Texas Stars vs Manitoba Moose prediction
Chance to win · 32% and 46% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 62%Full game
- 1X2LostManitobaodds up 2.10Confidence 51%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderLostO4.5odds down 1.38Confidence 71%
- HandicapWonTexas +1.5odds down 1.35Confidence 66%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonManitobaodds up 1.69Confidence 54%
- Double chanceWonManitoba or drawodds up 1.39Confidence 70%
- Draw no betPushManitobaodds down 1.70Confidence 56%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds down 1.07Confidence 88%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonManitoba2.60Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds down 1.83Confidence 55%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the odds drifted 5% since they opened; the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; the odds drifted 4% since they opened; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay; the odds drifted 3% since they opened.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Texas 2–3
Manitoba Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–3After 60 min2–24%chance
- 1st period correct scoreWon0–21st period0–28%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals1st · 2 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-3
- By period 0-2, 0-0, 2-1
- Likeliest 2-3 (4%), 3-4 (2%), 4-5 (1%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formTexas Stars
Manitoba Moose
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Texas 1–4
Manitoba - Oct 18, 2026: Manitoba Moose 4, Texas Stars 3, after overtime.
- Oct 16, 2026: Manitoba Moose 7, Texas Stars 4.
- Apr 12, 2026: Manitoba Moose 4, Texas Stars 3, after overtime.
- Apr 10, 2026: Manitoba Moose 5, Texas Stars 4, after a shootout.
- Feb 7, 2026: Texas Stars 4, Manitoba Moose 3.
Last five games
Texas
1-4-0 - Loss, 2–5 against Chicago Wolves, Nov 7. Odds: Texas 2.20, Chicago 2.50.
- Win, 4–3 against Chicago Wolves, Nov 6. Odds: Texas 2.35, Chicago 2.30.
- Loss, 2–6 at Grand Rapids Griffins, Nov 4. Odds: Grand Rapids 1.91, Texas 3.00.
- Loss, 3–4 at Rockford IceHogs, Nov 1. Odds: Rockford 2.20, Texas 2.50.
- Loss, 3–6 at Chicago Wolves, Oct 31. Odds: Chicago 2.37, Texas 2.35.
Manitoba
3-2-0 - Win, 4–3 against Toronto Marlies, after overtime, Nov 7. Odds: Manitoba 2.05, Toronto 2.75.
- Win, 2–1 against Toronto Marlies, after overtime, Nov 6. Odds: Manitoba 2.05, Toronto 2.80.
- Win, 6–3 at Rockford IceHogs, Oct 30. Odds: Rockford 2.24, Manitoba 2.52.
- Loss, 0–3 at Milwaukee Admirals, Oct 28. Odds: Milwaukee 2.15, Manitoba 2.65.
- Loss, 3–6 at Chicago Wolves, Oct 27. Odds: Chicago 2.25, Manitoba 2.45.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-2
- 07:41 Goal PPG Manitoba Moose: Zhilkin D. assists: Ford P., Freij A. 0-1
- 12:15 Goal Manitoba Moose: Phillips I. assists: Lambert B., Wagner F. 0-2
2nd period1-0
- 07:08 Goal Texas Stars: Paquette C. assists: Fitzgerald C., Gleason B. 1-2
3rd period1-0
- 04:51 Goal Texas Stars: Rickwood E. assists: Bertucci T., Looft K. 2-2
Overtime0-0
No goals or penalties.
Shootout0-2
-
Round 1
Hughes C.
✗missed
Chibrikov N.
✗missed
-
Round 2
Sgarbossa M.
✗missed
Zhilkin D.
✓scored
-
Round 3
—
Lambert B.
✓scored
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 3-game winning streak for Manitoba Moose coming into this game.
- Goal differential gap of 2.5 per game — Texas Stars −1.4, Manitoba Moose +1.1 over their recent games.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Manitoba Moose.
- +1.1 goals at home — Texas Stars averaged 3.5 at home and 2.4 away this season.
- −1.5 goals away — Manitoba Moose averaged 4.7 at home and 3.1 away this season.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (TEX) | 2.75 | 2.65 | Shortened |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.30 | 4.30 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (MAN) | 2.05 | 2.10 | Drifted |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 6 | Line raised |
| Handicap TEX | +0.5 | +0.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
AHL standings
Regular Season · Central Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Grand Rapids Griffins |
14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 22 | .786 | 56 | 35 | +21 |
| 2 | Manitoba Moose |
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 22 | .733 | 56 | 38 | +18 |
| 3 |  Milwaukee Admirals |
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 16 | .615 | 33 | 28 | +5 |
| 4 |  Iowa Wild |
16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 15 | .469 | 42 | 47 | −5 |
| 5 |  Chicago Wolves |
13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 13 | .500 | 36 | 46 | −10 |
| 6 |  Rockford IceHogs |
13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 11 | .423 | 33 | 43 | −10 |
| 7 | Texas Stars |
14 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 9 | .321 | 40 | 60 | −20 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Texas Stars host Manitoba Moose in the AHL on Tuesday, November 10, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.