Sundsvall vs Asploven prediction
Chance to win · 77% and 10% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 75%Full game
- 1X2LostSundsvallodds down 1.43Confidence 76%
- Over/UnderWonO4.5odds up 1.36Confidence 71%
- HandicapLostSundsvall -1.5odds down 1.68Confidence 66%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostSundsvallodds down 1.14Confidence 83%
- Double chanceLostSundsvall or drawodds down 1.16Confidence 88%
- Banker of the day: Draw no betLostSundsvallodds down 1.20Confidence 95%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.11Confidence 82%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonSundsvallodds down 1.75Confidence 55%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds up 1.81Confidence 55%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The banker is the day’s best bet at short odds, not its surest result. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Sundsvall 4–1
Asploven Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–1After 60 min2–47%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period2–113%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals1st · 3 goals29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-1
- By period 2-0, 0-0, 2-1
- Likeliest 4-1 (7%), 5-2 (6%), 5-1 (5%)
Season so far
This seasonSundsvall
Asploven
Last five games
Sundsvall
5-0-0 - Win, 7–2 against Vasby, Oct 31. Odds: Sundsvall 1.50, Vasby 4.55.
- Win, 5–3 against Enkoping, Oct 25. Odds: Sundsvall 1.18, Enkoping 10.00.
- Win, 4–2 at Vallentuna, Oct 23. Odds: Vallentuna 5.40, Sundsvall 1.40.
- Win, 6–0 against Arlanda, Oct 16. Odds: Sundsvall 1.22, Arlanda 9.05.
- Win, 4–2 against Sollentuna, Oct 9. Odds: Sundsvall 1.41, Sollentuna 5.00.
Asploven
2-3-0 - Loss, 2–4 against Pitea, Oct 24. Odds: Asploven 4.35, Pitea 1.53.
- Win, 3–2 at Pitea, Oct 23. Odds: Pitea 1.40, Asploven 5.30.
- Win, 5–1 at Jarfalla, Oct 18. Odds: Jarfalla 1.83, Asploven 2.95.
- Loss, 0–1 at Enkoping, Oct 17. Odds: Enkoping 2.40, Asploven 2.26.
- Loss, 1–4 against Borlange, Oct 10.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period2-1
- 00:47 Goal Sundsvall: Arpe M. assists: Lindgren L., Olsen H. 1-0
- 02:07 Goal Asploven: Ylivainio J. 1-1
- 19:47 Goal PPG Sundsvall: Wiberg J. assists: Wiberg F., Malm H. 2-1
2nd period0-2
- 01:43 Goal Asploven: Virta S. assists: Kantola E., Andresen M. 2-2
- 11:59 Goal Asploven: Maenpaa K. assists: Virta S. 2-3
3rd period0-1
- 18:43 Goal ENG Asploven: Ylivainio J. 2-4
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 6-game winning streak for Sundsvall coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Sundsvall dropped from 1.22 to 1.14 since they were first published.
- 4-1-0 at home for Sundsvall this season.
- 2nd vs 13th in the HockeyEttan Norra standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (SUN) | 1.40 | 1.26 | Shortened |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 5.05 | 5.50 | Drifted |
| 1X2: 2 (ASP) | 5.40 | 7.50 | Drifted |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap SUN | −1.5 | −2.5 | Line moved |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
HockeyEttan Norra standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hudiksvall |
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 1.300 | 62 | 13 | +49 |
| 2 | Sundsvall |
11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 1.000 | 45 | 27 | +18 |
| 3 |  Boden |
11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 1.000 | 47 | 35 | +12 |
| 4 |  Ornskoldsvik |
10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 1.050 | 37 | 28 | +9 |
| 5 |  Pitea |
10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 1.000 | 37 | 29 | +8 |
| 6 |  Kalix |
12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 20 | .833 | 36 | 28 | +8 |
| 7 |  Surahammar |
11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 18 | .818 | 22 | 23 | −1 |
| 8 |  Lindloven |
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 17 | .944 | 26 | 18 | +8 |
| 9 |  Vasby |
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 17 | .944 | 31 | 28 | +3 |
| 10 |  Kiruna IF |
12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 17 | .708 | 33 | 34 | −1 |
| 11 |  Jarfalla |
11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 17 | .773 | 36 | 39 | −3 |
| 12 |  Stromsbro IF |
9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 15 | .833 | 20 | 23 | −3 |
| 13 | Asploven |
11 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 15 | .682 | 25 | 33 | −8 |
| 14 |  Borlange |
12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 14 | .583 | 28 | 31 | −3 |
| 15 |  Vallentuna |
10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 13 | .650 | 35 | 36 | −1 |
| 16 |  Sollentuna |
10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 10 | .500 | 26 | 44 | −18 |
| 17 |  Norrtalje |
11 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 7 | .318 | 24 | 40 | −16 |
| 18 |  Enkoping |
10 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 6 | .300 | 23 | 41 | −18 |
| 19 |  Arlanda |
11 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 3 | .136 | 15 | 58 | −43 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Play Out
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Sundsvall host Asploven in the HockeyEttan Norra on Friday, November 6, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.