Surahammar vs Norrtalje prediction
Chance to win · 63% and 20% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 71%Full game
- 1X2WonSurahammar1.72Confidence 65%
- Over/UnderWonU7.5odds down 1.33Confidence 72%
- HandicapLostSurahammar -1.5odds down 2.12Confidence 53%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonSurahammar1.44Confidence 75%
- Best tip of the game: Double chanceWonSurahammar or draw1.25Confidence 81%
- Draw no betWonSurahammar1.39Confidence 78%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.06Confidence 84%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonSurahammarodds up 2.19Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU2.5odds down 1.27Confidence 76%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Surahammar 4–1
Norrtalje Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–1After 60 min3–26%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost1–01st period2–019%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 3 goals29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-1
- By period 1-0, 1-0, 2-1
- Likeliest 4-1 (6%), 5-2 (5%), 4-2 (4%)
Season so far
This seasonSurahammar
Norrtalje
Head-to-head
Surahammar 1–1
Norrtalje - Jan 21, 2026: Surahammar 4, Norrtalje 7.
- Oct 29, 2025: Norrtalje 1, Surahammar 4.
Last five games
Surahammar
3-1-1 - Win, 4–0 at Stromsbro IF, Oct 16. Odds: Stromsbro 1.68, Surahammar 3.87.
- Win, 2–1 at Enkoping, Oct 11.
- Loss, 2–5 against Jarfalla, Oct 9. Odds: Surahammar 1.83, Jarfalla 3.05.
- Overtime loss, 1–2 at Vasby, after a shootout, Oct 2.
- Win, 3–0 at Asploven, Sep 27.
Norrtalje
1-4-0 - Loss, 2–4 at Pitea, Oct 11.
- Loss, 1–4 at Ornskoldsvik, Oct 10. Odds: Ornskoldsvik 1.52, Norrtalje 3.85.
- Loss, 2–5 against Sundsvall, Oct 4.
- Loss, 0–8 at Hudiksvall, Oct 2.
- Win, 5–0 against Sollentuna, Sep 27.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period2-0
- 01:29 Goal Surahammar: Dahlqvist K. assists: Stark A., Eriksson F. 1-0
- 05:06 Goal Surahammar: Eriksson F. assists: Stark A., Hansson M. 2-0
2nd period0-0
No goals or penalties.
3rd period1-2
- 11:13 Goal Norrtalje: Sjolund L. assists: Dahlin C., Dufva M. 2-1
- 12:52 Goal Surahammar: Campbell W. assists: Lundgren T., Naslund S. 3-1
- 17:35 Goal Norrtalje: Sjolund L. assists: Forsstrom T., Hakansson E. 3-2
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 4-game losing streak for Norrtalje coming into this game.
- Rest advantage: 6 days off for Norrtalje, 1 for Surahammar.
- The total moved down from 6.5 to 5.5 since it was first published.
- 7th vs 17th in the HockeyEttan Norra standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (SUR) | 1.75 | 1.75 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.35 | 4.35 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (NOR) | 3.30 | 3.30 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 6.5 | 5.5 | Line lowered |
| Handicap SUR | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
HockeyEttan Norra standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hudiksvall |
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 1.300 | 62 | 13 | +49 |
| 2 |  Sundsvall |
11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 1.000 | 45 | 27 | +18 |
| 3 |  Boden |
11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 1.000 | 47 | 35 | +12 |
| 4 |  Ornskoldsvik |
10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 1.050 | 37 | 28 | +9 |
| 5 |  Pitea |
10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 1.000 | 37 | 29 | +8 |
| 6 |  Kalix |
12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 20 | .833 | 36 | 28 | +8 |
| 7 | Surahammar |
11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 18 | .818 | 22 | 23 | −1 |
| 8 |  Lindloven |
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 17 | .944 | 26 | 18 | +8 |
| 9 |  Vasby |
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 17 | .944 | 31 | 28 | +3 |
| 10 |  Kiruna IF |
12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 17 | .708 | 33 | 34 | −1 |
| 11 |  Jarfalla |
11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 17 | .773 | 36 | 39 | −3 |
| 12 |  Stromsbro IF |
9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 15 | .833 | 20 | 23 | −3 |
| 13 |  Asploven |
11 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 15 | .682 | 25 | 33 | −8 |
| 14 |  Borlange |
12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 14 | .583 | 28 | 31 | −3 |
| 15 |  Vallentuna |
10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 13 | .650 | 35 | 36 | −1 |
| 16 |  Sollentuna |
10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 10 | .500 | 26 | 44 | −18 |
| 17 | Norrtalje |
11 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 7 | .318 | 24 | 40 | −16 |
| 18 |  Enkoping |
10 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 6 | .300 | 23 | 41 | −18 |
| 19 |  Arlanda |
11 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 3 | .136 | 15 | 58 | −43 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Play Out
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Surahammar host Norrtalje in the HockeyEttan Norra on Sunday, October 18, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.