Stjernen vs Narvik prediction
Chance to win · 73% and 13% in regulation
Byrkjeland K. L.StartedSV 86.7% · GAA 3.90 · 4-5-1
Hjalmarsson A.StartedSV 83.9% · GAA 4.75 · 1-3-0All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 73%Full game
- 1X2LostStjernenodds down 1.68Confidence 70%
- Over/UnderWonO4.5odds down 1.61Confidence 71%
- HandicapLostStjernen -1.5odds down 2.10Confidence 63%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostStjernenodds down 1.42Confidence 81%
- Double chanceLostStjernen or drawodds down 1.22Confidence 86%
- Banker of the day: Draw no betLostStjernenodds down 1.37Confidence 94%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds down 1.11Confidence 84%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostStjernenodds down 2.30Confidence 54%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds down 2.12Confidence 57%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The banker is the day’s best bet at short odds, not its surest result. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: an edge above the model’s usual ceiling; the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Stjernen 4–1
Narvik Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–1After 60 min2–46%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period0–012%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · 2nd & 3rd27%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-1
- By period 2-0, 0-0, 2-1
- Likeliest 4-1 (6%), 5-2 (5%), 4-2 (5%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formStjernen
Narvik
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Stjernen 3–2
Narvik - Sep 17, 2026: Narvik 2, Stjernen 7.
- Feb 14, 2026: Narvik 5, Stjernen 3.
- Dec 30, 2025: Stjernen 2, Narvik 1, after overtime.
- Dec 6, 2025: Narvik 5, Stjernen 3.
- Oct 16, 2025: Stjernen 4, Narvik 1.
Last five games
Stjernen
1-4-0 - Loss, 2–3 at Storhamar, Oct 17. Odds: Storhamar 1.22, Stjernen 7.20.
- Loss, 3–4 at Stavanger, Oct 15. Odds: Stavanger 1.73, Stjernen 3.80.
- Win, 4–3 at Lillehammer, after a shootout, Oct 8.
- Loss, 1–4 against Frisk Asker, Oct 3.
- Loss, 0–8 against Valerenga, Oct 1.
Narvik
1-4-0 - Win, 3–2 against Ringerike, after overtime, Oct 17. Odds: Narvik 1.79, Ringerike 3.21.
- Loss, 0–2 at Nidaros, Oct 10. Odds: Nidaros 1.87, Narvik 3.10.
- Loss, 2–4 at Stavanger, Oct 8.
- Loss, 3–5 against Lillehammer, Oct 3.
- Loss, 2–6 at Valerenga, Sep 26.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-0
- 19:28 2 min Narvik: Matushkin O. Delay of game
2nd period2-1
- 02:50 2 min Stjernen: Buskoven E. K. Tripping
- 02:57 Goal SHG Stjernen: Aarseth Opsahl J. 1-0
- 03:24 Penalty shot missed Stjernen: Jakobsson K.
- 09:10 2 min Narvik: Marthinsen K. Cross checking
- 12:08 Goal Narvik: Gloppen D. assists: Magnusson W. 1-1
- 14:13 Goal Stjernen: Hedman L. assists: Jakobsson K., Rosdahl L. 2-1
3rd period0-3
- 02:56 2 min Narvik: Selnes J. Tripping
- 08:26 Goal Narvik: Vold E. assists: Selnes J., Svarstad K. H. 2-2
- 11:27 Goal Narvik: Koskinen R. assists: Andersson N., Pantzare I. 2-3
- 20:00 Goal ENG Narvik: Magnusson W. assists: Pantzare I. 2-4
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 0-5-0 away for Narvik this season.
- In goal: Byrkjeland K. L. for Stjernen (4-5-1 in the last 10 starts), Hjalmarsson A. for Narvik (1-3-0 in the last 4 starts).
- The total moved up from 4.5 to 5.5 since it was first published.
- Goal differential gap of 2.6 per game — Stjernen −0.4, Narvik −3.0 over their recent games.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Stjernen.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (STJ) | 1.61 | 1.59 | Shortened |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 5.00 | 5.00 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (NAR) | 3.80 | 3.80 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 4.5 | 5.5 | Line raised |
| Handicap STJ | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Fjordkraft-ligaen standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Valerenga |
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 33 | 1.375 | 56 | 16 | +40 |
| 2 |  Frisk Asker |
13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 28 | 1.077 | 46 | 28 | +18 |
| 3 |  Storhamar |
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 25 | 1.042 | 48 | 20 | +28 |
| 4 |  Nidaros |
12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 21 | .875 | 33 | 33 | 0 |
| 5 |  Stavanger |
13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 19 | .731 | 34 | 39 | −5 |
| 6 | Stjernen |
13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 13 | .500 | 34 | 41 | −7 |
| 7 |  Ringerike |
13 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 12 | .462 | 23 | 52 | −29 |
| 8 | Narvik |
12 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 10 | .417 | 23 | 43 | −20 |
| 9 |  Lillehammer |
12 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 4 | .167 | 23 | 48 | −25 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Relegation
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Stjernen host Narvik in the Fjordkraft-ligaen on Thursday, October 22, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.