Tappara U20 vs Ilves U20 prediction
Chance to win · 44% and 36% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 63%Full game
- 1X2LostTappara U20odds up 1.85Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonO5.5odds down 1.51Confidence 71%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonIlves U20 +1.5odds down 1.47Confidence 66%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostTappara U20odds up 1.52Confidence 56%
- Double chanceLostTappara U20 or drawodds up 1.27Confidence 67%
- Draw no betLostTappara U20Confidence 58%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesConfidence 89%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostTappara U20odds up 2.28Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds down 1.64Confidence 61%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Tappara U20 4–3
Ilves U20 Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–3After 60 min2–63%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period1–28%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 5 goals28%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-3
- By period 2-0, 1-1, 1-2
- Likeliest 4-3 (3%), 5-4 (1%), 6-5 (1%)
Season so far
This seasonTappara U20
Ilves U20
Head-to-head
Tappara U20 3–2
Ilves U20 - Oct 30, 2026: Ilves U20 2, Tappara U20 4.
- Sep 20, 2026: Ilves U20 2, Tappara U20 4.
- Feb 28, 2026: Ilves U20 2, Tappara U20 3.
- Jan 16, 2026: Tappara U20 1, Ilves U20 6.
- Dec 3, 2025: Ilves U20 4, Tappara U20 3.
Last five games
Tappara U20
2-3-0 - Win, 4–3 against Jokerit U20, Oct 17. Odds: Tappara U20 2.30, Jokerit U20 2.30.
- Loss, 3–7 against SaiPa U20, Oct 16. Odds: Tappara U20 1.42, SaiPa U20 4.65.
- Win, 6–3 at Assat U20, Oct 10.
- Loss, 1–4 at TPS U20, Oct 7.
- Loss, 0–5 against Hameenlinna U20, Oct 3.
Ilves U20
3-2-0 - Win, 5–2 against SaiPa U20, Oct 17. Odds: Ilves U20 1.58, SaiPa U20 3.75.
- Loss, 2–5 at Pelicans Lahti U20, Oct 14. Odds: Pelicans U20 1.67, Ilves U20 3.45.
- Loss, 1–4 against Lukko U20, Oct 10.
- Win, 5–3 against Karpat U20, Oct 9. Odds: Ilves U20 1.71, Karpat U20 3.45.
- Win, 3–2 at Kiekko-Espoo U20, Oct 2.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-2
- 04:36 Goal Ilves U20: Viita F. assists: Poikela M., Rinne O. 0-1
- 11:29 Goal PPG Ilves U20: Viita F. assists: Kuitunen O., Liljeberg M. 0-2
- 15:43 Goal Tappara U20: Saastamoinen R. assists: Jarventie E., Louvanto L. 1-2
2nd period0-0
No goals or penalties.
3rd period1-4
- 02:05 Goal Ilves U20: Rinne R. 1-3
- 12:04 Goal PPG Tappara U20: Jarventie E. assists: Vaarala V., Teuho-Markkola R. 2-3
- 13:09 Goal Ilves U20: Zwikel M. assists: Poikela M. 2-4
- 16:13 Goal Ilves U20: Melanen J. assists: Viita F., Karttu K. 2-5
- 17:57 Goal ENG Ilves U20: Melanen J. assists: Viita F., Karttu K. 2-6
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Ilves U20 dropped from 2.35 to 1.92 since they were first published.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Tappara U20.
- 6.2 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 6.
- 6th vs 11th in the SM-sarja U20 standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (TAP) | 2.30 | 2.30 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.25 | 4.25 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (ILV) | 2.35 | 2.35 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 6.5 | 6 | Line lowered |
| Handicap TAP | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
SM-sarja U20 standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  IFK Helsinki U20 |
18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 39 | 1.083 | 64 | 39 | +25 |
| 2 |  Pelicans Lahti U20 |
17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 36 | 1.059 | 58 | 40 | +18 |
| 3 |  Karpat U20 |
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 36 | .947 | 69 | 55 | +14 |
| 4 |  Jukurit U20 |
18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 33 | .917 | 54 | 52 | +2 |
| 5 |  Kiekko-Espoo U20 |
18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 31 | .861 | 72 | 52 | +20 |
| 6 | Tappara U20 |
17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 29 | .853 | 52 | 56 | −4 |
| 7 |  Lukko U20 |
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 28 | .875 | 47 | 37 | +10 |
| 8 |  Hameenlinna U20 |
14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | .964 | 56 | 36 | +20 |
| 9 |  TPS U20 |
16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 27 | .844 | 48 | 49 | −1 |
| 10 |  Jokerit U20 |
18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 26 | .722 | 58 | 49 | +9 |
| 11 | Ilves U20 |
16 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 24 | .750 | 58 | 63 | −5 |
| 12 |  KalPa U20 |
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 22 | .688 | 51 | 55 | −4 |
| 13 |  Vaasan Sport U20 |
16 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 21 | .656 | 62 | 59 | +3 |
| 14 |  SaiPa U20 |
16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 21 | .656 | 54 | 59 | −5 |
| 15 |  Jyvaskyla U20 |
16 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 21 | .656 | 51 | 58 | −7 |
| 16 |  Assat U20 |
16 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 15 | .469 | 41 | 55 | −14 |
| 17 |  KooKoo U20 |
17 | 3 | 12 | 2 | 11 | .324 | 35 | 63 | −28 |
| 18 |  RoKi U20 |
18 | 2 | 15 | 1 | 6 | .167 | 41 | 94 | −53 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Relegation
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Tappara U20 host Ilves U20 in the SM-sarja U20 on Wednesday, October 21, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.