Stavanger vs Stjernen prediction
Chance to win · 49% and 31% in regulation
Emond Z.StartedSV 88.7% · GAA 2.90 · 5-5-0
Nauseda F.StartedSV 88.8% · GAA 3.20 · 5-5-0All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 64%Full game
- 1X2WonStavangerodds up 1.50Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderLostU6.5odds down 1.43Confidence 71%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonStjernen +2.5odds down 1.52Confidence 72%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonStavanger1.31Confidence 61%
- Double chanceWonStavanger or drawodds up 1.15Confidence 70%
- Draw no betWonStavanger1.25Confidence 63%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.11Confidence 86%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostStavangerodds down 1.95Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds down 1.87Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Stavanger 3–1
Stjernen Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–1After 60 min4–35%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period1–19%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost1st periodMost goals2nd · 3 goals20%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-1
- By period 2-0, 0-1, 1-0
- Likeliest 3-1 (5%), 4-2 (4%), 3-2 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formStavanger
Stjernen
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Stavanger 4–1
Stjernen - Sep 24, 2026: Stjernen 4, Stavanger 1.
- Feb 19, 2026: Stjernen 1, Stavanger 2, after overtime.
- Jan 27, 2026: Stjernen 3, Stavanger 4, after overtime.
- Nov 25, 2025: Stavanger 5, Stjernen 0.
- Nov 15, 2025: Stjernen 2, Stavanger 4.
Last five games
Stavanger
3-2-0 - Loss, 2–6 at Storhamar, Oct 10. Odds: Storhamar 1.38, Stavanger 4.75.
- Win, 4–2 against Narvik, Oct 8.
- Win, 6–2 against Ringerike, Oct 1.
- Win, 3–2 against Storhamar, Sep 26.
- Loss, 1–4 at Stjernen, Sep 24.
Stjernen
3-2-0 - Win, 4–3 at Lillehammer, after a shootout, Oct 8.
- Loss, 1–4 against Frisk Asker, Oct 3.
- Loss, 0–8 against Valerenga, Oct 1.
- Win, 5–2 at Ringerike, Sep 26.
- Win, 4–1 against Stavanger, Sep 24.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-1
- 01:35 2 min Stavanger: Strandborg A. Boarding
- 03:23 Goal PPG Stjernen: Jessesen N. assists: Olsen M., Johansen S. 0-1
- 03:51 2 min Stjernen: Pedersen H. Delay of game
- 16:35 Goal Stavanger: Hoff L. assists: Karlsen C., Strandborg A. 1-1
2nd period3-0
- 05:40 2 min Stjernen: Myklebust C. Interference
- 07:22 Goal PPG Stavanger: Christian Rodne L. assists: Strandborg A., Karlsen C. 2-1
- 12:01 2 min Stjernen: Olsen M. Slashing
- 14:21 2 min Stavanger: Watson C. Holding
- 15:35 2 min Stjernen: Hedman L. Roughing
- 15:44 Goal PPG Stavanger: Pettersson L. assists: Trettenes M. 3-1
- 19:30 Goal Stavanger: Pettersson L. assists: Watson C., Trettenes M. 4-1
3rd period0-2
- 06:13 Goal Stjernen: Ryen S. assists: Jakobsson K., Hedman L. 4-2
- 16:09 2 min Stavanger: Lokkeberg J. Tripping
- 16:29 Goal PPG Stjernen: Jakobsson K. assists: Ohman O., Nordlund T. 4-3
- 20:00 2 min Stjernen: Eliesen N. Hooking
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Rest advantage: 6 days off for Stjernen, 4 for Stavanger.
- In goal: Emond Z. for Stavanger (5-5-0 in the last 10 starts), Nauseda F. for Stjernen (5-5-0 in the last 10 starts).
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Stavanger.
- 5.2 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.
- 5th vs 6th in the Fjordkraft-ligaen standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (STA) | 1.53 | 1.73 | Drifted |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.64 | 4.27 | Shortened |
| 1X2: 2 (STJ) | 4.79 | 3.80 | Shortened |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap STA | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Fjordkraft-ligaen standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Valerenga |
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 33 | 1.375 | 56 | 16 | +40 |
| 2 |  Frisk Asker |
13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 28 | 1.077 | 46 | 28 | +18 |
| 3 |  Storhamar |
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 25 | 1.042 | 48 | 20 | +28 |
| 4 |  Nidaros |
12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 21 | .875 | 33 | 33 | 0 |
| 5 | Stavanger |
13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 19 | .731 | 34 | 39 | −5 |
| 6 | Stjernen |
13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 13 | .500 | 34 | 41 | −7 |
| 7 |  Ringerike |
13 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 12 | .462 | 23 | 52 | −29 |
| 8 |  Narvik |
12 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 10 | .417 | 23 | 43 | −20 |
| 9 |  Lillehammer |
12 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 4 | .167 | 23 | 48 | −25 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Relegation
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Stavanger host Stjernen in the Fjordkraft-ligaen on Thursday, October 15, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.