Sweden vs Denmark prediction
Chance to win · 78% and 9% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 64%Full game
- 1X2WonSwedenodds up 1.01Confidence 63%
- Over/UnderWonO5.5odds up 1.65Confidence 52%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapLostDenmark +6.5odds up 1.25Confidence 66%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonSwedenodds up 1.01Confidence 66%
- Double chanceWonSweden or drawConfidence 68%
- Draw no betWonSwedenConfidence 67%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)LostYesodds up 1.77Confidence 81%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonSwedenodds up 1.28Confidence 55%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds down 1.74Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: form from only 2 games; the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; an edge above the model’s usual ceiling.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Sweden 5–1
Denmark Score details
- Correct scoreLost5–1After 60 min10–06%chance
- 1st period correct scoreWon2–01st period2–017%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon2nd periodMost goals2nd · 5 goals27%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 5-1
- By period 2-0, 2-1, 1-0
- Likeliest 5-1 (6%), 6-1 (4%), 5-2 (4%)
Season so far
This seasonSweden
Denmark
Head-to-head
Sweden 1–0
Denmark - Apr 3, 2024: Denmark 1, Sweden 3.
Last five games
Sweden
2-3-0 - Win, 4–1 at Finland, Nov 8. Odds: Finland 2.50, Sweden 2.60.
- Loss, 1–5 against Canada, Nov 6. Odds: Sweden 15.00, Canada 1.09.
- Loss, 2–3 at Switzerland, Apr 19, 2025.
- Loss, 2–3 at Finland, Apr 17, 2025.
- Win, 8–0 at Norway, Apr 15, 2025.
Denmark
1-4-0 - Loss, 0–10 against Canada, Nov 9. Odds: Denmark 101.00, Canada 1.01.
- Win, 3–2 at Japan, after a shootout, Nov 7. Odds: Japan 1.50, Denmark 5.50.
- Loss, 1–4 against Finland, Nov 6. Odds: Denmark 35.00, Finland 1.01.
- Loss, 0–5 against Germany, Nov 3.
- Loss, 1–3 against Hungary, Feb 8.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period2-0
- 07:16 Goal Sweden: Ljungblom L. assists: Jungaker M. 1-0
- 09:21 2 min Denmark: Skott Dahl S. Delay of game
- 17:57 Goal Sweden: Lowenhielm M. assists: Karlsson I., Holmgren J. 2-0
2nd period5-0
- 01:42 Goal Sweden: Karlsson I. assists: Holmgren J. 3-0
- 02:11 Goal Sweden: Hedqvist E. assists: Lowenhielm M., Jungaker M. 4-0
- 04:08 2 min Denmark: Bergmann N. Tripping
- 04:22 Goal PPG Sweden: Hjalmarsson S. assists: Jungaker M., Svensson H. 5-0
- 10:47 Goal Sweden: Hall N. assists: Jungaker M. 6-0
- 17:18 Goal Sweden: Hedqvist E. assists: Lowenhielm M., Bouveng J. 7-0
3rd period3-0
- 03:55 Goal Sweden: Grillfors T. assists: Blom L., Ljungblom L. 8-0
- 05:04 2 min Denmark: Sorensen M. Hooking
- 07:33 Goal Sweden: Johansson T. assists: Lowenhielm M., Blom L. 9-0
- 13:04 Goal Sweden: Hall N. assists: Lundin S., Hjalmarsson S. 10-0
- 13:49 2 min Sweden: Bouveng J. Interference
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Second game in two days for Denmark, who played yesterday.
- 1-4-0 in the last five for Denmark.
- 2nd vs 4th in the WCH Women standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (SWE) | 1.02 | 1.02 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 16.00 | 16.00 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (DEN) | 45.00 | 45.00 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 6 | 5.5 | Line lowered |
| Handicap SWE | −4.5 | −4.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
WCH Women standings
Regular Season · Group B
- Playoffs
- Relegation
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Sweden host Denmark in the WCH Women on Tuesday, November 10, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.