Tingsryd vs Mariestad Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Handicap Lost

Mariestad +2.5 1.30

Confidence75%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 62%

Full game

1X2LostMariestadodds down 3.15Confidence 51%
Over/UnderWonU7.5odds down 1.34Confidence 70%
Best tip of the game: HandicapLostMariestad +2.51.30Confidence 75%
Winner (incl. OT)LostMariestadodds down 2.22Confidence 51%
Double chanceLostMariestad or drawodds down 1.91Confidence 66%
Draw no betLostMariestad2.50Confidence 51%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.06Confidence 89%

1st period

1st period 1X2LostMariestadConfidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderWonO1.51.68Confidence 54%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; an edge above the model’s usual ceiling; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Tingsryd 23

Mariestad

Final 5–2

Total goalsTotal 5 Actual 7

Draw after 60 minDraw 22% Decided in regulation

MAR to winTo win 51% TIN won

Score details

Correct scoreLost2–3After 60 min5–23%chance
1st period correct scoreLost0–21st period2–16%chance
Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goalsTie · 1st & 2nd30%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 2-3
By period 0-2, 2-1, 0-0
Likeliest 2-3 (3%), 2-4 (3%), 1-4 (3%)

Season so far

This season

Season

Season record7-1-27-1-0

Home / road split4-0-13-0-0

StreakW7W1

Rest6 days4 days

Goals for4.45.4

Goals against2.52.4

In the standings2nd3rd

Head-to-head

Tingsryd 20

Mariestad

Tingsryd won two of the last two meetings

Goals a gameGoals 6.0 TIN 3.5 · MAR 2.5

Over 6.5 goalsOver 6.5 1 of 2 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 1 of 2 1 in a shootout

Jan 10, 2026: Tingsryd 4, Mariestad 3.
Oct 11, 2025: Mariestad 2, Tingsryd 3, after a shootout.

Last five games

Tingsryd 5-0-0

Win, 6–1 at Kungalvs, Oct 23. Odds: Kungalvs 7.40, Tingsryd 1.28.
Win, 9–1 against Vastervik, Oct 21. Odds: Tingsryd 1.36, Vastervik 5.90.
Win, 3–0 against Grastorps, Oct 18. Odds: Tingsryd 1.28, Grastorps 7.40.
Win, 4–2 against Tranas, Oct 16. Odds: Tingsryd 1.85, Tranas 3.20.
Win, 2–1 at Huddinge, after a shootout, Oct 11.

Mariestad 4-1-0

Win, 8–2 against Huddinge, Oct 25. Odds: Mariestad 1.47, Huddinge 4.65.
Loss, 1–2 against Vita Hasten, Oct 23. Odds: Mariestad 2.40, Vita Hasten 2.25.
Win, 5–2 at Kungalvs, Oct 18. Odds: Kungalvs 6.90, Mariestad 1.30.
Win, 3–2 against Boras, Oct 16. Odds: Mariestad 2.91, Boras 1.98.
Win, 7–4 against Vastervik, Oct 11.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period2-1

10:56 Goal PPG Tingsryd: Fransson W. assists: Nermark J., Johansson H. 1-0
15:38 Goal PPG Tingsryd: Johansson H. assists: Nermark J. 2-0
16:30 Goal Mariestad: Lindewall J. assists: Blomberg A., Noren G. 2-1

2nd period2-1

08:31 Goal Mariestad: Weino W. assists: Lundman A., Amundsen F. 2-2
11:51 Goal Tingsryd: Nermark J. assists: Fransson W., Persson L. 3-2
14:14 Goal Tingsryd: Hellerstedt I. assists: Nordmark E., Fransson W. 4-2

3rd period1-0

14:49 Goal Tingsryd: Nordmark E. assists: Persson A. 5-2

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

7-game winning streak for Tingsryd coming into this game.
Odds moved: the odds on Mariestad dropped from 2.52 to 2.22 since they were first published.
Rest advantage: 6 days off for Tingsryd, 4 for Mariestad.
4-0-1 at home for Tingsryd this season.
4-1-0 in the last five for Mariestad.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (TIN)	1.75	1.95	Drifted
1X2: X (draw)	4.40	4.25	Shortened
1X2: 2 (MAR)	3.35	2.80	Shortened
Over/Under line	6.5	6.5	No change
Handicap TIN	−1.5	−1.5	No change

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

HockeyEttan Sodra standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Boras	12	8	3	1	25	1.042	53	25	+28
2	Tingsryd	11	8	1	2	25	1.136	49	27	+22
3	Mariestad	10	8	2	0	23	1.150	51	28	+23
4	Karlskrona	10	9	1	0	23	1.150	34	16	+18
5	Vita Hasten	10	8	1	1	22	1.100	34	20	+14
6	Dalen	10	7	3	0	20	1.000	34	23	+11
7	Boro Vetlanda HC	11	7	3	1	19	.864	34	33	+1
8	Halmstad	10	6	3	1	18	.900	33	27	+6
9	Tranas	11	6	4	1	17	.773	34	36	−2
10	Vastervik	11	5	4	2	16	.727	41	43	−2
11	Huddinge	11	4	4	3	15	.682	27	33	−6
12	Tyringe	11	5	5	1	14	.636	36	34	+2
13	Hanvikens	11	4	5	2	14	.636	31	36	−5
14	Kungalvs	11	5	5	1	14	.636	33	42	−9
15	Mjolby	10	4	5	1	13	.650	33	32	+1
16	Troja/Ljungby	11	3	6	2	10	.455	30	47	−17
17	Morrums GoIS	11	3	8	0	9	.409	23	41	−18
18	Grastorps	11	3	8	0	9	.409	25	47	−22
19	Nykoping	11	2	6	3	9	.409	15	43	−28
20	Grums	10	2	8	0	6	.300	24	41	−17

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Play Out

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Tingsryd vs Mariestad prediction