Syracuse Crunch vs Rochester Americans prediction
Chance to win · 39% and 38% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 61%Full game
- 1X2LostSyracuseodds up 2.12Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderLostO4.5odds down 1.39Confidence 71%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonRochester +1.5odds up 1.39Confidence 69%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostSyracuseodds up 1.70Confidence 51%
- Double chanceWonSyracuse or drawodds up 1.42Confidence 66%
- Draw no betPushSyracuseodds up 1.68Confidence 51%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.08Confidence 87%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostDrawodds up 2.67Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds down 1.81Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Syracuse 3–2
Rochester Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min2–23%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost1–11st period0–213%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals1st · 2 goals29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 1-1, 0-0, 2-1
- Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 4-3 (2%), 5-4 (1%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formSyracuse Crunch
Rochester Americans
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Syracuse 2–3
Rochester - Oct 17, 2026: Syracuse Crunch 4, Rochester Americans 2.
- Oct 9, 2026: Rochester Americans 7, Syracuse Crunch 1.
- Apr 8, 2026: Syracuse Crunch 2, Rochester Americans 3.
- Mar 29, 2026: Rochester Americans 3, Syracuse Crunch 2, after a shootout.
- Mar 28, 2026: Syracuse Crunch 5, Rochester Americans 3.
Last five games
Syracuse
2-3-0 - Loss, 1–5 at Laval Rocket, Oct 21. Odds: Laval 2.35, Syracuse 2.40.
- Win, 4–3 at Hamilton Hammers, Oct 18. Odds: Hamilton 2.55, Syracuse 2.20.
- Win, 4–2 against Rochester Americans, Oct 17. Odds: Syracuse 2.02, Rochester 2.62.
- Loss, 2–3 against Belleville Senators, Oct 10.
- Loss, 1–7 at Rochester Americans, Oct 9. Odds: Rochester 2.18, Syracuse 2.70.
Rochester
2-3-0 - Loss, 3–5 against Utica Comets, Oct 21. Odds: Rochester 2.65, Utica 2.15.
- Loss, 2–4 at Syracuse Crunch, Oct 17. Odds: Syracuse 2.02, Rochester 2.62.
- Win, 4–1 at Hamilton Hammers, Oct 16. Odds: Hamilton 2.05, Rochester 2.55.
- Loss, 1–2 at Utica Comets, Oct 10.
- Win, 7–1 against Syracuse Crunch, Oct 9. Odds: Rochester 2.18, Syracuse 2.70.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-2
- 10:42 Goal Rochester Americans: McCarthy G. assists: Richard J., Funk Z. 0-1
- 14:04 Goal PPG Rochester Americans: Peca M. assists: Sheary C., Jones C. 0-2
2nd period1-0
- 07:15 Goal Syracuse Crunch: Furry B. assists: Mercuri L., Duke D. 1-2
3rd period1-0
- 18:54 Goal Syracuse Crunch: Gauthier E. assists: Mercuri L., Duke D. 2-2
Overtime0-1
- 01:59 Goal Rochester Americans: Kuntar T. assists: McDonough A., McCarthy G. 2-3
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Goal differential gap of 1.1 per game — Syracuse Crunch −0.7, Rochester Americans +0.4 over their recent games.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Rochester Americans.
- 6.4 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.
- 6th vs 5th in the AHL standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (SYR) | 2.05 | 2.05 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.40 | 4.40 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (ROC) | 2.70 | 2.70 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap SYR | −0.5 | −0.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
AHL standings
Regular Season · North Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Laval Rocket |
14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 21 | .750 | 53 | 30 | +23 |
| 2 |  Utica Comets |
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 18 | .818 | 35 | 24 | +11 |
| 3 |  Toronto Marlies |
14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 17 | .607 | 44 | 41 | +3 |
| 4 |  Belleville Senators |
14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 16 | .571 | 44 | 43 | +1 |
| 5 | Rochester Americans |
13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 15 | .577 | 42 | 32 | +10 |
| 6 | Syracuse Crunch |
12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 12 | .500 | 35 | 39 | −4 |
| 7 |  Cleveland Monsters |
13 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 12 | .462 | 40 | 50 | −10 |
| 8 | Hamilton Hammers | 15 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 10 | .333 | 41 | 61 | −20 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Syracuse Crunch host Rochester Americans in the AHL on Friday, October 23, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.