence Bruins |
14 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 12 | .429 | 47 | 43 | +4 |
| 6 |  Lehigh Valley Phantoms |
13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 11 | .423 | 37 | 55 | −18 |
| 7 | Springfield Thunderbirds |
13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 11 | .423 | 32 | 46 | −14 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Springfield Thunderbirds host Charlotte Checkers in the AHL on Sunday, October 11, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.