Sweden vs Switzerland prediction
Chance to win · 46% and 33% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 60%Full game
- 1X2WonSwedenodds down 1.76Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonO4.5odds up 1.55Confidence 62%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonSwitzerland +2.5odds up 1.26Confidence 63%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonSwedenodds down 1.47Confidence 52%
- Double chanceWonSweden or drawodds down 1.26Confidence 62%
- Draw no betWonSwedenodds down 1.41Confidence 53%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.12Confidence 81%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonSwedenodds down 2.31Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU2.5odds down 1.21Confidence 67%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: form from only 1 games.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min4–24%chance
- 1st period correct scoreWon1–01st period1–018%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon2nd periodMost goals2nd · 3 goals28%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 1-0, 1-2, 1-0
- Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 4-2 (4%), 4-3 (2%)
Season so far
This seasonHead-to-head
- Nov 8, 2025: Sweden 8, Switzerland 3.
- Nov 9, 2024: Sweden 3, Switzerland 4, after a shootout.
Last five games
- Win, 3–2 at Czech Republic, after a shootout, Nov 5. Odds: Czech Republic 2.60, Sweden 2.11.
- Win, 4–2 at Finland, Nov 9, 2025.
- Win, 8–3 against Switzerland, Nov 8, 2025.
- Win, 3–1 against Czech Republic, Nov 6, 2025.
- Loss, 0–3 at Finland, Apr 25, 2025.
- Loss, 1–3 against Finland, Nov 5. Odds: Switzerland 3.60, Finland 1.67.
- Win, 6–1 against Hungary, Apr 24.
- Win, 6–1 against Hungary, Apr 23.
- Win, 5–3 at Slovakia, Apr 17.
- Loss, 1–3 at Slovakia, Apr 16.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-0
- 10:04 Goal Sweden: Stjernborg V. assists: Cederqvist F., Fagemo S. 1-0
2nd period1-2
- 01:02 2 min Sweden: De La Rose J. Tripping
- 01:50 Goal PPG Switzerland: Alge M. assists: Nussbaumer V., Hofmann G. 1-1
- 06:35 2 min Switzerland: — Too many men on the ice
- 06:46 Goal SHG Switzerland: Malgin D. assists: Andrighetto S. 1-2
- 08:04 2 min Sweden: De La Rose J. Tripping
- 16:55 Goal Sweden: Mattsson A. assists: Sundsvik A., Lundberg A. 2-2
3rd period2-0
- 06:33 Goal Sweden: Eriksson F. assists: Berglund J., Bemstrom E. 3-2
- 14:53 2 min Switzerland: Jager K. Tripping
- 16:46 Goal PPG Sweden: Larsson J. assists: Froden J., Lodin V. 4-2
- 17:25 2 min Switzerland: Andrighetto S. Boarding
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 4-game winning streak for Sweden coming into this game.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (SWE) | 1.80 | 1.70 | Shortened |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.20 | 4.30 | Drifted |
| 1X2: 2 (SWI) | 3.20 | 3.50 | Drifted |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5 | Line lowered |
| Handicap SWE | −1.5 | −0.5 | Line moved |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Karjala Cup standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · +/− difference.
Sweden host Switzerland in the Karjala Cup on Saturday, November 7, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.