St. Thomas Tommies vs Minnesota State Mavericks prediction
Chance to win · 55% and 25% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 63%Full game
- 1X2LostSt. Thomasodds down 2.07Confidence 53%
- Over/UnderWonU6.5odds up 1.42Confidence 68%
- HandicapWonMinnesota State +1.51.40Confidence 56%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostSt. Thomas1.65Confidence 58%
- Best tip of the game: Double chanceLostSt. Thomas or draw1.37Confidence 65%
- Draw no betLostSt. Thomasodds up 1.60Confidence 60%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.08Confidence 82%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostSt. Thomasodds down 2.57Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU2.5Confidence 72%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: form from only 2 games.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
St. Thomas 3–2
Minnesota State Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min1–34%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost1–01st period1–118%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals1st · 2 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 1-0, 0-1, 2-1
- Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 2-1 (3%)
Season so far
This seasonSt. Thomas Tommies
Minnesota State Mavericks
Head-to-head
St. Thomas 2–3
Minnesota State - Oct 24, 2026: Minnesota State Mavericks 2, St. Thomas Tommies 0.
- Mar 20, 2026: Minnesota State Mavericks 4, St. Thomas Tommies 1.
- Jan 10, 2026: Minnesota State Mavericks 2, St. Thomas Tommies 4.
- Nov 1, 2025: Minnesota State Mavericks 3, St. Thomas Tommies 4, after overtime.
- Oct 31, 2025: St. Thomas Tommies 1, Minnesota State Mavericks 3.
Last five games
St. Thomas
3-2-0 - Win, 4–2 against Air Force Falcons, Oct 10. Odds: St. Thomas 1.47, Air Force 5.30.
- Loss, 1–5 against Air Force Falcons, Oct 9.
- Loss, 1–4 at Minnesota State Mavericks, Mar 20.
- Win, 2–1 against Augustana Vikings, Mar 14.
- Win, 5–2 against Lake Superior State Lakers, Mar 7.
Minnesota State
0-4-1 - Loss, 2–8 at Merrimack Warriors, Oct 17. Odds: Merrimack 1.95, Minnesota State 2.60.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 at Merrimack Warriors, after overtime, Oct 16. Odds: Merrimack 1.95, Minnesota State 2.67.
- Loss, 1–4 against Wisconsin Badgers, Oct 10.
- Loss, 0–4 against Wisconsin Badgers, Oct 9. Odds: Minnesota State 3.15, Wisconsin 1.93.
- Loss, 1–3 at Western Michigan Broncos, Mar 27.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Key insights
- 5-game losing streak for Minnesota State Mavericks coming into this game.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Minnesota State Mavericks.
- 4.8 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.
- 7th vs 1st in the NCAA standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (STT) | 2.08 | 2.08 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.10 | 4.10 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (MSM) | 2.70 | 2.70 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap STT | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
NCAA standings
NCAA · CCHA
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minnesota State Mavericks |
30 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 105 | 1.750 | 0 |
| 2 |  Michigan Tech Huskies |
32 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 90 | 1.406 | 0 |
| 3 |  Bowling Green Falcons |
30 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 101 | 1.683 | 0 |
| 4 |  Ferris State Bulldogs |
29 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 75 | 1.293 | 0 |
| 5 |  Bemidji State Beavers |
30 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 81 | 1.350 | 0 |
| 6 |  Northern Michigan Wildcats |
28 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 78 | 1.393 | 0 |
| 7 | St. Thomas Tommies |
31 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 75 | 1.210 | 0 |
| 8 |  Lake Superior State Lakers |
30 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 61 | 1.017 | 0 |
Pts points, on the league’s own system. The table follows the league’s own order. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · +/− difference.
St. Thomas Tommies host Minnesota State Mavericks in the NCAA on Friday, October 23, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.