Tappara vs Assat Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Handicap Lost

Assat +2.5 1.25

Confidence74%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 64%

Full game

1X2WonTapparaodds up 1.79Confidence 51%
Over/UnderWonU6.5odds down 1.32Confidence 74%
Best tip of the game: HandicapLostAssat +2.5odds down 1.25Confidence 74%
Winner (incl. OT)WonTapparaodds up 1.47Confidence 57%
Double chanceWonTappara or drawodds up 1.28Confidence 69%
Draw no betWonTapparaodds up 1.43Confidence 59%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)LostYesodds up 1.13Confidence 84%

1st period

1st period 1X2WonDrawodds down 2.65Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderWonU1.5odds down 1.76Confidence 57%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Tappara 21

Assat

Final 3–0

Total goalsTotal 3 Actual 3

Draw after 60 minDraw 23% Decided in regulation

TAP to winTo win 56% TAP won

Score details

Correct scoreLost2–1After 60 min3–04%chance
1st period correct scoreWon0–01st period0–022%chance
Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals2nd · 2 goals30%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 2-1
By period 0-0, 1-0, 1-1
Likeliest 2-1 (4%), 3-2 (4%), 3-1 (4%)

Team stats

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Possession & hits

Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record7-6-19-4-2

Home / road split4-2-05-1-1

StreakL3L1

RestBack-to-back3 days

Goals for2.62.5

Goals against2.32.2

In the standings10th5th

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game+0.3−0.4

Goals for2.62.0

Goals against2.32.4

Shots on goal26.322.6

Shots against22.923.7

Shooting %9.9%8.8%

Save %90.4%90.3%

Power-play %15.2%17.2%

Penalty kill %81.0%77.8%

Faceoff %57.7%51.7%

Penalty minutes4.25.4

Blocked shots10.610.3

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Head-to-head

Tappara 41

Assat

Tappara won four of the last five meetings

Goals a gameGoals 5.4 TAP 3.6 · ASS 1.8

Over 5.0 goalsOver 5.0 2 of 5 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 0 of 5 All decided in regulation

Jan 10, 2026: Assat 1, Tappara 5.
Jan 9, 2026: Tappara 6, Assat 2.
Oct 11, 2025: Tappara 2, Assat 1.
Oct 10, 2025: Assat 3, Tappara 2.
Feb 22, 2025: Tappara 3, Assat 2.

Last five games

Tappara 2-2-1

Overtime loss, 2–3 at KooKoo, after a shootout, Oct 20. Odds: KooKoo 3.45, Tappara 1.65.
Loss, 2–3 at Jukurit, Oct 17. Odds: Jukurit 3.11, Tappara 2.11.
Loss, 1–2 against Lukko, Oct 16. Odds: Tappara 1.88, Lukko 3.65.
Win, 6–3 at Tychy, Oct 13. Odds: Tychy 8.90, Tappara 1.23.
Win, 4–3 against TPS Turku, after a shootout, Oct 10.

Assat 3-1-1

Loss, 2–4 against TPS Turku, Oct 17. Odds: Assat 2.40, TPS 2.61.
Win, 4–2 at Jokerit, Oct 16. Odds: Jokerit 2.14, Assat 3.04.
Win, 1–0 at KalPa, Oct 14. Odds: KalPa 2.81, Assat 2.32.
Overtime loss, 2–3 against Hameenlinna, after a shootout, Oct 9. Odds: Assat 1.88, HPK 3.50.
Win, 1–0 at Jukurit, Oct 7.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period0-0

07:08 2 min Assat: Nikkila P. Delay of game

2nd period2-0

12:17 2 min Tappara: Mattila Je. Tripping
13:10 Goal SHG Tappara: Suvanto O. 1-0
14:17 2 min Assat: Alasiurua A. Interference
14:34 Goal PPG Tappara: Jokipakka J. assists: Lindqvist M., Rautiainen B. 2-0

3rd period1-0

05:26 Goal Tappara: Tuulola J. assists: Simontaival K., Suvanto O. 3-0
09:07 2 min Assat: Sebok B. Tripping

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

Second game in two days for Tappara, who played yesterday.
3-game losing streak for Tappara coming into this game.
Odds moved: the odds on Assat dropped from 2.60 to 2.12 since they were first published.
In goal: Metsola J. for Tappara (4-4-2 in the last 10 starts), Bednar J. for Assat (6-3-1 in the last 10 starts).
4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Tappara.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (TAP)	2.15	2.15	No change
1X2: X (draw)	4.00	4.00	No change
1X2: 2 (ASS)	2.75	2.75	No change
Over/Under line	5	5	No change
Handicap TAP	−0.5	−0.5	No change

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

Liiga standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Lukko	19	14	4	1	40	1.053	53	36	+17
2	Ilves	20	13	6	1	37	.925	52	39	+13
3	Jukurit	20	13	6	1	36	.900	49	40	+9
4	JYP	17	12	4	1	35	1.029	59	48	+11
5	Assat	20	11	7	2	34	.850	46	48	−2
6	SaiPa	18	12	5	1	34	.944	52	38	+14
7	Karpat	20	11	5	4	33	.825	53	52	+1
8	TPS Turku	19	10	7	2	31	.816	53	48	+5
9	Kiekko-Espoo	20	10	7	3	31	.775	61	49	+12
10	Tappara	19	9	7	3	28	.737	51	46	+5
11	IFK Helsinki	19	8	7	4	27	.711	53	56	−3
12	KalPa	18	8	9	1	25	.694	46	41	+5
13	Pelicans	17	8	8	1	24	.706	40	38	+2
14	Hameenlinna	20	9	11	0	24	.600	42	55	−13
15	Vaasan Sport	18	6	10	2	19	.528	33	53	−20
16	Jokerit	18	4	10	4	15	.417	41	62	−21
17	KooKoo	20	3	15	2	10	.250	46	81	−35

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Relegation

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Tappara vs Assat prediction

All predictions

Full game

1st period

Predicted final score

Score details