Tappara U20 vs SaiPa U20 prediction
Chance to win · 58% and 23% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 69%Full game
- 1X2LostTappara U20odds up 1.37Confidence 61%
- Over/UnderLostU7.5odds up 1.31Confidence 71%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonSaiPa U20 +2.51.65Confidence 66%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostTappara U20odds up 1.21Confidence 70%
- Double chanceLostTappara U20 or drawodds up 1.10Confidence 78%
- Draw no betLostTappara U20Confidence 74%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesConfidence 89%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostTappara U20odds up 1.85Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds up 1.66Confidence 60%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–2After 60 min3–74%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period1–310%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals1st · 4 goals29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-2
- By period 2-0, 0-1, 2-1
- Likeliest 4-2 (4%), 3-2 (4%), 3-1 (3%)
Season so far
This seasonHead-to-head
- Mar 7, 2026: Tappara U20 6, SaiPa U20 5, after overtime.
- Sep 28, 2025: SaiPa U20 2, Tappara U20 1.
- Mar 1, 2025: Tappara U20 2, SaiPa U20 5.
- Sep 22, 2024: SaiPa U20 6, Tappara U20 8.
Last five games
- Win, 6–3 at Assat U20, Oct 10.
- Loss, 1–4 at TPS U20, Oct 7.
- Loss, 0–5 against Hameenlinna U20, Oct 3.
- Win, 4–2 against Assat U20, Oct 2.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 against Lukko U20, after a shootout, Sep 27.
- Win, 5–1 at Jokerit U20, Oct 11.
- Loss, 2–5 against Pelicans Lahti U20, Oct 10.
- Loss, 0–5 at IFK Helsinki U20, Oct 9. Odds: HIFK U20 1.51, SaiPa U20 4.60.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 against KalPa U20, after a shootout, Oct 2.
- Loss, 2–5 against Karpat U20, Sep 27.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-3
- 03:51 Goal SaiPa U20: Rinkinen T. assists: Rajala J. 0-1
- 04:35 Goal SaiPa U20: Marik N. assists: Eloranta O. 0-2
- 10:27 Goal Tappara U20: Vanhatalo V. assists: Saastamoinen R. 1-2
- 17:29 Goal SaiPa U20: Besenyei B. assists: Moilanen V., Rinkinen T. 1-3
2nd period2-1
- 04:38 Goal PPG SaiPa U20: Kaasinen S. assists: Moilanen V., Eloranta O. 1-4
- 06:40 Goal Tappara U20: Kokkonen E. assists: Seppala J. 2-4
- 08:01 Goal Tappara U20: Vaarala V. assists: Vanhatalo V., Teuho-Markkola R. 3-4
3rd period0-3
- 06:37 Goal SaiPa U20: Rajala J. assists: Rinkinen T., Moilanen V. 3-5
- 08:54 Goal SaiPa U20: Nummi L. assists: Rapos G., Inna A. 3-6
- 11:13 Goal SaiPa U20: Habjanic S. assists: Kokkonen N., Mikonsaari V. 3-7
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on SaiPa U20 dropped from 3.90 to 3.20 since they were first published.
- 1-3-1 in the last five for SaiPa U20.
- Head-to-head level at 2-2 after the last 4 meetings.
- 8.8 goals per meeting across the last 4 head-to-head games; the total is 6.
- 6th vs 14th in the SM-sarja U20 standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (TAP) | 1.42 | 1.42 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 5.10 | 5.10 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (SAI) | 4.65 | 4.65 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 6.5 | 6 | Line lowered |
| Handicap TAP | −2.5 | −1.5 | Line moved |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
SM-sarja U20 standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 39 | 1.083 | 64 | 39 | +25 | |
| 2 | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 36 | 1.059 | 58 | 40 | +18 | |
| 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 36 | .947 | 69 | 55 | +14 | |
| 4 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 33 | .917 | 54 | 52 | +2 | |
| 5 | 18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 31 | .861 | 72 | 52 | +20 | |
| 6 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 29 | .853 | 52 | 56 | −4 | |
| 7 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 28 | .875 | 47 | 37 | +10 | |
| 8 | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | .964 | 56 | 36 | +20 | |
| 9 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 27 | .844 | 48 | 49 | −1 | |
| 10 | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 26 | .722 | 58 | 49 | +9 | |
| 11 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 24 | .750 | 58 | 63 | −5 | |
| 12 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 22 | .688 | 51 | 55 | −4 | |
| 13 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 21 | .656 | 62 | 59 | +3 | |
| 14 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 21 | .656 | 54 | 59 | −5 | |
| 15 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 21 | .656 | 51 | 58 | −7 | |
| 16 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 15 | .469 | 41 | 55 | −14 | |
| 17 | 17 | 3 | 12 | 2 | 11 | .324 | 35 | 63 | −28 | |
| 18 | 18 | 2 | 15 | 1 | 6 | .167 | 41 | 94 | −53 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Relegation
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Tappara U20 host SaiPa U20 in the SM-sarja U20 on Friday, October 16, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.