Surahammar vs Sollentuna prediction
Chance to win · 62% and 21% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 71%Full game
- 1X2LostSurahammarodds down 1.76Confidence 64%
- Over/UnderWonO4.5odds down 1.32Confidence 71%
- HandicapLostSurahammar +1.5odds down 1.18Confidence 78%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostSurahammarodds down 1.41Confidence 74%
- Best tip of the game: Double chanceLostSurahammar or drawodds down 1.32Confidence 81%
- Draw no betLostSurahammarodds down 1.43Confidence 77%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.07Confidence 85%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostSurahammarodds down 2.17Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds up 1.72Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–1After 60 min1–56%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period0–210%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals2nd · 3 goals29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-1
- By period 2-0, 0-0, 2-1
- Likeliest 4-1 (6%), 5-2 (5%), 4-2 (4%)
Season so far
This seasonHead-to-head
- Feb 18, 2026: Surahammar 3, Sollentuna 4.
- Jan 28, 2026: Sollentuna 3, Surahammar 4, after a shootout.
Last five games
- Win, 2–1 at Arlanda, Oct 28. Odds: Arlanda 4.73, Surahammar 1.49.
- Win, 2–1 against Borlange, after overtime, Oct 23. Odds: Surahammar 2.70, Borlange 2.05.
- Win, 3–2 against Norrtalje, Oct 18. Odds: Surahammar 1.75, Norrtalje 3.30.
- Win, 4–0 at Stromsbro IF, Oct 16. Odds: Stromsbro 1.68, Surahammar 3.87.
- Win, 2–1 at Enkoping, Oct 11.
- Loss, 1–5 at Kalix, Nov 1. Odds: Kalix 1.57, Sollentuna 4.10.
- Win, 4–2 at Kiruna IF, Oct 31. Odds: Kiruna 2.30, Sollentuna 2.35.
- Loss, 2–5 against Borlange, Oct 25. Odds: Sollentuna 2.90, Borlange 1.90.
- Win, 4–2 against Hudiksvall, Oct 11.
- Loss, 2–4 at Sundsvall, Oct 9. Odds: Sundsvall 1.41, Sollentuna 5.00.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-2
- 11:50 Goal PPG Sollentuna: Paulsson L. assists: Ek E., Molin L. 0-1
- 17:59 Goal Sollentuna: Paulsson L. assists: Mollerstedt F. 0-2
2nd period0-3
- 02:42 Goal Sollentuna: Bergsdorf F. assists: Magnusson O., Marinkovic K. 0-3
- 12:46 Goal Sollentuna: Ekstrom A. 0-4
- 19:49 Goal Sollentuna: Boman S. 0-5
3rd period1-0
- 03:19 Goal PPG Surahammar: Filipson F. assists: Rydell L. 1-5
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 5-game winning streak for Surahammar coming into this game.
- Rest advantage: 6 days off for Surahammar, 2 for Sollentuna.
- 1-3-1 away for Sollentuna this season.
- 7th vs 16th in the HockeyEttan Norra standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (SUR) | 1.70 | 1.70 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.35 | 4.35 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (SOL) | 3.50 | 3.50 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap SUR | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
HockeyEttan Norra standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 1.300 | 62 | 13 | +49 | |
| 2 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 1.000 | 45 | 27 | +18 | |
| 3 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 1.000 | 47 | 35 | +12 | |
| 4 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 1.050 | 37 | 28 | +9 | |
| 5 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 1.000 | 37 | 29 | +8 | |
| 6 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 20 | .833 | 36 | 28 | +8 | |
| 7 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 18 | .818 | 22 | 23 | −1 | |
| 8 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 17 | .944 | 26 | 18 | +8 | |
| 9 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 17 | .944 | 31 | 28 | +3 | |
| 10 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 17 | .708 | 33 | 34 | −1 | |
| 11 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 17 | .773 | 36 | 39 | −3 | |
| 12 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 15 | .833 | 20 | 23 | −3 | |
| 13 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 15 | .682 | 25 | 33 | −8 | |
| 14 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 14 | .583 | 28 | 31 | −3 | |
| 15 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 13 | .650 | 35 | 36 | −1 | |
| 16 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 10 | .500 | 26 | 44 | −18 | |
| 17 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 7 | .318 | 24 | 40 | −16 | |
| 18 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 6 | .300 | 23 | 41 | −18 | |
| 19 | 11 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 3 | .136 | 15 | 58 | −43 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Play Out
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Surahammar host Sollentuna in the HockeyEttan Norra on Wednesday, November 4, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.