Thurgau vs Olten Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Double chance Won

Olten or draw 1.60

Confidence68%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 63%

Full game

1X2WonOltenodds down 2.65Confidence 51%
Over/UnderWonO3.5odds down 1.30Confidence 71%
HandicapLostThurgau +1.5Confidence 66%
Winner (incl. OT)WonOltenodds down 2.02Confidence 58%
Best tip of the game: Double chanceWonOlten or drawodds down 1.60Confidence 68%
Draw no betWonOltenodds up 1.98Confidence 60%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds down 1.07Confidence 89%

1st period

1st period 1X2LostOlten2.85Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds down 2.17Confidence 54%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the odds drifted 3% since they opened; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Thurgau 23

Olten

Final 2–4

Total goalsTotal 5 Actual 6

Draw after 60 minDraw 20% Decided in regulation

OLT to winTo win 56% OLT won

Score details

Correct scoreLost2–3After 60 min2–44%chance
1st period correct scoreLost0–21st period1–07%chance
Highest scoring periodWon2nd periodMost goals2nd · 4 goals29%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 2-3
By period 0-2, 2-1, 0-0
Likeliest 2-3 (4%), 3-4 (3%), 4-5 (1%)

Season so far

This season

Season

Season record5-6-16-6-0

Home / road split2-2-12-3-0

StreakL1W4

Rest7 days7 days

Goals for2.44.3

Goals against3.43.9

In the standings6th4th

Head-to-head

Thurgau 14

Olten

Olten won four of the last five meetings

Goals a gameGoals 6.0 THU 2.4 · OLT 3.6

Over 5.5 goalsOver 5.5 3 of 5 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 1 of 5 1 in overtime

Oct 31, 2026: Olten 6, Thurgau 3.
Mar 6, 2026: Thurgau 1, Olten 2.
Mar 3, 2026: Olten 2, Thurgau 1.
Mar 1, 2026: Thurgau 4, Olten 3, after overtime.
Feb 27, 2026: Olten 5, Thurgau 3.

Last five games

Thurgau 2-3-0

Loss, 3–6 at Olten, Oct 31. Odds: Olten 1.98, Thurgau 2.75.
Win, 5–4 against Chur, Oct 29. Odds: Thurgau 2.25, Chur 2.45.
Loss, 2–5 against Basel, Oct 24. Odds: Thurgau 1.70, Basel 3.55.
Loss, 0–2 at Visp, Oct 17. Odds: Visp 1.75, Thurgau 3.57.
Win, 4–1 at Arosa, Oct 13. Odds: Arosa 4.07, Thurgau 1.57.

Olten 4-1-0

Win, 6–3 against Thurgau, Oct 31. Odds: Olten 1.98, Thurgau 2.75.
Win, 5–0 against Chur, Oct 24. Odds: Olten 2.35, Chur 2.25.
Win, 10–3 against Arosa, Oct 20. Odds: Olten 1.30, Arosa 6.30.
Win, 4–0 at Arosa, Oct 17. Odds: Arosa 4.75, Olten 1.48.
Loss, 2–4 at Sierre, Oct 13. Odds: Sierre 1.27, Olten 6.93.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period1-0

16:27 Goal PPG Thurgau: Okabe Z. assists: Murer F., Truog L. C. 1-0

2nd period1-3

02:37 Goal Olten: Kaser G. assists: Cattin Nolan, Sterchi S. 1-1
04:25 Goal PPG Olten: Horansky S. assists: Janett G., Asselin G. 1-2
04:54 Goal Thurgau: Derungs I. assists: Bohler N. 2-2
06:34 Goal Olten: Reinhard M. assists: Horansky S., Asselin G. 2-3

3rd period0-1

18:29 Goal PPG Olten: Asselin G. assists: Horansky S., Braillard L. 2-4

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

4-game winning streak for Olten coming into this game.
Odds moved: the odds on Olten dropped from 2.40 to 2.00 since they were first published.
The total moved up from 4.5 to 5.5 since it was first published.
4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Olten.
−0.9 goals away — Olten averaged 4.7 at home and 3.8 away this season.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (THU)	2.18	2.12	Shortened
1X2: X (draw)	4.15	4.25	Drifted
1X2: 2 (OLT)	2.50	2.55	Drifted
Over/Under line	4.5	5.5	Line raised
Handicap THU	−0.5	−0.5	No change

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

Swiss League standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Sierre	14	13	1	0	37	1.321	75	32	+43
2	Basel	14	10	2	2	31	1.107	51	40	+11
3	Visp	12	9	0	3	28	1.167	47	18	+29
4	Olten	14	8	6	0	24	.857	60	49	+11
5	La Chaux-de-Fonds	13	8	5	0	23	.885	53	40	+13
6	Thurgau	14	6	7	1	17	.607	36	48	−12
7	Chur	14	5	8	1	16	.571	44	49	−5
8	Bellinzona Snakes	14	4	8	2	13	.464	33	48	−15
9	Arosa	14	3	11	0	9	.321	25	73	−48
10	GCK Lions	15	3	10	2	9	.300	33	60	−27

Playoffs: Quarter-finals

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Thurgau vs Olten prediction