Tappara U20 vs Jokerit U20 prediction
Chance to win · 37% and 41% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 62%Full game
- 1X2LostJokerit U20odds down 2.52Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonO4.51.41Confidence 72%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonJokerit U20 +1.51.40Confidence 70%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostJokerit U20odds down 1.95Confidence 53%
- Double chanceLostJokerit U20 or drawodds down 1.49Confidence 66%
- Draw no betLostJokerit U20Confidence 53%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesConfidence 89%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostJokerit U20odds down 2.85Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.51.82Confidence 56%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Tappara U20 1–4
Jokerit U20 Score details
- Correct scoreLost1–4After 60 min4–34%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–21st period0–07%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 4 goals28%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 1-4
- By period 0-2, 0-0, 1-2
- Likeliest 1-4 (4%), 2-3 (4%), 2-4 (3%)
Season so far
This seasonTappara U20
Jokerit U20
Head-to-head
Tappara U20 1–3
Jokerit U20 - Jan 30, 2026: Tappara U20 3, Jokerit U20 4, after overtime.
- Dec 4, 2025: Jokerit U20 4, Tappara U20 5, after a shootout.
- Jan 4, 2025: Jokerit U20 4, Tappara U20 1.
- Dec 13, 2024: Tappara U20 1, Jokerit U20 4.
Last five games
Tappara U20
2-3-0 - Loss, 3–7 against SaiPa U20, Oct 16. Odds: Tappara U20 1.42, SaiPa U20 4.65.
- Win, 6–3 at Assat U20, Oct 10.
- Loss, 1–4 at TPS U20, Oct 7.
- Loss, 0–5 against Hameenlinna U20, Oct 3.
- Win, 4–2 against Assat U20, Oct 2.
Jokerit U20
3-2-0 - Loss, 0–2 against Pelicans Lahti U20, Oct 16. Odds: Jokerit U20 2.50, Pelicans U20 2.18.
- Loss, 1–5 against SaiPa U20, Oct 11.
- Win, 6–3 at IFK Helsinki U20, Oct 10.
- Win, 4–0 against KooKoo U20, Oct 9. Odds: Jokerit U20 1.60, KooKoo U20 4.10.
- Win, 2–1 against TPS U20, after a shootout, Oct 3.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-0
No goals or penalties.
2nd period0-3
- 08:00 Goal PPG Jokerit U20: Karvinen A. assists: Kossila T., Kangasniemi T. 0-1
- 11:19 Goal PPG Jokerit U20: Kangasniemi T. assists: Karvinen A., Kossila T. 0-2
- 18:32 Goal Jokerit U20: Agarth V. assists: Vatanen S., Aarvala T. 0-3
3rd period4-0
- 00:34 Goal Tappara U20: Vanhatalo V. assists: Jarventie M. 1-3
- 09:16 Goal PPG Tappara U20: Louvanto L. assists: Vauhkonen V. 2-3
- 13:56 Goal Tappara U20: Ukkonen E. assists: Louvanto L., Vaarala V. 3-3
- 17:00 Goal PPG Tappara U20: Stromberg B. assists: Vauhkonen V., Louvanto L. 4-3
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Second game in two days for both teams — Tappara U20 and Jokerit U20 played yesterday.
- 3-1 in the last 4 meetings for Jokerit U20.
- 6.5 goals per meeting across the last 4 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.
- 6th vs 10th in the SM-sarja U20 standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (TAP) | 2.10 | 2.30 | Drifted |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.00 | 4.00 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (JOK) | 2.55 | 2.30 | Shortened |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap TAP | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
SM-sarja U20 standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  IFK Helsinki U20 |
18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 39 | 1.083 | 64 | 39 | +25 |
| 2 |  Pelicans Lahti U20 |
17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 36 | 1.059 | 58 | 40 | +18 |
| 3 |  Karpat U20 |
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 36 | .947 | 69 | 55 | +14 |
| 4 |  Jukurit U20 |
18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 33 | .917 | 54 | 52 | +2 |
| 5 |  Kiekko-Espoo U20 |
18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 31 | .861 | 72 | 52 | +20 |
| 6 | Tappara U20 |
17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 29 | .853 | 52 | 56 | −4 |
| 7 |  Lukko U20 |
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 28 | .875 | 47 | 37 | +10 |
| 8 |  Hameenlinna U20 |
14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | .964 | 56 | 36 | +20 |
| 9 |  TPS U20 |
16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 27 | .844 | 48 | 49 | −1 |
| 10 | Jokerit U20 |
18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 26 | .722 | 58 | 49 | +9 |
| 11 |  Ilves U20 |
16 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 24 | .750 | 58 | 63 | −5 |
| 12 |  KalPa U20 |
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 22 | .688 | 51 | 55 | −4 |
| 13 |  Vaasan Sport U20 |
16 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 21 | .656 | 62 | 59 | +3 |
| 14 |  SaiPa U20 |
16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 21 | .656 | 54 | 59 | −5 |
| 15 |  Jyvaskyla U20 |
16 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 21 | .656 | 51 | 58 | −7 |
| 16 |  Assat U20 |
16 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 15 | .469 | 41 | 55 | −14 |
| 17 |  KooKoo U20 |
17 | 3 | 12 | 2 | 11 | .324 | 35 | 63 | −28 |
| 18 |  RoKi U20 |
18 | 2 | 15 | 1 | 6 | .167 | 41 | 94 | −53 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Relegation
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Tappara U20 host Jokerit U20 in the SM-sarja U20 on Saturday, October 17, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.