Topolcany vs Nove Zamky prediction
Chance to win · 57% and 26% in regulation
Mirt D.Started5-3-1
Marinov M.Surprise startSV 86.6% · GAA 3.86 · 2-5-2All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 67%Full game
- 1X2LostTopolcanyodds up 1.68Confidence 60%
- Over/UnderWonU7.5odds down 1.39Confidence 70%
- HandicapWonNove Zamky +1.51.57Confidence 58%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostTopolcanyodds up 1.43Confidence 69%
- Double chanceLostTopolcany or drawodds up 1.24Confidence 76%
- Best tip of the game: Draw no betLostTopolcanyodds up 1.37Confidence 72%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.05Confidence 89%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostTopolcanyodds up 2.15Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds up 1.62Confidence 57%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Topolcany 3–2
Nove Zamky Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min2–43%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period1–19%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon2nd periodMost goals2nd · 3 goals29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 2-0, 1-2, 0-0
- Likeliest 3-2 (3%), 4-3 (3%), 2-1 (2%)
Season so far
This seasonTopolcany
Nove Zamky
Head-to-head
Topolcany 3–2
Nove Zamky - Sep 16, 2026: Nove Zamky 6, Topolcany 4.
- Jan 28, 2026: Topolcany 6, Nove Zamky 1.
- Dec 19, 2025: Nove Zamky 1, Topolcany 4.
- Nov 2, 2025: Nove Zamky 8, Topolcany 4.
- Sep 26, 2025: Topolcany 3, Nove Zamky 1.
Last five games
Topolcany
2-2-1 - Loss, 0–2 at Trnava, Oct 21. Odds: Trnava 2.08, Topolcany 2.65.
- Win, 5–2 at HK Levice, Oct 18. Odds: Levice 2.23, Topolcany 2.37.
- Loss, 3–4 against TEBS Bratislava, Oct 16. Odds: Topolcany 1.79, TEBS Bratislava 3.28.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 at Martin, after a shootout, Oct 9. Odds: Martin 1.53, Topolcany 4.40.
- Win, 4–1 against Slovakia U18, Oct 8.
Nove Zamky
1-2-2 - Overtime loss, 2–3 at HK Levice, after overtime, Oct 21. Odds: Levice 2.08, Nove Zamky 2.65.
- Loss, 1–2 against Skalica, Oct 18. Odds: Nove Zamky 3.45, Skalica 1.67.
- Win, 3–1 at Trnava, Oct 16. Odds: Trnava 1.76, Nove Zamky 3.26.
- Loss, 4–5 at Ziar nad Hronom, Oct 9. Odds: Ziar nad Hronom 1.52, Nove Zamky 4.45.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 against HC 19 Humenne, after a shootout, Oct 7.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-1
- 14:08 Goal Topolcany: Hruska M. assists: Bajzik M., Habermann J. 1-0
- 16:40 Goal Nove Zamky: Hajnik D. assists: Ondrusek R. 1-1
2nd period1-2
- 05:07 Goal PPG Topolcany: Ozvald A. assists: Becka P., Benko M. 2-1
- 06:38 Goal Nove Zamky: Tinling D. assists: Belchamber A., Dowhaniuk L. 2-2
- 09:17 Goal PPG Nove Zamky: Belchamber A. assists: Melicher B., Tinling D. 2-3
3rd period0-1
- 19:18 Goal Nove Zamky: Kodhaj D. assists: Meszaros A. 2-4
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Surprise in goal: Marinov M. started for Nove Zamky, not Hamran J..
- 1-3-1 away for Nove Zamky this season.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Topolcany.
- 1-2-2 in the last five for Nove Zamky.
- 7.6 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 6.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (TOP) | 1.75 | 1.75 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.45 | 4.45 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (NOV) | 3.35 | 3.35 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 6.5 | 6.5 | No change |
| Handicap TOP | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
1. Liga standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  HC 19 Humenne |
15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 1.100 | 50 | 34 | +16 |
| 2 |  Martin |
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 29 | 1.036 | 58 | 42 | +16 |
| 3 |  Skalica |
15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 27 | .900 | 61 | 45 | +16 |
| 4 |  Ziar nad Hronom |
15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 27 | .900 | 49 | 39 | +10 |
| 5 |  Dubnica |
15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 26 | .867 | 61 | 57 | +4 |
| 6 |  TEBS Bratislava |
15 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 24 | .800 | 47 | 48 | −1 |
| 7 |  HK Detva |
15 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 22 | .733 | 47 | 42 | +5 |
| 8 | Nove Zamky |
14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 22 | .786 | 53 | 52 | +1 |
| 9 | Topolcany |
15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 21 | .700 | 51 | 48 | +3 |
| 10 |  Trnava |
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 19 | .679 | 37 | 40 | −3 |
| 11 |  HK Levice |
16 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 18 | .563 | 47 | 58 | −11 |
| 12 |  Povazska Bystrica |
15 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 8 | .267 | 31 | 54 | −23 |
| 13 |  Slovakia U18 |
8 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 3 | .188 | 8 | 41 | −33 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Relegation
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Topolcany host Nove Zamky in the 1. Liga on Friday, October 23, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.