St. Louis Blues vs Vegas Golden Knights prediction
Chance to win · 36% and 41% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 61%Full game
- 1X2LostGolden Knightsodds down 2.25Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonO4.5odds down 1.37Confidence 70%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonBlues +1.5odds down 1.38Confidence 67%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostGolden Knightsodds down 1.81Confidence 51%
- Double chanceLostGolden Knights or drawodds down 1.44Confidence 67%
- Draw no betLostGolden Knights1.75Confidence 51%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.07Confidence 89%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostGolden Knightsodds down 2.70Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds up 1.76Confidence 55%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the odds drifted 5% since they opened; the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; the odds drifted 6% since they opened; the odds drifted 4% since they opened; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–3After 60 min6–23%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–21st period2–07%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 4 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-3
- By period 0-2, 0-0, 2-1
- Likeliest 2-3 (3%), 3-4 (2%), 4-5 (1%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Jan 10, 2026: Vegas Golden Knights 4, St. Louis Blues 2.
- Jan 2, 2026: St. Louis Blues 4, Vegas Golden Knights 3.
- Nov 15, 2025: St. Louis Blues 1, Vegas Golden Knights 4.
- Jan 23, 2025: St. Louis Blues 2, Vegas Golden Knights 4.
- Jan 20, 2025: Vegas Golden Knights 4, St. Louis Blues 5, after a shootout.
Last five games
- Win, 2–1 against Winnipeg Jets, Oct 20. Odds: Blues 2.15, Jets 2.75.
- Loss, 2–5 at Nashville Predators, Oct 17. Odds: Predators 2.42, Blues 2.37.
- Loss, 4–5 at Minnesota Wild, Oct 15. Odds: Wild 2.10, Blues 2.82.
- Win, 7–2 at Ottawa Senators, Oct 13. Odds: Senators 2.73, Blues 2.32.
- Win, 5–3 against Columbus Blue Jackets, Oct 10. Odds: Blues 2.30, Blue Jackets 2.60.
- Loss, 2–6 against Tampa Bay Lightning, Oct 20. Odds: Golden Knights 2.40, Lightning 2.40.
- Win, 6–2 against Pittsburgh Penguins, Oct 17. Odds: Golden Knights 1.72, Penguins 3.55.
- Win, 6–2 against Calgary Flames, Oct 15. Odds: Golden Knights 1.64, Flames 4.72.
- Win, 5–2 at Nashville Predators, Oct 13. Odds: Predators 2.84, Golden Knights 2.23.
- Loss, 2–4 at Minnesota Wild, Oct 12. Odds: Wild 2.51, Golden Knights 2.49.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period2-0
- 08:29 2 min Vegas Golden Knights: Hanifin N. Hooking
- 10:00 Goal PPG St. Louis Blues: Buchnevich P. assists: Berggren J., McMichael C. 1-0
- 13:49 Goal St. Louis Blues: Barron J. assists: Kaskimaki A., Stenberg O. 2-0
2nd period1-1
- 05:38 Goal Vegas Golden Knights: Howden B. assists: Hanifin N., Holtz A. 2-1
- 08:30 Goal St. Louis Blues: McTavish M. assists: Jiricek A., Barron J. 3-1
3rd period3-1
- 04:08 Goal Vegas Golden Knights: Eichel J. assists: Barbashev I., McNabb B. 3-2
- 08:21 Goal St. Louis Blues: Snuggerud J. assists: Holloway D., Barron J. 4-2
- 10:29 Goal St. Louis Blues: Holloway D. assists: Thomas R., Barron J. 5-2
- 15:27 2 min Vegas Golden Knights: Lauzon J. Roughing
- 16:05 Goal PPG St. Louis Blues: Holloway D. assists: Neighbours J., Snuggerud J. 6-2
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- In goal: Hofer J. for St. Louis Blues (6-3-1 in the last 10 starts), Hill A. for Vegas Golden Knights (7-0-3 in the last 10 starts).
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Vegas Golden Knights.
- 6.6 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 6.
- 11th vs 3rd in the NHL standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (STL) | 2.80 | 2.65 | Shortened |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.10 | 4.10 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (VGK) | 2.10 | 2.20 | Drifted |
| Over/Under line | 6 | 6 | No change |
| Handicap STL | +1.5 | +1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
NHL standings
Regular Season · Western Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 30 | .750 | 65 | 44 | +21 | |
| 2 | 19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 29 | .763 | 78 | 56 | +22 | |
| 3 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 26 | .684 | 64 | 51 | +13 | |
| 4 | 19 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 24 | .632 | 78 | 59 | +19 | |
| 5 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 23 | .639 | 55 | 51 | +4 | |
| 6 | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 22 | .647 | 49 | 41 | +8 | |
| 7 | 18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 21 | .583 | 69 | 66 | +3 | |
| 8 | 18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 21 | .583 | 63 | 63 | 0 | |
| 9 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 19 | .594 | 57 | 57 | 0 | |
| 10 | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 19 | .500 | 53 | 65 | −12 | |
| 11 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 18 | .500 | 53 | 55 | −2 | |
| 12 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 17 | .472 | 46 | 63 | −17 | |
| 13 | 20 | 8 | 11 | 1 | 17 | .425 | 51 | 71 | −20 | |
| 14 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 12 | .375 | 45 | 55 | −10 | |
| 15 | 18 | 4 | 13 | 1 | 9 | .250 | 39 | 76 | −37 | |
| 16 | 20 | 3 | 16 | 1 | 7 | .175 | 56 | 90 | −34 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
St. Louis Blues host Vegas Golden Knights in the NHL on Thursday, October 22, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.