Springfield Thunderbirds vs Providence Bruins prediction
Chance to win · 32% and 45% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 66%Full game
- 1X2LostProvidenceodds down 2.67Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderLostU6.5odds down 1.33Confidence 71%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonProvidence +1.5odds down 1.33Confidence 72%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonProvidenceodds down 2.05Confidence 58%
- Double chanceWonProvidence or drawodds down 1.57Confidence 69%
- Draw no betPushProvidenceodds down 2.12Confidence 60%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.11Confidence 85%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostProvidenceodds down 3.10Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostU2.5odds down 1.20Confidence 78%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Springfield 1–4
Providence Score details
- Correct scoreLost1–4After 60 min6–65%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–11st period3–117%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals2nd · 6 goals29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 1-4
- By period 0-1, 0-1, 1-2
- Likeliest 1-4 (5%), 2-3 (4%), 1-3 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formSpringfield Thunderbirds
Providence Bruins
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Springfield 4–1
Providence - Oct 4, 2026: Providence Bruins 0, Springfield Thunderbirds 2.
- May 7, 2026: Springfield Thunderbirds 1, Providence Bruins 0, after overtime.
- May 5, 2026: Springfield Thunderbirds 3, Providence Bruins 2, after overtime.
- May 3, 2026: Providence Bruins 2, Springfield Thunderbirds 1.
- May 1, 2026: Providence Bruins 2, Springfield Thunderbirds 3.
Last five games
Springfield
1-2-2 - Win, 2–1 at Charlotte Checkers, Oct 24. Odds: Charlotte 1.76, Springfield 3.50.
- Loss, 2–3 at Charlotte Checkers, Oct 23. Odds: Charlotte 2.05, Springfield 2.75.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 against Lehigh Valley Phantoms, after overtime, Oct 17. Odds: Springfield 2.45, Lehigh Valley 2.12.
- Loss, 3–6 against Lehigh Valley Phantoms, Oct 16. Odds: Springfield 2.37, Lehigh Valley 2.22.
- Overtime loss, 1–2 against Charlotte Checkers, after a shootout, Oct 11. Odds: Springfield 2.30, Charlotte 2.51.
Providence
2-3-0 - Win, 5–2 against Utica Comets, Oct 24. Odds: Providence 2.01, Utica 2.90.
- Loss, 0–2 at Hartford Wolf Pack, Oct 23. Odds: Hartford 2.25, Providence 2.50.
- Win, 6–1 at Hershey Bears, Oct 18. Odds: Hershey 2.50, Providence 2.25.
- Loss, 3–5 at Hershey Bears, Oct 17. Odds: Hershey 2.35, Providence 2.22.
- Loss, 2–6 against Wilkes-Barre/Scranton, Oct 11. Odds: Providence 2.69, W-B/Scranton 2.20.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period3-1
- 01:53 Goal Providence Bruins: Halonen B. assists: Gallagher T., Schmaltz J. 0-1
- 02:20 Goal Springfield Thunderbirds: Kessy K. assists: Pekarcik J., Buchinger M. 1-1
- 12:42 Goal Springfield Thunderbirds: Walker N. assists: Koromyslov A., Ralph C. 2-1
- 17:58 Goal PPG Springfield Thunderbirds: Walker N. assists: Tynan T.J., Carbonneau J. 3-1
2nd period2-4
- 00:42 Goal SHG Springfield Thunderbirds: Sundqvist O. assists: Stancl J. 4-1
- 04:16 Goal Providence Bruins: Eyssimont M. assists: Ivan I. 4-2
- 14:03 Goal Springfield Thunderbirds: Stancl J. assists: Gaudet M., Pekarcik J. 5-2
- 14:46 Goal Providence Bruins: Gallagher T. assists: Harris J., Eyssimont M. 5-3
- 16:54 Goal PPG Providence Bruins: Ivan I. assists: Eyssimont M., Duran R. 5-4
- 19:58 Goal PPG Providence Bruins: Gaunce B. assists: Gallagher T., Halonen B. 5-5
3rd period1-1
- 09:27 Goal Providence Bruins: Reichel L. assists: Gaunce B. 5-6
- 18:32 Goal Springfield Thunderbirds: Carbonneau J. assists: Walker N., Tynan T.J. 6-6
Overtime0-1
- 00:11 Goal Providence Bruins: Ivan I. assists: Locmelis D. 6-7
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Providence Bruins dropped from 2.07 to 1.78 since they were first published.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Springfield Thunderbirds.
- 1-2-2 in the last five for Springfield Thunderbirds.
- 3.2 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.
- 7th vs 5th in the AHL standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (SPR) | 2.25 | 2.25 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.10 | 4.10 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (PRO) | 2.50 | 2.50 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5 | Line lowered |
| Handicap SPR | −0.5 | +0.5 | Line moved |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
AHL standings
Regular Season · Atlantic Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Charlotte Checkers |
15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 19 | .633 | 46 | 42 | +4 |
| 2 |  Hartford Wolf Pack |
17 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 17 | .500 | 44 | 49 | −5 |
| 3 |  Hershey Bears |
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 16 | .615 | 42 | 38 | +4 |
| 4 |  Wilkes-Barre/Scranton |
13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 15 | .577 | 47 | 37 | +10 |
| 5 | Providence Bruins |
14 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 12 | .429 | 47 | 43 | +4 |
| 6 |  Lehigh Valley Phantoms |
13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 11 | .423 | 37 | 55 | −18 |
| 7 | Springfield Thunderbirds |
13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 11 | .423 | 32 | 46 | −14 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Springfield Thunderbirds host Providence Bruins in the AHL on Friday, October 30, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.