Springfield Thunderbirds vs Hershey Bears prediction
Chance to win · 36% and 41% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 62%Full game
- 1X2LostHersheyodds down 2.37Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonO4.5odds up 1.41Confidence 71%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapLostHershey +1.51.28Confidence 71%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostHersheyodds down 1.83Confidence 54%
- Double chanceLostHershey or drawodds down 1.51Confidence 66%
- Draw no betLostHersheyodds down 1.83Confidence 55%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.09Confidence 88%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonHershey2.75Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.51.84Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Springfield 1–4
Hershey Score details
- Correct scoreLost1–4After 60 min4–24%chance
- 1st period correct scoreWon0–21st period0–27%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals2nd · 3 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 1-4
- By period 0-2, 0-0, 1-2
- Likeliest 1-4 (4%), 2-5 (4%), 2-3 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formSpringfield Thunderbirds
Hershey Bears
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Springfield 2–3
Hershey - Nov 7, 2026: Springfield Thunderbirds 1, Hershey Bears 6.
- Apr 3, 2026: Springfield Thunderbirds 4, Hershey Bears 2.
- Oct 31, 2025: Springfield Thunderbirds 2, Hershey Bears 3, after overtime.
- Oct 19, 2025: Hershey Bears 1, Springfield Thunderbirds 5.
- Oct 18, 2025: Hershey Bears 5, Springfield Thunderbirds 1.
Last five games
Springfield
1-2-2 - Loss, 2–4 against Hartford Wolf Pack, Nov 1. Odds: Springfield 2.45, Hartford 2.25.
- Overtime loss, 6–7 against Providence Bruins, after overtime, Oct 30. Odds: Springfield 2.25, Providence 2.50.
- Win, 2–1 at Charlotte Checkers, Oct 24. Odds: Charlotte 1.76, Springfield 3.50.
- Loss, 2–3 at Charlotte Checkers, Oct 23. Odds: Charlotte 2.05, Springfield 2.75.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 against Lehigh Valley Phantoms, after overtime, Oct 17. Odds: Springfield 2.45, Lehigh Valley 2.12.
Hershey
3-2-0 - Win, 4–1 against Hartford Wolf Pack, Nov 4. Odds: Hershey 2.50, Hartford 2.20.
- Loss, 0–5 against Wilkes-Barre/Scranton, Nov 1. Odds: Hershey 2.30, W-B/Scranton 2.40.
- Loss, 3–5 at Toronto Marlies, Oct 30. Odds: Toronto 2.50, Hershey 2.20.
- Win, 3–2 at Rochester Americans, Oct 28. Odds: Rochester 2.15, Hershey 2.50.
- Win, 5–2 against Belleville Senators, Oct 24. Odds: Hershey 2.10, Belleville 2.60.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-2
- 09:16 Goal Hershey Bears: Brodzinski J. assists: Lakovic L., MacDonald J. 0-1
- 10:43 Goal Hershey Bears: Brodzinski J. assists: Lakovic L. 0-2
2nd period3-0
- 05:07 Goal PPG Springfield Thunderbirds: Stenberg O. assists: Wagner C., Dean Z. 1-2
- 07:24 Goal SHG Springfield Thunderbirds: Sundqvist O. assists: Rosen C. 2-2
- 12:37 Goal Springfield Thunderbirds: Rosen C. assists: Buchinger M., Wagner C. 3-2
3rd period1-0
- 17:57 Goal SHG Springfield Thunderbirds: Walker N. 4-2
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Hershey Bears dropped from 1.87 to 1.68 since they were first published.
- Rest advantage: 4 days off for Springfield Thunderbirds, 1 for Hershey Bears.
- 0-3-3 at home for Springfield Thunderbirds this season.
- Goal differential gap of 1.1 per game — Springfield Thunderbirds −0.7, Hershey Bears +0.4 over their recent games.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Hershey Bears.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (SPR) | 2.50 | 2.50 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.20 | 4.20 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (HER) | 2.20 | 2.20 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap SPR | −0.5 | +0.5 | Line moved |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
AHL standings
Regular Season · Atlantic Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Charlotte Checkers |
15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 19 | .633 | 46 | 42 | +4 |
| 2 |  Hartford Wolf Pack |
17 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 17 | .500 | 44 | 49 | −5 |
| 3 | Hershey Bears |
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 16 | .615 | 42 | 38 | +4 |
| 4 |  Wilkes-Barre/Scranton |
13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 15 | .577 | 47 | 37 | +10 |
| 5 |  Providence Bruins |
14 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 12 | .429 | 47 | 43 | +4 |
| 6 |  Lehigh Valley Phantoms |
13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 11 | .423 | 37 | 55 | −18 |
| 7 | Springfield Thunderbirds |
13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 11 | .423 | 32 | 46 | −14 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Springfield Thunderbirds host Hershey Bears in the AHL on Friday, November 6, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.