St. Thomas Tommies vs Alaska Anchorage prediction
Chance to win · 69% and 15% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 71%Full game
- 1X2WonSt. Thomasodds down 1.38Confidence 71%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonO4.5odds down 1.36Confidence 72%
- HandicapWonSt. Thomas -1.51.62Confidence 64%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonSt. Thomas1.16Confidence 80%
- Double chanceWonSt. Thomas or drawodds down 1.13Confidence 85%
- Draw no betWonSt. Thomasodds down 1.16Confidence 82%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.12Confidence 84%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonSt. Thomas1.84Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.51.73Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
St. Thomas 4–1
Alaska Anch. Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–1After 60 min5–27%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period1–012%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals2nd · 4 goals31%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-1
- By period 2-0, 0-0, 2-1
- Likeliest 4-1 (7%), 5-2 (6%), 5-1 (4%)
Season so far
This seasonSt. Thomas Tommies
Alaska Anchorage
Head-to-head
St. Thomas 1–0
Alaska Anch. - Nov 7, 2026: St. Thomas Tommies 7, Alaska Anchorage 4.
Last five games
St. Thomas
2-3-0 - Win, 4–1 at Miami, Oct 31. Odds: Miami (OH) 2.12, St. Thomas 2.60.
- Loss, 1–2 at Miami, Oct 30. Odds: Miami (OH) 2.08, St. Thomas 2.65.
- Loss, 0–2 at Minnesota State Mavericks, Oct 24. Odds: Minnesota State 2.30, St. Thomas 2.45.
- Loss, 1–3 against Minnesota State Mavericks, Oct 23. Odds: St. Thomas 2.08, Minnesota State 2.70.
- Win, 4–2 against Air Force Falcons, Oct 10. Odds: St. Thomas 1.47, Air Force 5.30.
Alaska Anch.
1-3-1 - Overtime loss, 2–3 at Miami, after overtime, Oct 24. Odds: Miami (OH) 1.38, Alaska Anch. 6.00.
- Loss, 1–5 at Miami, Oct 23. Odds: Miami (OH) 1.42, Alaska Anch. 5.50.
- Loss, 2–4 against Lake Superior State Lakers, Oct 17.
- Win, 5–2 against Lake Superior State Lakers, Oct 16.
- Loss, 2–7 at Michigan Wolverines, Oct 10.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Key insights
- 3-game losing streak for Alaska Anchorage coming into this game.
- −1.0 goals away — Alaska Anchorage averaged 2.5 at home and 1.5 away this season.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (STT) | 1.36 | 1.35 | Shortened |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 5.00 | 5.00 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (ALA) | 6.20 | 5.50 | Shortened |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap STT | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
NCAA standings
NCAA · CCHA
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Minnesota State Mavericks |
30 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 105 | 1.750 | 0 |
| 2 |  Michigan Tech Huskies |
32 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 90 | 1.406 | 0 |
| 3 |  Bowling Green Falcons |
30 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 101 | 1.683 | 0 |
| 4 |  Ferris State Bulldogs |
29 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 75 | 1.293 | 0 |
| 5 |  Bemidji State Beavers |
30 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 81 | 1.350 | 0 |
| 6 |  Northern Michigan Wildcats |
28 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 78 | 1.393 | 0 |
| 7 | St. Thomas Tommies |
31 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 75 | 1.210 | 0 |
| 8 |  Lake Superior State Lakers |
30 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 61 | 1.017 | 0 |
NCAA · Independents
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Stonehill |
13 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 54 | 2.077 | 0 |
| 2 |  Alaska Nanooks |
28 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 75 | 1.339 | 0 |
| 3 |  Arizona State Sun Devils |
31 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 82 | 1.323 | 0 |
| 4 |  Long Island Sharks |
26 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 81 | 1.558 | 0 |
| 5 |  Lindenwood Lions |
24 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 80 | 1.667 | 0 |
| 6 | Alaska Anchorage |
20 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 37 | .925 | 0 |
Pts points, on the league’s own system. The table follows the league’s own order. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · +/− difference.
St. Thomas Tommies host Alaska Anchorage in the NCAA on Friday, November 6, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.