Springfield Thunderbirds vs Hartford Wolf Pack prediction
Chance to win · 39% and 38% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 61%Full game
- 1X2LostSpringfieldodds down 2.43Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonO4.5odds down 1.47Confidence 70%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapLostSpringfield +1.51.32Confidence 69%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostSpringfieldodds down 1.91Confidence 51%
- Double chanceLostSpringfield or drawodds down 1.52Confidence 66%
- Draw no betLostSpringfieldodds down 1.86Confidence 51%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds down 1.10Confidence 87%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostDrawodds up 2.57Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds up 1.80Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–1After 60 min2–54%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost1–11st period0–113%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · 2nd & 3rd30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-1
- By period 1-1, 0-0, 3-0
- Likeliest 4-1 (4%), 3-2 (4%), 5-2 (3%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Nov 1, 2026: Springfield Thunderbirds 2, Hartford Wolf Pack 4.
- Apr 18, 2026: Springfield Thunderbirds 4, Hartford Wolf Pack 3.
- Apr 17, 2026: Hartford Wolf Pack 7, Springfield Thunderbirds 5.
- Apr 11, 2026: Springfield Thunderbirds 1, Hartford Wolf Pack 3.
- Jan 31, 2026: Springfield Thunderbirds 4, Hartford Wolf Pack 1.
Last five games
- Loss, 1–6 against Hershey Bears, Nov 7. Odds: Springfield 2.65, Hershey 2.10.
- Win, 4–2 against Hershey Bears, Nov 6. Odds: Springfield 2.50, Hershey 2.20.
- Loss, 2–4 against Hartford Wolf Pack, Nov 1. Odds: Springfield 2.45, Hartford 2.25.
- Overtime loss, 6–7 against Providence Bruins, after overtime, Oct 30. Odds: Springfield 2.25, Providence 2.50.
- Win, 2–1 at Charlotte Checkers, Oct 24. Odds: Charlotte 1.76, Springfield 3.50.
- Win, 3–2 at Syracuse Crunch, after overtime, Nov 7. Odds: Syracuse 2.05, Hartford 2.75.
- Loss, 2–4 at Rochester Americans, Nov 6. Odds: Rochester 2.01, Hartford 2.85.
- Loss, 1–4 at Hershey Bears, Nov 4. Odds: Hershey 2.50, Hartford 2.20.
- Win, 4–2 at Springfield Thunderbirds, Nov 1. Odds: Springfield 2.45, Hartford 2.25.
- Win, 4–1 at Belleville Senators, Oct 30. Odds: Belleville 2.30, Hartford 2.35.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-1
- 03:10 Goal Hartford Wolf Pack: Terrance C. assists: Aspinall N., Vanroboys L. 0-1
2nd period1-2
- 07:30 Goal PPG Hartford Wolf Pack: Fortescue D. assists: Greentree L., Dowling J. 0-2
- 10:01 Goal Springfield Thunderbirds: Koromyslov A. assists: Pekarcik J. 1-2
- 19:26 Goal Hartford Wolf Pack: Raddysh T. assists: Gawdin G., Cholowski D. 1-3
3rd period1-2
- 03:08 Goal Hartford Wolf Pack: Gawdin G. assists: Raddysh T. 1-4
- 08:34 Goal Springfield Thunderbirds: Pekarcik J. assists: Jiricek A., Lindstein T. 2-4
- 17:43 Goal PPG Hartford Wolf Pack: Greentree L. assists: Parssinen J., Raddysh T. 2-5
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 1-4-3 at home for Springfield Thunderbirds this season.
- Goal differential gap of 1.1 per game — Springfield Thunderbirds −1.3, Hartford Wolf Pack −0.2 over their recent games.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Hartford Wolf Pack.
- Save % gap: Springfield Thunderbirds 89.3%, Hartford Wolf Pack 91.9% over their recent games.
- 6.8 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (SPR) | 2.25 | 2.25 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.30 | 4.30 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (HWP) | 2.45 | 2.45 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap SPR | +1.5 | −0.5 | Line moved |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
AHL standings
Regular Season · Atlantic Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 19 | .633 | 46 | 42 | +4 | |
| 2 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 17 | .500 | 44 | 49 | −5 | |
| 3 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 16 | .615 | 42 | 38 | +4 | |
| 4 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 15 | .577 | 47 | 37 | +10 | |
| 5 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 12 | .429 | 47 | 43 | +4 | |
| 6 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 11 | .423 | 37 | 55 | −18 | |
| 7 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 11 | .423 | 32 | 46 | −14 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Springfield Thunderbirds host Hartford Wolf Pack in the AHL on Tuesday, November 10, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.