Topolcany vs Povazska Bystrica prediction
Chance to win · 71% and 15% in regulation
Irsak J.Surprise start1-3-0
Vojvoda M.Started1-8-1All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 73%Full game
- 1X2LostTopolcanyodds up 1.52Confidence 72%
- Over/UnderWonO4.5odds down 1.38Confidence 71%
- HandicapLostTopolcany -1.51.78Confidence 65%
- Banker of the day: Winner (incl. OT)LostTopolcany1.32Confidence 93%
- Double chanceLostTopolcany or drawodds down 1.17Confidence 85%
- Draw no betLostTopolcany1.25Confidence 83%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds down 1.10Confidence 84%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonTopolcanyodds down 2.04Confidence 52%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds down 1.81Confidence 55%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The banker is the day’s best bet at short odds, not its surest result. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Topolcany 4–1
Pov. Bystrica Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–1After 60 min2–57%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period1–011%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · 2nd & 3rd28%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-1
- By period 2-0, 0-0, 2-1
- Likeliest 4-1 (7%), 5-2 (6%), 4-2 (4%)
Season so far
This seasonTopolcany
Povazska Bystrica
Head-to-head
Topolcany 5–0
Pov. Bystrica - Sep 25, 2026: Povazska Bystrica 3, Topolcany 6.
- Feb 24, 2026: Topolcany 4, Povazska Bystrica 1.
- Feb 23, 2026: Topolcany 4, Povazska Bystrica 3.
- Jan 20, 2026: Povazska Bystrica 4, Topolcany 7.
- Dec 7, 2025: Topolcany 4, Povazska Bystrica 1.
Last five games
Topolcany
1-4-0 - Loss, 3–5 at Dubnica, Oct 28. Odds: Dubnica 1.67, Topolcany 3.55.
- Loss, 2–4 against Nove Zamky, Oct 23. Odds: Topolcany 1.75, Nove Zamky 3.35.
- Loss, 0–2 at Trnava, Oct 21. Odds: Trnava 2.08, Topolcany 2.65.
- Win, 5–2 at HK Levice, Oct 18. Odds: Levice 2.23, Topolcany 2.37.
- Loss, 3–4 against TEBS Bratislava, Oct 16. Odds: Topolcany 1.79, TEBS Bratislava 3.28.
Pov. Bystrica
2-2-1 - Loss, 0–3 against TEBS Bratislava, Oct 27. Odds: Pov. Bystrica 2.65, TEBS Bratislava 2.05.
- Win, 1–0 against Ziar nad Hronom, after a shootout, Oct 23. Odds: Pov. Bystrica 3.90, Ziar nad Hronom 1.62.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 at HC 19 Humenne, after overtime, Oct 21. Odds: Humenne 1.20, Pov. Bystrica 9.50.
- Win, 3–2 against HK Detva, after a shootout, Oct 18. Odds: Pov. Bystrica 2.21, Detva 2.41.
- Loss, 4–5 at Dubnica, Oct 16. Odds: Dubnica 1.21, Pov. Bystrica 8.31.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-0
- 06:44 Goal Topolcany: Simoncic J. assists: Piacka E., Ejem M. 1-0
2nd period1-2
- 14:09 Goal PPG Povazska Bystrica: Pisoja J. assists: Melcher P., Ligas P. 1-1
- 16:02 Goal Topolcany: Hurtaj T. assists: Danielcak T., Benko M. 2-1
- 19:55 Goal Povazska Bystrica: Durkech L. assists: Pobezal M. 2-2
3rd period0-3
- 00:25 Goal Povazska Bystrica: Linet J. assists: Durkech L., Galimov B. 2-3
- 08:26 Goal SHG Povazska Bystrica: Rehak S. assists: Stefanik A. 2-4
- 19:59 Goal Povazska Bystrica: Rehak S. assists: Durkech J. 2-5
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Surprise in goal: Irsak J. started for Topolcany, not Mirt D..
- 3-game losing streak for Topolcany coming into this game.
- 0-5-1 away for Povazska Bystrica this season.
- 5-0 in the last 5 meetings for Topolcany.
- 7.4 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (TOP) | 1.53 | 1.53 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.55 | 4.55 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (POV) | 4.40 | 4.40 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap TOP | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
1. Liga standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  HC 19 Humenne |
15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 1.100 | 50 | 34 | +16 |
| 2 |  Martin |
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 29 | 1.036 | 58 | 42 | +16 |
| 3 |  Skalica |
15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 27 | .900 | 61 | 45 | +16 |
| 4 |  Ziar nad Hronom |
15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 27 | .900 | 49 | 39 | +10 |
| 5 |  Dubnica |
15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 26 | .867 | 61 | 57 | +4 |
| 6 |  TEBS Bratislava |
15 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 24 | .800 | 47 | 48 | −1 |
| 7 |  HK Detva |
15 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 22 | .733 | 47 | 42 | +5 |
| 8 |  Nove Zamky |
14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 22 | .786 | 53 | 52 | +1 |
| 9 | Topolcany |
15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 21 | .700 | 51 | 48 | +3 |
| 10 |  Trnava |
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 19 | .679 | 37 | 40 | −3 |
| 11 |  HK Levice |
16 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 18 | .563 | 47 | 58 | −11 |
| 12 | Povazska Bystrica |
15 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 8 | .267 | 31 | 54 | −23 |
| 13 |  Slovakia U18 |
8 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 3 | .188 | 8 | 41 | −33 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Relegation
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Topolcany host Povazska Bystrica in the 1. Liga on Friday, October 30, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.