Texas Stars vs Manitoba Moose prediction
Chance to win · 32% and 46% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks · Average confidence 63%Full game
- 1X2Manitobaodds down 2.12Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderO4.5odds down 1.38Confidence 71%
- HandicapTexas +1.51.36Confidence 66%
- Winner (incl. OT)Manitoba1.70Confidence 59%
- Best tip of the game: Double chanceManitoba or drawodds down 1.40Confidence 70%
- Draw no betManitobaodds down 1.70Confidence 61%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)Yesodds down 1.08Confidence 88%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2Manitobaodds down 2.60Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderO1.5odds up 1.81Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct score2–34%chance
- 1st period correct score0–27%chance
- Highest scoring period3rd period30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-3
- By period 0-2, 0-0, 2-1
- Likeliest 2-3 (4%), 3-4 (2%), 4-5 (1%)
Predicted team stats
The brighter bar is the bigger figureShots & goaltending
Special teams
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Nov 10, 2026: Texas Stars 2, Manitoba Moose 3, after a shootout.
- Oct 18, 2026: Manitoba Moose 4, Texas Stars 3, after overtime.
- Oct 16, 2026: Manitoba Moose 7, Texas Stars 4.
- Apr 12, 2026: Manitoba Moose 4, Texas Stars 3, after overtime.
- Apr 10, 2026: Manitoba Moose 5, Texas Stars 4, after a shootout.
Last five games
- Overtime loss, 2–3 against Manitoba Moose, after a shootout, Nov 10. Odds: Texas 2.65, Manitoba 2.10.
- Loss, 2–5 against Chicago Wolves, Nov 7. Odds: Texas 2.20, Chicago 2.50.
- Win, 4–3 against Chicago Wolves, Nov 6. Odds: Texas 2.35, Chicago 2.30.
- Loss, 2–6 at Grand Rapids Griffins, Nov 4. Odds: Grand Rapids 1.91, Texas 3.00.
- Loss, 3–4 at Rockford IceHogs, Nov 1. Odds: Rockford 2.20, Texas 2.50.
- Win, 3–2 at Texas Stars, after a shootout, Nov 10. Odds: Texas 2.65, Manitoba 2.10.
- Win, 4–3 against Toronto Marlies, after overtime, Nov 7. Odds: Manitoba 2.05, Toronto 2.75.
- Win, 2–1 against Toronto Marlies, after overtime, Nov 6. Odds: Manitoba 2.05, Toronto 2.80.
- Win, 6–3 at Rockford IceHogs, Oct 30. Odds: Rockford 2.24, Manitoba 2.52.
- Loss, 0–3 at Milwaukee Admirals, Oct 28. Odds: Milwaukee 2.15, Manitoba 2.65.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Key insights
- Second game in two days for both teams — Texas Stars and Manitoba Moose played yesterday.
- 4-game winning streak for Manitoba Moose coming into this game.
- 5-0 in the last 5 meetings for Manitoba Moose.
- Goal differential gap of 1.9 per game — Texas Stars −1.3, Manitoba Moose +0.6 over their recent games.
- +0.9 goals at home — Texas Stars averaged 3.3 at home and 2.4 away this season.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (TEX) | 2.50 | 2.65 | Drifted |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.10 | 4.30 | Drifted |
| 1X2: 2 (MAN) | 2.29 | 2.10 | Shortened |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap TEX | +1.5 | +0.5 | Line moved |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
AHL standings
Regular Season · Central Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 22 | .786 | 56 | 35 | +21 | |
| 2 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 22 | .733 | 56 | 38 | +18 | |
| 3 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 16 | .615 | 33 | 28 | +5 | |
| 4 | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 15 | .469 | 42 | 47 | −5 | |
| 5 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 13 | .500 | 36 | 46 | −10 | |
| 6 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 11 | .423 | 33 | 43 | −10 | |
| 7 | 14 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 9 | .321 | 40 | 60 | −20 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Texas Stars host Manitoba Moose in the AHL on Wednesday, November 11, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.