Stromsbro IF vs Surahammar prediction
Chance to win · 47% and 32% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 65%Full game
- 1X2LostStromsbroodds down 1.68Confidence 51%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonU7.5odds down 1.25Confidence 73%
- HandicapWonSurahammar +2.5odds down 1.35Confidence 69%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostStromsbro1.40Confidence 57%
- Double chanceLostStromsbro or drawodds down 1.28Confidence 66%
- Draw no betLostStromsbroodds down 1.36Confidence 59%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)LostYesodds up 1.09Confidence 84%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostStromsbroodds up 2.20Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU2.5odds down 1.21Confidence 79%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: form from only 4 games; the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Stromsbro 3–1
Surahammar Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–1After 60 min0–44%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost1–01st period0–118%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 3 goals28%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-1
- By period 1-0, 1-0, 1-1
- Likeliest 3-1 (4%), 3-2 (4%), 4-2 (4%)
Season so far
This seasonStromsbro IF
Surahammar
Head-to-head
Stromsbro 1–1
Surahammar - Jan 31, 2026: Surahammar 3, Stromsbro IF 4, after a shootout.
- Oct 18, 2025: Stromsbro IF 2, Surahammar 3, after a shootout.
Last five games
Stromsbro
2-2-1 - Loss, 1–4 at Ornskoldsvik, Oct 11.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 at Pitea, after a shootout, Oct 10. Odds: Pitea 1.74, Stromsbro 3.00.
- Win, 3–2 at Sundsvall, Oct 2.
- Win, 3–2 against Sollentuna, after overtime, Sep 25.
- Loss, 4–7 against Hudiksvall, Mar 17.
Surahammar
2-2-1 - Win, 2–1 at Enkoping, Oct 11.
- Loss, 2–5 against Jarfalla, Oct 9. Odds: Surahammar 1.83, Jarfalla 3.05.
- Overtime loss, 1–2 at Vasby, after a shootout, Oct 2.
- Win, 3–0 at Asploven, Sep 27.
- Loss, 1–4 at Boden, Sep 26.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-1
- 04:58 Goal Surahammar: Lundgren T. assists: Lilja A., Campbell W. 0-1
2nd period0-0
No goals or penalties.
3rd period0-3
- 02:48 Goal Surahammar: Joona M. assists: Dahlqvist K., Campbell W. 0-2
- 04:12 Goal Surahammar: Stark A. assists: Semjonovs R., Naslund S. 0-3
- 18:53 Goal ENG Surahammar: Lilja A. assists: Sjolund H., Jovicic Tellstrom S. 0-4
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 12th vs 7th in the HockeyEttan Norra standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (STR) | 1.68 | 1.68 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.13 | 4.13 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (SUR) | 3.87 | 3.87 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap STR | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
HockeyEttan Norra standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hudiksvall |
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 1.300 | 62 | 13 | +49 |
| 2 |  Sundsvall |
11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 1.000 | 45 | 27 | +18 |
| 3 |  Boden |
11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 1.000 | 47 | 35 | +12 |
| 4 |  Ornskoldsvik |
10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 1.050 | 37 | 28 | +9 |
| 5 |  Pitea |
10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 1.000 | 37 | 29 | +8 |
| 6 |  Kalix |
12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 20 | .833 | 36 | 28 | +8 |
| 7 | Surahammar |
11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 18 | .818 | 22 | 23 | −1 |
| 8 |  Lindloven |
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 17 | .944 | 26 | 18 | +8 |
| 9 |  Vasby |
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 17 | .944 | 31 | 28 | +3 |
| 10 |  Kiruna IF |
12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 17 | .708 | 33 | 34 | −1 |
| 11 |  Jarfalla |
11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 17 | .773 | 36 | 39 | −3 |
| 12 | Stromsbro IF |
9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 15 | .833 | 20 | 23 | −3 |
| 13 |  Asploven |
11 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 15 | .682 | 25 | 33 | −8 |
| 14 |  Borlange |
12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 14 | .583 | 28 | 31 | −3 |
| 15 |  Vallentuna |
10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 13 | .650 | 35 | 36 | −1 |
| 16 |  Sollentuna |
10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 10 | .500 | 26 | 44 | −18 |
| 17 |  Norrtalje |
11 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 7 | .318 | 24 | 40 | −16 |
| 18 |  Enkoping |
10 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 6 | .300 | 23 | 41 | −18 |
| 19 |  Arlanda |
11 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 3 | .136 | 15 | 58 | −43 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Play Out
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Stromsbro IF host Surahammar in the HockeyEttan Norra on Friday, October 16, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.