Tappara vs Ilves Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Over/Under Lost

O3.5 1.29

Confidence75%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 66%

Full game

1X2LostTapparaodds up 2.37Confidence 51%
Best tip of the game: Over/UnderLostO3.5odds up 1.29Confidence 75%
HandicapWonIlves +1.5odds down 1.31Confidence 66%
Winner (incl. OT)LostTapparaodds up 1.83Confidence 61%
Double chanceWonTappara or drawodds up 1.44Confidence 71%
Draw no betPushTapparaodds up 1.78Confidence 56%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.13Confidence 84%

1st period

1st period 1X2LostDrawodds down 2.50Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderWonU2.5odds down 1.19Confidence 79%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the odds drifted 5% since they opened; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Tappara 32

Ilves

Final 1–2

Total goalsTotal 5 Actual 3

Draw after 60 minDraw 23% Went to a shootout

TAP to winTo win 59% ILV won

Score details

Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min1–14%chance
1st period correct scoreLost0–01st period0–122%chance
Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · 1st & 3rd30%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 3-2
By period 0-0, 1-1, 2-1
Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 4-3 (2%), 5-4 (1%)

Team stats

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Possession & hits

Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record9-6-211-6-1

Home / road split5-2-06-5-0

StreakW1L2

Rest1 day1 day

Goals for2.92.7

Goals against2.42.1

In the standings10th2nd

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game+0.6−0.1

Goals for3.12.3

Goals against2.52.4

Shots on goal23.926.8

Shots against24.421.5

Shooting %13.0%8.6%

Save %89.8%90.2%

Power-play %18.5%10.7%

Penalty kill %74.1%95.7%

Faceoff %55.1%48.4%

Penalty minutes6.24.6

Blocked shots9.311.2

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Head-to-head

Tappara 41

Ilves

Tappara won four of the last five meetings

Goals a gameGoals 5.4 TAP 2.8 · ILV 2.6

Over 4.5 goalsOver 4.5 4 of 5 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 1 of 5 1 in overtime

Apr 27, 2026: Ilves 3, Tappara 4.
Apr 25, 2026: Tappara 2, Ilves 1, after overtime.
Apr 23, 2026: Ilves 1, Tappara 5.
Apr 21, 2026: Tappara 3, Ilves 2.
Apr 19, 2026: Ilves 6, Tappara 0.

Last five games

Tappara 2-1-2

Win, 6–4 at JYP, Oct 28. Odds: JYP 1.96, Tappara 3.00.
Overtime loss, 4–5 at Pelicans, after a shootout, Oct 24. Odds: Pelicans 3.00, Tappara 2.05.
Win, 3–0 against Assat, Oct 21. Odds: Tappara 2.15, Assat 2.75.
Overtime loss, 2–3 at KooKoo, after a shootout, Oct 20. Odds: KooKoo 3.45, Tappara 1.65.
Loss, 2–3 at Jukurit, Oct 17. Odds: Jukurit 3.11, Tappara 2.11.

Ilves 2-2-1

Loss, 1–2 at IFK Helsinki, Oct 28. Odds: HIFK 2.55, Ilves 2.25.
Overtime loss, 1–2 against Jukurit, after a shootout, Oct 24. Odds: Ilves 1.56, Jukurit 4.50.
Win, 3–0 at Jukurit, Oct 23. Odds: Jukurit 3.10, Ilves 2.01.
Loss, 3–4 at TPS Turku, Oct 20. Odds: TPS 1.98, Ilves 2.77.
Win, 4–3 against Jokerit, after a shootout, Oct 17. Odds: Ilves 1.73, Jokerit 4.10.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period0-1

03:54 2 min Ilves: Latvala O. Cross checking
16:58 Goal Ilves: Lantta J. assists: Kos O., Teuho-Markkola T. 0-1

2nd period0-0

03:38 2 min Tappara: Suvanto O. Roughing
11:12 2 min Ilves: Kos O. High sticking
11:23 2 min Ilves: Korhonen B. Roughing
16:32 5 min Ilves: Lantta J. Boarding

3rd period1-0

09:09 2 min Tappara: Mattila Ju. Tripping
19:04 Goal Tappara: Sallinen T. assists: Rauhala O., Mattila Je. 1-1
19:58 2 min Ilves: Sund T. Delay of game

Overtime0-0

No goals or penalties.

Shootout1-2

Round 1 Fabre D. missed Torok M. scored
Round 2 Simontaival K. scored Haatanen A. missed
Round 3 Haapala H. missed Henman L. missed
Round 4 Simontaival K. missed Torok M. scored

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

Odds moved: the odds on Ilves dropped from 1.98 to 1.67 since they were first published.
In goal: Metsola J. for Tappara (5-4-1 in the last 10 starts), Armalis M. for Ilves (7-3-0 in the last 10 starts).
4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Tappara.
−1.2 goals away — Ilves averaged 3.4 at home and 2.3 away this season.
5.4 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 4.5.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (TAP)	2.40	2.85	Drifted
1X2: X (draw)	4.00	4.00	No change
1X2: 2 (ILV)	2.40	2.05	Shortened
Over/Under line	4.5	4.5	No change
Handicap TAP	−1.5	+0.5	Line moved

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

Liiga standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Lukko	19	14	4	1	40	1.053	53	36	+17
2	Ilves	20	13	6	1	37	.925	52	39	+13
3	Jukurit	20	13	6	1	36	.900	49	40	+9
4	JYP	17	12	4	1	35	1.029	59	48	+11
5	Assat	20	11	7	2	34	.850	46	48	−2
6	SaiPa	18	12	5	1	34	.944	52	38	+14
7	Karpat	20	11	5	4	33	.825	53	52	+1
8	TPS Turku	19	10	7	2	31	.816	53	48	+5
9	Kiekko-Espoo	20	10	7	3	31	.775	61	49	+12
10	Tappara	19	9	7	3	28	.737	51	46	+5
11	IFK Helsinki	19	8	7	4	27	.711	53	56	−3
12	KalPa	18	8	9	1	25	.694	46	41	+5
13	Pelicans	17	8	8	1	24	.706	40	38	+2
14	Hameenlinna	20	9	11	0	24	.600	42	55	−13
15	Vaasan Sport	18	6	10	2	19	.528	33	53	−20
16	Jokerit	18	4	10	4	15	.417	41	62	−21
17	KooKoo	20	3	15	2	10	.250	46	81	−35

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Relegation

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Tappara vs Ilves prediction

All predictions

Full game

1st period

Predicted final score

Score details