Stavanger vs Lillehammer Prediction & Picks

Banker of the dayBanker Winner (incl. OT)

Stavanger 1.16

Confidence93%

All predictions

9 picks · Average confidence 73%

Full game

1X2Stavangerodds down 1.30Confidence 70%
Over/UnderU6.5odds up 1.65Confidence 70%
HandicapLillehammer +3.5odds up 1.42Confidence 72%
Banker of the day: Winner (incl. OT)Stavangerodds down 1.16Confidence 93%
Double chanceStavanger or drawodds down 1.09Confidence 84%
Draw no betStavangerodds down 1.12Confidence 81%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)YesConfidence 83%

1st period

1st period 1X2Stavangerodds down 1.87Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderO1.5odds down 1.80Confidence 54%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The banker is the day’s best bet at short odds, not its surest result. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Stavanger 41

Lillehammer

Predicted score

Total goalsTotal 5 Line 6.5 · Under

Draw after 60 minDraw 16%

STA to winTo win 78% 68% in regulation

Score details

Correct score4–17%chance
1st period correct score2–012%chance
Highest scoring period3rd period27%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 4-1
By period 2-0, 0-0, 2-1
Likeliest 4-1 (7%), 3-1 (5%), 4-2 (5%)

Predicted team stats

The brighter bar is the bigger figure

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record6-6-12-9-1

Home / road split5-2-02-3-0

StreakW1L7

Rest11 days11 days

Goals for2.61.9

Goals against3.04.0

In the standings5th9th

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game+0.3−2.4

Goals for3.01.8

Goals against2.74.2

Shots on goal27.021.7

Shots against24.032.7

Shooting %11.1%8.3%

Save %88.8%87.5%

Power-play %29.3%10.3%

Penalty kill %78.9%75.6%

Penalty minutes8.511.7

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Head-to-head

Stavanger 50

Lillehammer

Stavanger won five of the last five meetings

Goals a gameGoals 7.4 STA 5.4 · LIL 2.0

Over 6.5 goalsOver 6.5 4 of 5 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 0 of 5 All decided in regulation

Oct 22, 2026: Lillehammer 1, Stavanger 6.
Feb 24, 2026: Lillehammer 3, Stavanger 6.
Jan 3, 2026: Lillehammer 0, Stavanger 6.
Dec 20, 2025: Stavanger 4, Lillehammer 3.
Oct 31, 2025: Stavanger 5, Lillehammer 3.

Last five games

Stavanger 2-2-1

Win, 2–1 against Frisk Asker, Oct 31. Odds: Stavanger 2.60, Frisk Asker 2.15.
Overtime loss, 0–1 at Narvik, after overtime, Oct 29. Odds: Narvik 4.50, Stavanger 1.46.
Loss, 1–4 against Valerenga, Oct 24. Odds: Stavanger 2.65, Valerenga 2.05.
Win, 6–1 at Lillehammer, Oct 22. Odds: Lillehammer 5.25, Stavanger 1.40.
Loss, 2–5 at Frisk Asker, Oct 17. Odds: Frisk Asker 1.55, Stavanger 3.90.

Lillehammer 0-5-0

Loss, 0–3 against Valerenga, Oct 31. Odds: Lillehammer 7.50, Valerenga 1.22.
Loss, 0–6 against Storhamar, Oct 24. Odds: Lillehammer 9.00, Storhamar 1.18.
Loss, 1–6 against Stavanger, Oct 22. Odds: Lillehammer 5.25, Stavanger 1.40.
Loss, 2–5 at Nidaros, Oct 17. Odds: Nidaros 2.18, Lillehammer 2.37.
Loss, 3–5 against Frisk Asker, Oct 15. Odds: Lillehammer 6.60, Frisk Asker 1.35.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Key insights

7-game losing streak for Lillehammer coming into this game.
5-0 in the last 5 meetings for Stavanger.
The total moved up from 5.5 to 6.5 since it was first published.
Goal differential gap of 2.7 per game — Stavanger +0.3, Lillehammer −2.4 over their recent games.
+1.5 goals at home — Stavanger averaged 3.3 at home and 1.8 away this season.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (STA)	1.28	1.22	Shortened
1X2: X (draw)	5.20	7.00	Drifted
1X2: 2 (LIL)	7.00	8.00	Drifted
Over/Under line	5.5	6.5	Line raised
Handicap STA	−2.5	−2.5	No change

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

Fjordkraft-ligaen standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Valerenga	12	11	1	0	33	1.375	56	16	+40
2	Frisk Asker	13	9	3	1	28	1.077	46	28	+18
3	Storhamar	12	9	3	0	25	1.042	48	20	+28
4	Nidaros	12	7	4	1	21	.875	33	33	0
5	Stavanger	13	6	6	1	19	.731	34	39	−5
6	Stjernen	13	4	7	2	13	.500	34	41	−7
7	Ringerike	13	4	8	1	12	.462	23	52	−29
8	Narvik	12	4	8	0	10	.417	23	43	−20
9	Lillehammer	12	2	9	1	4	.167	23	48	−25

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Relegation

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Stavanger vs Lillehammer prediction