Springfield Thunderbirds vs Hershey Bears prediction
Chance to win · 38% and 39% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 61%Full game
- 1X2WonHersheyodds down 2.40Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonO4.5odds down 1.45Confidence 71%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapLostSpringfield +1.5odds up 1.32Confidence 69%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonHersheyodds down 1.66Confidence 51%
- Double chanceWonHershey or drawodds down 1.48Confidence 66%
- Draw no betWonHersheyodds down 1.85Confidence 51%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds down 1.10Confidence 88%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostDrawodds down 2.80Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds up 1.77Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Springfield 2–3
Hershey Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–3After 60 min1–63%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost1–11st period0–113%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 5 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-3
- By period 1-1, 0-0, 1-2
- Likeliest 2-3 (3%), 3-4 (2%), 4-5 (1%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formSpringfield Thunderbirds
Hershey Bears
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Springfield 3–2
Hershey - Nov 6, 2026: Springfield Thunderbirds 4, Hershey Bears 2.
- Apr 3, 2026: Springfield Thunderbirds 4, Hershey Bears 2.
- Oct 31, 2025: Springfield Thunderbirds 2, Hershey Bears 3, after overtime.
- Oct 19, 2025: Hershey Bears 1, Springfield Thunderbirds 5.
- Oct 18, 2025: Hershey Bears 5, Springfield Thunderbirds 1.
Last five games
Springfield
2-2-1 - Win, 4–2 against Hershey Bears, Nov 6. Odds: Springfield 2.50, Hershey 2.20.
- Loss, 2–4 against Hartford Wolf Pack, Nov 1. Odds: Springfield 2.45, Hartford 2.25.
- Overtime loss, 6–7 against Providence Bruins, after overtime, Oct 30. Odds: Springfield 2.25, Providence 2.50.
- Win, 2–1 at Charlotte Checkers, Oct 24. Odds: Charlotte 1.76, Springfield 3.50.
- Loss, 2–3 at Charlotte Checkers, Oct 23. Odds: Charlotte 2.05, Springfield 2.75.
Hershey
2-3-0 - Loss, 2–4 at Springfield Thunderbirds, Nov 6. Odds: Springfield 2.50, Hershey 2.20.
- Win, 4–1 against Hartford Wolf Pack, Nov 4. Odds: Hershey 2.50, Hartford 2.20.
- Loss, 0–5 against Wilkes-Barre/Scranton, Nov 1. Odds: Hershey 2.30, W-B/Scranton 2.40.
- Loss, 3–5 at Toronto Marlies, Oct 30. Odds: Toronto 2.50, Hershey 2.20.
- Win, 3–2 at Rochester Americans, Oct 28. Odds: Rochester 2.15, Hershey 2.50.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-1
- 14:26 Goal PPG Hershey Bears: Cristall A. assists: Brodzinski J., MacDonald J. 0-1
2nd period0-1
- 01:13 Goal Hershey Bears: Smith D. assists: Cruikshank G. 0-2
3rd period1-4
- 03:05 Goal SHG Hershey Bears: Sikora P. assists: McIlrath D., Trineyev B. 0-3
- 09:17 Goal Hershey Bears: Brodzinski J. assists: Cruikshank G. 0-4
- 10:41 Goal Springfield Thunderbirds: Dean Z. assists: Stancl J. 1-4
- 14:15 Goal ENG Hershey Bears: Chesley R. assists: Dunne J. 1-5
- 18:15 Goal Hershey Bears: Sikora P. assists: Anderson J. 1-6
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Second game in two days for both teams — Springfield Thunderbirds and Hershey Bears played yesterday.
- 1-3-3 at home for Springfield Thunderbirds this season.
- Goal differential gap of 1.1 per game — Springfield Thunderbirds −0.7, Hershey Bears +0.4 over their recent games.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Springfield Thunderbirds.
- Save % gap: Springfield Thunderbirds 91.0%, Hershey Bears 88.6% over their recent games.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (SPR) | 2.65 | 2.65 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.30 | 4.30 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (HER) | 2.10 | 2.10 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap SPR | −1.5 | +0.5 | Line moved |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
AHL standings
Regular Season · Atlantic Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Charlotte Checkers |
15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 19 | .633 | 46 | 42 | +4 |
| 2 |  Hartford Wolf Pack |
17 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 17 | .500 | 44 | 49 | −5 |
| 3 | Hershey Bears |
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 16 | .615 | 42 | 38 | +4 |
| 4 |  Wilkes-Barre/Scranton |
13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 15 | .577 | 47 | 37 | +10 |
| 5 |  Providence Bruins |
14 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 12 | .429 | 47 | 43 | +4 |
| 6 |  Lehigh Valley Phantoms |
13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 11 | .423 | 37 | 55 | −18 |
| 7 | Springfield Thunderbirds |
13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 11 | .423 | 32 | 46 | −14 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Springfield Thunderbirds host Hershey Bears in the AHL on Saturday, November 7, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.