Springfield Thunderbirds vs Hartford Wolf Pack prediction
Chance to win · 41% and 36% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 62%Full game
- 1X2LostSpringfield2.45Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonO4.51.40Confidence 71%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapLostSpringfield +1.5odds down 1.37Confidence 71%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostSpringfield1.92Confidence 53%
- Double chanceLostSpringfield or draw1.52Confidence 66%
- Draw no betLostSpringfield1.95Confidence 55%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.08Confidence 87%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostSpringfieldodds down 2.85Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.51.82Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Springfield 4–1
Hartford Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–1After 60 min2–44%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period1–17%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 3 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-1
- By period 2-0, 0-0, 2-1
- Likeliest 4-1 (4%), 5-2 (4%), 3-2 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formSpringfield Thunderbirds
Hartford Wolf Pack
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Springfield 2–3
Hartford - Nov 10, 2026: Springfield Thunderbirds 2, Hartford Wolf Pack 5.
- Apr 18, 2026: Springfield Thunderbirds 4, Hartford Wolf Pack 3.
- Apr 17, 2026: Hartford Wolf Pack 7, Springfield Thunderbirds 5.
- Apr 11, 2026: Springfield Thunderbirds 1, Hartford Wolf Pack 3.
- Jan 31, 2026: Springfield Thunderbirds 4, Hartford Wolf Pack 1.
Last five games
Springfield
1-2-2 - Overtime loss, 6–7 against Providence Bruins, after overtime, Oct 30. Odds: Springfield 2.25, Providence 2.50.
- Win, 2–1 at Charlotte Checkers, Oct 24. Odds: Charlotte 1.76, Springfield 3.50.
- Loss, 2–3 at Charlotte Checkers, Oct 23. Odds: Charlotte 2.05, Springfield 2.75.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 against Lehigh Valley Phantoms, after overtime, Oct 17. Odds: Springfield 2.45, Lehigh Valley 2.12.
- Loss, 3–6 against Lehigh Valley Phantoms, Oct 16. Odds: Springfield 2.37, Lehigh Valley 2.22.
Hartford
2-2-1 - Win, 4–1 at Belleville Senators, Oct 30. Odds: Belleville 2.30, Hartford 2.35.
- Overtime loss, 4–5 at Hamilton Hammers, after overtime, Oct 29. Odds: Hamilton 2.30, Hartford 2.40.
- Loss, 2–3 at Wilkes-Barre/Scranton, Oct 24. Odds: W-B/Scranton 2.10, Hartford 2.65.
- Win, 2–0 against Providence Bruins, Oct 23. Odds: Hartford 2.25, Providence 2.50.
- Loss, 2–4 at Charlotte Checkers, Oct 17. Odds: Charlotte 2.50, Hartford 2.10.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-1
- 09:37 Goal PPG Hartford Wolf Pack: Blidh A. assists: Gawdin G., Dowling J. 0-1
- 09:43 Goal Springfield Thunderbirds: Wagner C. assists: Carbonneau J., Tynan T.J. 1-1
2nd period0-1
- 12:01 Goal PPG Hartford Wolf Pack: Greentree L. assists: Del Gaizo M., Dowling J. 1-2
3rd period1-2
- 08:31 Goal PPG Springfield Thunderbirds: Walker N. assists: Tynan T.J., Sundqvist O. 2-2
- 09:55 Goal Hartford Wolf Pack: Gawdin G. assists: Chmelar J., Aspinall N. 2-3
- 18:43 Goal ENG Hartford Wolf Pack: Parssinen J. assists: Greentree L. 2-4
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 0-2-3 at home for Springfield Thunderbirds this season.
- Goal differential gap of 1.1 per game — Springfield Thunderbirds −1.2, Hartford Wolf Pack −0.1 over their recent games.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Hartford Wolf Pack.
- 1-2-2 in the last five for Springfield Thunderbirds.
- 7.0 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (SPR) | 2.45 | 2.45 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.20 | 4.20 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (HWP) | 2.25 | 2.25 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap SPR | +0.5 | +0.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
AHL standings
Regular Season · Atlantic Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Charlotte Checkers |
15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 19 | .633 | 46 | 42 | +4 |
| 2 | Hartford Wolf Pack |
17 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 17 | .500 | 44 | 49 | −5 |
| 3 |  Hershey Bears |
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 16 | .615 | 42 | 38 | +4 |
| 4 |  Wilkes-Barre/Scranton |
13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 15 | .577 | 47 | 37 | +10 |
| 5 |  Providence Bruins |
14 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 12 | .429 | 47 | 43 | +4 |
| 6 |  Lehigh Valley Phantoms |
13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 11 | .423 | 37 | 55 | −18 |
| 7 | Springfield Thunderbirds |
13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 11 | .423 | 32 | 46 | −14 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Springfield Thunderbirds host Hartford Wolf Pack in the AHL on Sunday, November 1, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.