Springfield Thunderbirds vs Lehigh Valley Phantoms prediction
Chance to win · 43% and 35% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 62%Full game
- 1X2LostSpringfieldodds down 2.50Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonO4.51.46Confidence 71%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapLostSpringfield +1.5odds up 1.30Confidence 68%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostSpringfieldodds up 1.91Confidence 55%
- Double chanceLostSpringfield or drawodds up 1.50Confidence 66%
- Draw no betLostSpringfieldodds up 1.91Confidence 57%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.10Confidence 88%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostSpringfieldodds down 2.90Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds down 1.92Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: form from only 4 games; the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Springfield 4–1
Lehigh Valley Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–1After 60 min3–64%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period0–27%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 4 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-1
- By period 2-0, 0-0, 2-1
- Likeliest 4-1 (4%), 5-2 (4%), 3-2 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formSpringfield Thunderbirds
Lehigh Valley Phantoms
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Springfield 3–2
Lehigh Valley - Oct 17, 2026: Springfield Thunderbirds 2, Lehigh Valley Phantoms 3, after overtime.
- Apr 15, 2026: Springfield Thunderbirds 7, Lehigh Valley Phantoms 1.
- Mar 27, 2026: Lehigh Valley Phantoms 3, Springfield Thunderbirds 5.
- Jan 30, 2026: Springfield Thunderbirds 2, Lehigh Valley Phantoms 1.
- Jan 10, 2026: Springfield Thunderbirds 2, Lehigh Valley Phantoms 3.
Last five games
Springfield
2-2-1 - Overtime loss, 1–2 against Charlotte Checkers, after a shootout, Oct 11. Odds: Springfield 2.30, Charlotte 2.51.
- Loss, 2–5 against Laval Rocket, Oct 10. Odds: Springfield 2.20, Laval 2.50.
- Win, 2–0 at Providence Bruins, Oct 4.
- Win, 3–2 at Wilkes-Barre/Scranton, after overtime, Oct 3.
- Loss, 1–8 at Wilkes-Barre/Scranton, May 23.
Lehigh Valley
1-3-1 - Win, 4–1 at Hartford Wolf Pack, Oct 14. Odds: Hartford 2.35, Lehigh Valley 2.46.
- Loss, 2–5 against Cleveland Monsters, Oct 11. Odds: Lehigh Valley 2.27, Cleveland 2.58.
- Overtime loss, 4–5 against Cleveland Monsters, after overtime, Oct 10. Odds: Lehigh Valley 2.05, Cleveland 2.70.
- Loss, 2–5 against Hartford Wolf Pack, Oct 3.
- Loss, 1–4 at Charlotte Checkers, Apr 19.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-2
- 01:29 Goal SHG Lehigh Valley Phantoms: McDonald H. assists: Luchanko J., Gruden J. 0-1
- 10:45 Goal PPG Lehigh Valley Phantoms: Gaucher J. assists: Bump A., Dineen C. 0-2
2nd period1-2
- 03:29 Goal PPG Lehigh Valley Phantoms: Knuble C. assists: Thompson R., Gill S. 0-3
- 08:06 Goal Lehigh Valley Phantoms: Bump A. assists: Murchison T., Luchanko J. 0-4
- 18:11 Goal PPG Springfield Thunderbirds: Tynan T.J. assists: Kaskimaki A., Gaudet M. 1-4
3rd period2-2
- 06:02 Goal PPG Springfield Thunderbirds: Carbonneau J. assists: Tynan T.J., Kaskimaki A. 2-4
- 09:01 Goal Lehigh Valley Phantoms: Luchanko J. assists: Knuble C., Aston-Reese Z. 2-5
- 12:59 Goal Springfield Thunderbirds: Sundqvist O. 3-5
- 16:28 Goal ENG Lehigh Valley Phantoms: Bump A. 3-6
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Rest advantage: 4 days off for Springfield Thunderbirds, 1 for Lehigh Valley Phantoms.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Springfield Thunderbirds.
- 1-3-1 in the last five for Lehigh Valley Phantoms.
- Save % gap: Springfield Thunderbirds 93.4%, Lehigh Valley Phantoms 86.9% over their recent games.
- 5.8 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (SPR) | 2.37 | 2.37 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 3.60 | 3.60 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (LVP) | 2.22 | 2.22 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap SPR | +0.5 | +0.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
AHL standings
Regular Season · Atlantic Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Charlotte Checkers |
15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 19 | .633 | 46 | 42 | +4 |
| 2 |  Hartford Wolf Pack |
17 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 17 | .500 | 44 | 49 | −5 |
| 3 |  Hershey Bears |
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 16 | .615 | 42 | 38 | +4 |
| 4 |  Wilkes-Barre/Scranton |
13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 15 | .577 | 47 | 37 | +10 |
| 5 |  Providence Bruins |
14 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 12 | .429 | 47 | 43 | +4 |
| 6 | Lehigh Valley Phantoms |
13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 11 | .423 | 37 | 55 | −18 |
| 7 | Springfield Thunderbirds |
13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 11 | .423 | 32 | 46 | −14 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Springfield Thunderbirds host Lehigh Valley Phantoms in the AHL on Friday, October 16, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.