Tappara U20 vs Lukko U20 prediction
Chance to win · 30% and 48% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 66%Full game
- 1X2LostLukko U20odds up 2.05Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderLostU6.5odds up 1.31Confidence 71%
- HandicapWonTappara U20 +1.51.37Confidence 65%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostLukko U201.65Confidence 62%
- Best tip of the game: Double chanceLostLukko U20 or drawodds up 1.37Confidence 71%
- Draw no betLostLukko U20Confidence 63%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesConfidence 86%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostLukko U20Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU2.5Confidence 76%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–3After 60 min5–24%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–11st period1–117%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals2nd · 3 goals28%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-3
- By period 0-1, 1-0, 1-2
- Likeliest 2-3 (4%), 1-2 (4%)
Season so far
This seasonHead-to-head
- Sep 27, 2026: Tappara U20 3, Lukko U20 4, after a shootout.
- Jan 3, 2026: Lukko U20 1, Tappara U20 3.
- Oct 24, 2025: Tappara U20 1, Lukko U20 3.
- Mar 23, 2025: Tappara U20 1, Lukko U20 2.
- Mar 22, 2025: Lukko U20 3, Tappara U20 2.
Last five games
- Win, 4–2 at Ilves U20, Oct 30. Odds: Ilves U20 1.83, Tappara U20 3.10.
- Loss, 0–4 against KooKoo U20, Oct 24. Odds: Tappara U20 1.47, KooKoo U20 4.75.
- Loss, 2–6 against Ilves U20, Oct 21. Odds: Tappara U20 2.30, Ilves U20 2.35.
- Win, 4–3 against Jokerit U20, Oct 17. Odds: Tappara U20 2.30, Jokerit U20 2.30.
- Loss, 3–7 against SaiPa U20, Oct 16. Odds: Tappara U20 1.42, SaiPa U20 4.65.
- Loss, 0–1 against Pelicans Lahti U20, Oct 24. Odds: Lukko U20 2.35, Pelicans U20 2.35.
- Loss, 2–4 at Assat U20, Oct 23. Odds: Assat U20 3.80, Lukko U20 1.62.
- Win, 3–2 at Hameenlinna U20, after overtime, Oct 17. Odds: HPK U20 1.62, Lukko U20 3.60.
- Win, 5–0 against KooKoo U20, Oct 16. Odds: Lukko U20 1.50, KooKoo U20 4.55.
- Win, 4–1 at Ilves U20, Oct 10.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Key insights
- Second game in two days for Tappara U20, who played yesterday.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Lukko U20.
- 4.6 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.
- 6th vs 7th in the SM-sarja U20 standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (TAP) | 2.55 | 2.55 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.15 | 4.15 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (LUK) | 2.15 | 2.15 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap TAP | +1.5 | +1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
SM-sarja U20 standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 39 | 1.083 | 64 | 39 | +25 | |
| 2 | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 36 | 1.059 | 58 | 40 | +18 | |
| 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 36 | .947 | 69 | 55 | +14 | |
| 4 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 33 | .917 | 54 | 52 | +2 | |
| 5 | 18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 31 | .861 | 72 | 52 | +20 | |
| 6 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 29 | .853 | 52 | 56 | −4 | |
| 7 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 28 | .875 | 47 | 37 | +10 | |
| 8 | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | .964 | 56 | 36 | +20 | |
| 9 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 27 | .844 | 48 | 49 | −1 | |
| 10 | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 26 | .722 | 58 | 49 | +9 | |
| 11 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 24 | .750 | 58 | 63 | −5 | |
| 12 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 22 | .688 | 51 | 55 | −4 | |
| 13 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 21 | .656 | 62 | 59 | +3 | |
| 14 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 21 | .656 | 54 | 59 | −5 | |
| 15 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 21 | .656 | 51 | 58 | −7 | |
| 16 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 15 | .469 | 41 | 55 | −14 | |
| 17 | 17 | 3 | 12 | 2 | 11 | .324 | 35 | 63 | −28 | |
| 18 | 18 | 2 | 15 | 1 | 6 | .167 | 41 | 94 | −53 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Relegation
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Tappara U20 host Lukko U20 in the SM-sarja U20 on Saturday, October 31, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.