Tappara vs Lukko Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Handicap Won

Lukko +2.5 1.29

Confidence72%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 67%

Full game

1X2LostTapparaodds down 1.81Confidence 51%
Over/UnderWonU6.5odds down 1.33Confidence 73%
Best tip of the game: HandicapWonLukko +2.51.29Confidence 72%
Winner (incl. OT)LostTapparaodds up 1.48Confidence 61%
Double chanceLostTappara or draw1.26Confidence 71%
Draw no betLostTapparaodds up 1.41Confidence 63%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.12Confidence 84%

1st period

1st period 1X2WonTapparaodds up 2.32Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderWonU2.5odds up 1.20Confidence 79%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Tappara 32

Lukko

Final 1–2

Total goalsTotal 5 Actual 3

Draw after 60 minDraw 23% Decided in regulation

TAP to winTo win 60% LUK won

Score details

Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min1–24%chance
1st period correct scoreWon1–01st period1–019%chance
Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · all three30%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 3-2
By period 1-0, 0-1, 2-1
Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 2-1 (4%), 3-1 (4%)

Team stats

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Possession & hits

Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record7-4-07-4-1

Home / road split4-1-05-0-1

StreakW3L1

Rest2 days1 day

Goals for2.92.6

Goals against2.22.2

In the standings10th1st

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game+1.4+0.3

Goals for3.32.4

Goals against1.92.1

Shots on goal24.024.5

Shots against22.221.6

Shooting %13.8%9.8%

Save %91.9%90.7%

Power-play %18.8%9.1%

Penalty kill %89.5%79.3%

Faceoff %59.3%45.9%

Penalty minutes3.810.0

Blocked shots10.29.8

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Head-to-head

Tappara 41

Lukko

Tappara won four of the last five meetings

Goals a gameGoals 5.4 TAP 4.0 · LUK 1.4

Over 5.0 goalsOver 5.0 1 of 5 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 0 of 5 All decided in regulation

Sep 24, 2026: Lukko 3, Tappara 2.
Mar 13, 2026: Tappara 6, Lukko 2.
Feb 14, 2026: Lukko 1, Tappara 4.
Sep 30, 2025: Tappara 4, Lukko 0.
Sep 10, 2025: Lukko 1, Tappara 4.

Last five games

Tappara 4-0-1

Win, 6–3 at Tychy, Oct 13. Odds: Tychy 8.90, Tappara 1.23.
Win, 4–3 against TPS Turku, after a shootout, Oct 10.
Win, 3–2 at KalPa, Oct 9. Odds: KalPa 3.10, Tappara 2.08.
Overtime loss, 1–2 against Storhamar, after overtime, Oct 7.
Win, 3–2 against Jokerit, after overtime, Oct 2.

Lukko 3-1-1

Overtime loss, 2–3 at JYP, after a shootout, Oct 14. Odds: JYP 2.32, Lukko 2.75.
Win, 5–1 at Ilves, Oct 9. Odds: Ilves 1.98, Lukko 3.20.
Loss, 2–5 against Assat, Oct 3.
Win, 3–0 at Assat, Oct 2.
Win, 2–1 at KalPa, Sep 26.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period1-0

12:33 Goal Tappara: Suvanto O. assists: Simontaival K., Haapala H. 1-0
18:09 Penalty shot missed Tappara: Rautiainen B.

2nd period0-1

07:28 2 min Tappara: Simontaival K. Slashing
13:52 Goal Lukko: Seppala P. assists: Beaucage A., Ruohomaa M. 1-1

3rd period0-1

03:54 Goal Lukko: Beaucage A. assists: Olsson A., Tukiainen J. 1-2
11:37 2 min Tappara: Simontaival K. Tripping
11:37 2 min Lukko: Robert F. Diving
13:31 2 min Tappara: Sallinen T. Unsportsmanlike conduct
13:31 2 min Lukko: Saarela A. Unsportsmanlike conduct
13:59 2 min Tappara: Lindqvist M. Slashing
17:29 2 min Tappara: Rautiainen B. Boarding
19:57 2 min Lukko: Saarela A. Hooking

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

3-game winning streak for Tappara coming into this game.
In goal: Heljanko C. for Tappara (7-2-1 in the last 10 starts), Raanta A. for Lukko (4-4-2 in the last 10 starts).
4-1-0 at home for Tappara this season.
5-0-1 away for Lukko this season.
Goal differential gap of 1.1 per game — Tappara +1.4, Lukko +0.3 over their recent games.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (TAP)	1.82	1.88	Drifted
1X2: X (draw)	3.93	3.92	Shortened
1X2: 2 (LUK)	3.89	3.65	Shortened
Over/Under line	5	5	No change
Handicap TAP	−0.5	−0.5	No change

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

Liiga standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Lukko	19	14	4	1	40	1.053	53	36	+17
2	Ilves	20	13	6	1	37	.925	52	39	+13
3	Jukurit	20	13	6	1	36	.900	49	40	+9
4	JYP	17	12	4	1	35	1.029	59	48	+11
5	Assat	20	11	7	2	34	.850	46	48	−2
6	SaiPa	18	12	5	1	34	.944	52	38	+14
7	Karpat	20	11	5	4	33	.825	53	52	+1
8	TPS Turku	19	10	7	2	31	.816	53	48	+5
9	Kiekko-Espoo	20	10	7	3	31	.775	61	49	+12
10	Tappara	19	9	7	3	28	.737	51	46	+5
11	IFK Helsinki	19	8	7	4	27	.711	53	56	−3
12	KalPa	18	8	9	1	25	.694	46	41	+5
13	Pelicans	17	8	8	1	24	.706	40	38	+2
14	Hameenlinna	20	9	11	0	24	.600	42	55	−13
15	Vaasan Sport	18	6	10	2	19	.528	33	53	−20
16	Jokerit	18	4	10	4	15	.417	41	62	−21
17	KooKoo	20	3	15	2	10	.250	46	81	−35

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Relegation

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Tappara vs Lukko prediction

All predictions

Full game

1st period

Predicted final score

Score details