Tappara vs Hameenlinna Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Over/Under Lost

O3.5 1.26

Confidence68%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 61%

Full game

1X2LostTapparaodds up 1.62Confidence 54%
Best tip of the game: Over/UnderLostO3.5odds up 1.26Confidence 68%
HandicapWonHPK +1.5odds down 1.72Confidence 53%
Winner (incl. OT)LostTapparaodds up 1.37Confidence 58%
Double chanceLostTappara or draw1.20Confidence 65%
Draw no betLostTapparaodds up 1.29Confidence 60%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)LostYesodds up 1.16Confidence 81%

1st period

1st period 1X2LostTapparaodds up 2.20Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderWonU1.5odds down 1.68Confidence 55%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Tappara 32

HPK

Final 0–3

Total goalsTotal 5 Actual 3

Draw after 60 minDraw 20% Decided in regulation

TAP to winTo win 72% HAM won

Score details

Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min0–34%chance
1st period correct scoreLost1–01st period0–121%chance
Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 2 goals30%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 3-2
By period 1-0, 0-1, 2-1
Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 4-3 (2%), 5-4 (1%)

Team stats

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Possession & hits

Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record9-6-38-11-0

Home / road split5-2-12-6-0

StreakL1L5

Rest1 day1 day

Goals for2.82.1

Goals against2.42.9

In the standings10th14th

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game+0.7−0.6

Goals for3.12.0

Goals against2.42.6

Shots on goal24.018.6

Shots against23.324.0

Shooting %12.9%10.8%

Save %89.7%90.8%

Power-play %16.1%9.5%

Penalty kill %75.0%87.5%

Faceoff %54.8%48.8%

Penalty minutes6.46.9

Blocked shots9.69.6

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Head-to-head

Tappara 41

HPK

Tappara won four of the last five meetings

Goals a gameGoals 3.6 TAP 2.2 · HAM 1.4

Over 4.5 goalsOver 4.5 1 of 5 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 1 of 5 1 in overtime

Apr 7, 2026: Tappara 1, Hameenlinna 0.
Apr 4, 2026: Hameenlinna 3, Tappara 4, after overtime.
Apr 2, 2026: Tappara 3, Hameenlinna 1.
Mar 30, 2026: Hameenlinna 2, Tappara 1.
Mar 28, 2026: Tappara 2, Hameenlinna 1.

Last five games

Tappara 2-0-3

Overtime loss, 1–2 against Ilves, after a shootout, Oct 30. Odds: Tappara 2.85, Ilves 2.05.
Win, 6–4 at JYP, Oct 28. Odds: JYP 1.96, Tappara 3.00.
Overtime loss, 4–5 at Pelicans, after a shootout, Oct 24. Odds: Pelicans 3.00, Tappara 2.05.
Win, 3–0 against Assat, Oct 21. Odds: Tappara 2.15, Assat 2.75.
Overtime loss, 2–3 at KooKoo, after a shootout, Oct 20. Odds: KooKoo 3.45, Tappara 1.65.

HPK 0-5-0

Loss, 1–4 against Kiekko-Espoo, Oct 30. Odds: HPK 2.75, Kiekko-Espoo 2.15.
Loss, 0–1 at Karpat, Oct 28. Odds: Karpat 1.66, HPK 4.00.
Loss, 3–6 against IFK Helsinki, Oct 24. Odds: HPK 2.45, HIFK 2.35.
Loss, 2–3 at JYP, Oct 22. Odds: JYP 1.58, HPK 4.25.
Loss, 1–3 against Pelicans, Oct 20. Odds: HPK 2.52, Pelicans 2.22.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period0-1

03:00 2 min Tappara: Pavel O. Roughing
03:00 2 min Hameenlinna: Kukkonen M. Roughing
03:00 Penalty Hameenlinna: Kukkonen M. Unsportsmanlike conduct
05:09 2 min Hameenlinna: Makinen I. Slashing
12:30 Goal Hameenlinna: Paivarinta S. assists: Piipponen S., Pyke G. 0-1
14:13 2 min Hameenlinna: Kuusisto O. High sticking

2nd period0-0

07:16 2 min Tappara: Mattila Ju. High sticking

3rd period0-2

16:51 Goal ENG Hameenlinna: Kainulainen H. assists: Tedenby M., Korhonen O. 0-2
17:46 Goal ENG Hameenlinna: de Jong E. assists: Vesterinen R., Pyke G. 0-3

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

5-game losing streak for Hameenlinna coming into this game.
2-6-0 away for Hameenlinna this season.
In goal: Metsola J. for Tappara (4-4-2 in the last 10 starts), Saarinen K. for Hameenlinna (4-6-0 in the last 10 starts).
Goal differential gap of 1.3 per game — Tappara +0.7, Hameenlinna −0.6 over their recent games.
4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Tappara.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (TAP)	1.58	1.58	No change
1X2: X (draw)	4.75	4.75	No change
1X2: 2 (HAM)	4.25	4.25	No change
Over/Under line	5	4.5	Line lowered
Handicap TAP	−1.5	−1.5	No change

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

Liiga standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Lukko	19	14	4	1	40	1.053	53	36	+17
2	Ilves	20	13	6	1	37	.925	52	39	+13
3	Jukurit	20	13	6	1	36	.900	49	40	+9
4	JYP	17	12	4	1	35	1.029	59	48	+11
5	Assat	20	11	7	2	34	.850	46	48	−2
6	SaiPa	18	12	5	1	34	.944	52	38	+14
7	Karpat	20	11	5	4	33	.825	53	52	+1
8	TPS Turku	19	10	7	2	31	.816	53	48	+5
9	Kiekko-Espoo	20	10	7	3	31	.775	61	49	+12
10	Tappara	19	9	7	3	28	.737	51	46	+5
11	IFK Helsinki	19	8	7	4	27	.711	53	56	−3
12	KalPa	18	8	9	1	25	.694	46	41	+5
13	Pelicans	17	8	8	1	24	.706	40	38	+2
14	Hameenlinna	20	9	11	0	24	.600	42	55	−13
15	Vaasan Sport	18	6	10	2	19	.528	33	53	−20
16	Jokerit	18	4	10	4	15	.417	41	62	−21
17	KooKoo	20	3	15	2	10	.250	46	81	−35

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Relegation

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Tappara vs Hameenlinna prediction

All predictions

Full game

1st period

Predicted final score

Score details