St. Thomas Tommies vs North Dakota Fighting Hawks prediction
Chance to win · 25% and 55% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks · Average confidence 67%Full game
- 1X2North Dakota1.61Confidence 57%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderO4.51.35Confidence 71%
- HandicapSt. Thomas +2.51.42Confidence 67%
- Winner (incl. OT)North DakotaConfidence 69%
- Double chanceNorth Dakota or draw1.23Confidence 76%
- Draw no betNorth Dakota1.30Confidence 72%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)Yes1.09Confidence 86%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2North DakotaConfidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderO1.5Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
St. Thomas 2–4
North Dakota Score details
- Correct score2–44%chance
- 1st period correct score0–29%chance
- Highest scoring period3rd period31%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-4
- By period 0-2, 1-0, 1-2
- Likeliest 2-4 (4%), 2-3 (4%), 3-4 (2%)
Season so far
This seasonSt. Thomas Tommies
North Dakota Fighting Hawks
Head-to-head
St. Thomas 0–2
North Dakota - Oct 12, 2025: St. Thomas Tommies 2, North Dakota Fighting Hawks 5.
- Oct 10, 2025: North Dakota Fighting Hawks 6, St. Thomas Tommies 2.
Last five games
St. Thomas
3-2-0 - Win, 7–4 against Alaska Anchorage, Nov 7. Odds: St. Thomas 1.35, Alaska Anch. 6.20.
- Win, 5–2 against Alaska Anchorage, Nov 6. Odds: St. Thomas 1.35, Alaska Anch. 5.50.
- Win, 4–1 at Miami, Oct 31. Odds: Miami (OH) 2.12, St. Thomas 2.60.
- Loss, 1–2 at Miami, Oct 30. Odds: Miami (OH) 2.08, St. Thomas 2.65.
- Loss, 0–2 at Minnesota State Mavericks, Oct 24. Odds: Minnesota State 2.30, St. Thomas 2.45.
North Dakota
1-3-1 - Win, 4–1 against Western Michigan Broncos, Nov 7. Odds: North Dakota 2.55, W. Michigan 2.18.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 against Western Michigan Broncos, after a shootout, Nov 6. Odds: North Dakota 2.60, W. Michigan 2.00.
- Loss, 3–5 against Michigan State Spartans, Oct 31. Odds: North Dakota 3.00, Michigan State 1.86.
- Loss, 3–5 at Minnesota Golden Gophers, Oct 23. Odds: Minnesota 3.75, North Dakota 1.70.
- Loss, 3–5 at Minnesota Golden Gophers, Oct 22. Odds: Minnesota 3.90, North Dakota 1.62.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Key insights
- 3-game winning streak for St. Thomas Tommies coming into this game.
- 1-3-1 in the last five for North Dakota Fighting Hawks.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (STT) | 3.50 | 3.60 | Drifted |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.30 | 4.30 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (NDF) | 1.70 | 1.67 | Shortened |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap STT | +1.5 | +1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
NCAA standings
NCAA · CCHA
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Minnesota State Mavericks |
30 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 105 | 1.750 | 0 |
| 2 |  Michigan Tech Huskies |
32 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 90 | 1.406 | 0 |
| 3 |  Bowling Green Falcons |
30 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 101 | 1.683 | 0 |
| 4 |  Ferris State Bulldogs |
29 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 75 | 1.293 | 0 |
| 5 |  Bemidji State Beavers |
30 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 81 | 1.350 | 0 |
| 6 |  Northern Michigan Wildcats |
28 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 78 | 1.393 | 0 |
| 7 | St. Thomas Tommies |
31 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 75 | 1.210 | 0 |
| 8 |  Lake Superior State Lakers |
30 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 61 | 1.017 | 0 |
NCAA · NCHC
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Denver Pioneers |
30 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 112 | 1.867 | 0 |
| 2 |  St. Cloud State Huskies |
28 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 96 | 1.714 | 0 |
| 3 |  Western Michigan Broncos |
29 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 121 | 2.086 | 0 |
| 4 |  Omaha Mavericks |
28 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 86 | 1.536 | 0 |
| 5 | North Dakota Fighting Hawks |
29 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 104 | 1.793 | 0 |
| 6 |  Minnesota Duluth Bulldogs |
29 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 72 | 1.241 | 0 |
| 7 |  Colorado College Tigers |
28 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 68 | 1.214 | 0 |
| 8 |  Miami Redhawks |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
Pts points, on the league’s own system. The table follows the league’s own order. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · +/− difference.
St. Thomas Tommies host North Dakota Fighting Hawks in the NCAA on Friday, November 13, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.