Stavanger vs Valerenga prediction
Chance to win · 13% and 73% in regulation
Holm H.StartedSV 91.9% · GAA 2.30 · 6-3-1
Volden L.StartedSV 88.9% · GAA 2.20 · 6-4-0All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 71%Full game
- 1X2WonValerengaodds up 1.80Confidence 65%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonO4.5odds down 1.44Confidence 71%
- HandicapWonValerenga -1.5odds up 2.32Confidence 62%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonValerengaodds up 1.68Confidence 81%
- Double chanceWonValerenga or drawodds up 1.37Confidence 86%
- Draw no betWonValerengaodds up 1.65Confidence 84%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds down 1.08Confidence 83%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostValerengaodds up 2.55Confidence 53%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds down 1.88Confidence 56%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: an edge above the model’s usual ceiling; the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Stavanger 1–4
Valerenga Score details
- Correct scoreWon1–4After 60 min1–46%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–21st period0–011%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 4 goals27%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 1-4
- By period 0-2, 0-0, 1-2
- Likeliest 1-4 (6%), 2-5 (5%), 2-4 (5%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formStavanger
Valerenga
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Stavanger 1–4
Valerenga - Sep 16, 2026: Valerenga 2, Stavanger 0.
- Feb 14, 2026: Stavanger 1, Valerenga 2, after overtime.
- Jan 10, 2026: Valerenga 4, Stavanger 1.
- Dec 6, 2025: Stavanger 6, Valerenga 2.
- Nov 1, 2025: Valerenga 3, Stavanger 1.
Last five games
Stavanger
3-2-0 - Win, 6–1 at Lillehammer, Oct 22. Odds: Lillehammer 5.25, Stavanger 1.40.
- Loss, 2–5 at Frisk Asker, Oct 17. Odds: Frisk Asker 1.55, Stavanger 3.90.
- Win, 4–3 against Stjernen, Oct 15. Odds: Stavanger 1.73, Stjernen 3.80.
- Loss, 2–6 at Storhamar, Oct 10. Odds: Storhamar 1.38, Stavanger 4.75.
- Win, 4–2 against Narvik, Oct 8.
Valerenga
4-1-0 - Win, 5–2 against Frisk Asker, Oct 22. Odds: Valerenga 1.91, Frisk Asker 2.90.
- Win, 5–0 at Ringerike, Oct 15. Odds: Ringerike 8.80, Valerenga 1.23.
- Win, 5–0 against Lillehammer, Oct 10. Odds: Valerenga 1.18, Lillehammer 9.00.
- Win, 6–3 against Nidaros, Oct 8.
- Loss, 2–5 at Storhamar, Oct 3.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-0
- 12:29 2 min Valerenga: Halmrast Johansen L. Unsportsmanlike conduct
- 12:29 2 min Stavanger: Ostby K. Roughing
- 12:29 2 min Valerenga: Halmrast Johansen L. Roughing
- 17:15 2 min Stavanger: Fagerudd M. Roughing
2nd period0-1
- 12:08 2 min Stavanger: Ostby K. Tripping
- 12:08 2 min Stavanger: Ostby K. High sticking
- 12:40 Goal PPG Valerenga: Nilsen H. assists: Modigs M., Westerholm Po. 0-1
3rd period1-3
- 00:20 Goal Valerenga: Westerholm Po. assists: Modigs M., Koch G. 0-2
- 02:14 Goal Valerenga: Torrissen C. assists: Halmrast Johansen L., Dalen P. 0-3
- 03:48 2 min Stavanger: McCarthy C. Delay of game
- 03:48 2 min Stavanger: Norstebo M. Tripping
- 05:28 Goal PPG Valerenga: Vainio J. assists: Modigs M., Westerholm Pa. 0-4
- 14:28 2 min Valerenga: Koch G. Delay of game
- 18:35 2 min Valerenga: Olimb M. Tripping
- 19:31 Goal Stavanger: Trettenes M. assists: Pettersson L., Rensfeldt L. 1-4
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 4-game winning streak for Valerenga coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Stavanger dropped from 2.55 to 2.07 since they were first published.
- In goal: Holm H. for Stavanger (6-3-1 in the last 10 starts), Volden L. for Valerenga (6-4-0 in the last 10 starts).
- 4-1-0 at home for Stavanger this season.
- Goal differential gap of 2.9 per game — Stavanger −0.2, Valerenga +2.7 over their recent games.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (STA) | 3.40 | 2.65 | Shortened |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.50 | 4.50 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (VAL) | 1.75 | 2.05 | Drifted |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap STA | +1.5 | +0.5 | Line moved |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Fjordkraft-ligaen standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Valerenga |
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 33 | 1.375 | 56 | 16 | +40 |
| 2 |  Frisk Asker |
13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 28 | 1.077 | 46 | 28 | +18 |
| 3 |  Storhamar |
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 25 | 1.042 | 48 | 20 | +28 |
| 4 |  Nidaros |
12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 21 | .875 | 33 | 33 | 0 |
| 5 | Stavanger |
13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 19 | .731 | 34 | 39 | −5 |
| 6 |  Stjernen |
13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 13 | .500 | 34 | 41 | −7 |
| 7 |  Ringerike |
13 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 12 | .462 | 23 | 52 | −29 |
| 8 |  Narvik |
12 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 10 | .417 | 23 | 43 | −20 |
| 9 |  Lillehammer |
12 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 4 | .167 | 23 | 48 | −25 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Relegation
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Stavanger host Valerenga in the Fjordkraft-ligaen on Saturday, October 24, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.