Strasbourg vs Caen prediction
Chance to win · 37% and 42% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 60%Full game
- 1X2WonCaenodds down 2.26Confidence 51%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonU71.57Confidence 69%
- HandicapLostStrasbourg +1.51.36Confidence 64%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonCaenodds down 1.80Confidence 51%
- Double chanceWonCaen or drawodds down 1.43Confidence 62%
- Draw no betWonCaenConfidence 51%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesConfidence 83%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonCaenodds down 2.60Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.51.56Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: form from only 2 games.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Strasbourg 2–3
Caen Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–3After 60 min1–54%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–21st period0–37%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals1st · 3 goals29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-3
- By period 0-2, 0-0, 2-1
- Likeliest 2-3 (4%), 3-4 (3%), 1-2 (3%)
Season so far
This seasonStrasbourg
Caen
Head-to-head
Strasbourg 1–4
Caen - Mar 7, 2026: Caen 4, Strasbourg 2.
- Oct 4, 2025: Strasbourg 3, Caen 4, after overtime.
- Apr 13, 2025: Caen 7, Strasbourg 4.
- Apr 10, 2025: Strasbourg 3, Caen 4.
- Apr 9, 2025: Strasbourg 5, Caen 1.
Last five games
Strasbourg
3-2-0 - Win, 3–2 at Nantes, after a shootout, Oct 10.
- Win, 2–1 against Villard, Oct 3.
- Win, 8–2 at Luxembourg, Sep 26.
- Loss, 3–5 at Tours, Mar 26.
- Loss, 4–7 at Tours, Mar 25.
Caen
1-1-3 - Win, 5–2 against Valenciennes, Oct 10.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 at Chambery, after overtime, Oct 3.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 at Tours, after a shootout, Sep 26.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 against Cholet, after overtime, Apr 26.
- Loss, 2–4 at Cholet, Apr 23.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Key insights
- 3-game winning streak for Strasbourg coming into this game.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Caen.
- 1-1-3 in the last five for Caen.
- 7.4 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 6.5.
- 14th vs 7th in the D1 standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (STR) | 2.25 | 2.29 | Drifted |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.75 | 4.40 | Shortened |
| 1X2: 2 (CAE) | 2.15 | 2.29 | Drifted |
| Over/Under line | 6.5 | 6.5 | No change |
| Handicap STR | +1.5 | +1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
D1 standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nantes |
8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 1.188 | 28 | 14 | +14 |
| 2 |  Lyon |
8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 1.063 | 33 | 23 | +10 |
| 3 |  Dunkerque Corsaires |
8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 1.000 | 35 | 20 | +15 |
| 4 |  Neuilly Sur Marne |
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 1.071 | 29 | 24 | +5 |
| 5 |  Valence |
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 1.071 | 26 | 18 | +8 |
| 6 |  Epinal |
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15 | .938 | 23 | 15 | +8 |
| 7 | Caen |
7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | .929 | 24 | 16 | +8 |
| 8 |  Chambery |
6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10 | .833 | 21 | 16 | +5 |
| 9 |  Meudon |
8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10 | .625 | 21 | 25 | −4 |
| 10 |  Tours |
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | .714 | 18 | 30 | −12 |
| 11 |  Mont Blanc |
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | .643 | 23 | 24 | −1 |
| 12 |  Villard |
8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 9 | .563 | 18 | 27 | −9 |
| 13 |  Morzine-Avoriaz |
8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 7 | .438 | 22 | 32 | −10 |
| 14 | Strasbourg |
8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 7 | .438 | 15 | 26 | −11 |
| 15 |  Cholet |
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | .417 | 14 | 19 | −5 |
| 16 |  Valenciennes |
7 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 11 | 32 | −21 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Play Out
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Strasbourg host Caen in the D1 on Saturday, October 17, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.