Toronto Maple Leafs vs New Jersey Devils prediction
Toronto Maple Leafs 0–, New Jersey Devils 4
FT
Puck drop 19:00 ET
1X2 odds down 3.101X2 odds up 1.96
Scotiabank Arena (Toronto, ON) · USAScotiabank Arena (Toronto, ON)
Team
1st
2nd
3rd
TOR
0
0
0
NJD
0
2
2
51%Toronto win · 40% in regulationTOR
Overtime or shootout · 22%OT / SO 22%
49%New Jersey win · 38% in regulationNJD
Chance to win · 40% and 38% in regulation
Best tip of the gameBest tip
Handicap
Lost
Maple Leafs +1.5
odds up 1.45
Confidence69%
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 60%Full game
- 1X2LostMaple Leafsodds up 2.85Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonU6.5odds down 1.62Confidence 55%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapLostMaple Leafs +1.5odds up 1.45Confidence 69%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostMaple Leafsodds up 2.14Confidence 51%
- Double chanceLostMaple Leafs or drawodds up 1.62Confidence 66%
- Draw no betLostMaple Leafsodds up 2.20Confidence 52%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)LostYes1.07Confidence 89%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostMaple Leafsodds up 3.00Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds down 1.71Confidence 56%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Maple Leafs 4–1
Devils
Total goalsTotal
5
Actual 4
Draw after 60 minDraw
22%
Decided in regulation
Toronto to winTo win
51%
NJD won
Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–1After 60 min0–43%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period0–07%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · 2nd & 3rd30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-1
- By period 2-0, 0-0, 2-1
- Likeliest 4-1 (4%), 4-2 (3%), 3-2 (3%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent form
Season
Toronto Maple Leafs
New Jersey Devils
Toronto Maple Leafs
New Jersey Devils
Season recordToronto Maple Leafs 8-8-2New Jersey Devils 12-5-0
Home / road splitToronto Maple Leafs 4-5-1New Jersey Devils 4-3-0
StreakToronto Maple Leafs L2New Jersey Devils W4
RestToronto Maple Leafs Back-to-backNew Jersey Devils Back-to-back
Goals forToronto Maple Leafs 3.6New Jersey Devils 3.6
Goals againstToronto Maple Leafs 3.3New Jersey Devils 3.0
In the standingsToronto Maple Leafs 12thNew Jersey Devils 4th
Per game · last 10 each
Goal differential per gameToronto Maple Leafs +0.4New Jersey Devils +1.0
Goals forToronto Maple Leafs 3.6New Jersey Devils 3.8
Goals againstToronto Maple Leafs 3.2New Jersey Devils 2.8
Shots on goalToronto Maple Leafs 28.3New Jersey Devils 32.8
Shots againstToronto Maple Leafs 28.5New Jersey Devils 24.7
Shooting %Toronto Maple Leafs 12.7%New Jersey Devils 11.6%
Save %Toronto Maple Leafs 89.8%New Jersey Devils 88.7%
Power-play %Toronto Maple Leafs 22.2%New Jersey Devils 13.9%
Penalty kill %Toronto Maple Leafs 84.4%New Jersey Devils 71.4%
Faceoff %Toronto Maple Leafs 52.0%New Jersey Devils 48.8%
Penalty minutesToronto Maple Leafs 11.0New Jersey Devils 5.6
HitsToronto Maple Leafs 21.8New Jersey Devils 18.5
Blocked shotsToronto Maple Leafs 9.2New Jersey Devils 14.9
Per game · TOR at home, NJD away
Goal differential per gameToronto Maple Leafs −0.4New Jersey Devils −0.1
Goals forToronto Maple Leafs 2.8New Jersey Devils 3.2
Goals againstToronto Maple Leafs 3.2New Jersey Devils 3.3
Shots on goalToronto Maple Leafs 30.4New Jersey Devils 31.0
Shots againstToronto Maple Leafs 27.8New Jersey Devils 26.1
Shooting %Toronto Maple Leafs 9.2%New Jersey Devils 10.3%
Save %Toronto Maple Leafs 88.8%New Jersey Devils 87.4%
Power-play %Toronto Maple Leafs 24.3%New Jersey Devils 9.1%
Penalty kill %Toronto Maple Leafs 87.1%New Jersey Devils 81.8%
Faceoff %Toronto Maple Leafs 50.6%New Jersey Devils 46.1%
Penalty minutesToronto Maple Leafs 6.5New Jersey Devils 7.4
HitsToronto Maple Leafs 19.9New Jersey Devils 17.1
Blocked shotsToronto Maple Leafs 10.7New Jersey Devils 15.6
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Maple Leafs 3–2
Devils
Goals a gameGoals
5.6
TOR 3.0 · NJD 2.6
Over 6.0 goalsOver 6.0
3 of 5
This game’s line
Past 60 minutesOvertime
3 of 5
2 in overtime · 1 in a shootout
- Mar 4, 2026: New Jersey Devils 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 3, after a shootout.
- Dec 30, 2025: Toronto Maple Leafs 4, New Jersey Devils 0.
- Oct 21, 2025: Toronto Maple Leafs 2, New Jersey Devils 5.
- Jan 16, 2025: Toronto Maple Leafs 4, New Jersey Devils 3, after overtime.
- Dec 10, 2024: New Jersey Devils 1, Toronto Maple Leafs 2, after overtime.
Last five games
Maple Leafs
1-4-0 - Loss, 2–4 against Montreal Canadiens, Nov 7. Odds: Maple Leafs 2.70, Canadiens 2.15.
- Loss, 2–3 against Utah Mammoth, Nov 3. Odds: Maple Leafs 2.90, Mammoth 1.96.
- Win, 4–2 at Vancouver Canucks, Oct 31. Odds: Canucks 3.80, Maple Leafs 1.70.
- Loss, 4–5 at Seattle Kraken, Oct 28. Odds: Kraken 2.75, Maple Leafs 2.10.
- Loss, 2–5 at Calgary Flames, Oct 26. Odds: Flames 2.85, Maple Leafs 2.05.
Devils
4-1-0 - Win, 5–4 at New York Islanders, after overtime, Nov 7. Odds: Islanders 2.80, Devils 2.05.
- Win, 5–4 against St. Louis Blues, after overtime, Nov 5. Odds: Devils 1.62, Blues 4.20.
- Win, 4–3 against Edmonton Oilers, after a shootout, Nov 3. Odds: Devils 2.04, Oilers 3.14.
- Win, 5–2 at Vegas Golden Knights, Oct 30. Odds: Golden Knights 2.40, Devils 2.40.
- Loss, 2–5 at Colorado Avalanche, Oct 28. Odds: Avalanche 1.96, Devils 3.10.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-0
- 09:20 2 min Toronto Maple Leafs: Cowan E. Slashing
2nd period0-2
- 08:28 Goal New Jersey Devils: Meier T. assists: Chisholm D., Hischier N. 0-1
- 12:44 Goal New Jersey Devils: Meier T. assists: Hughes J., Bratt J. 0-2
3rd period0-2
- 04:44 2 min Toronto Maple Leafs: Matthews A. Tripping
- 08:41 2 min Toronto Maple Leafs: Ekman-Larsson O. Tripping
- 09:49 Goal PPG New Jersey Devils: Hischier N. assists: Hughes J., Bratt J. 0-3
- 16:08 2 min New Jersey Devils: Hamilton D. Tripping
- 16:08 2 min Toronto Maple Leafs: Cowan E. Roughing
- 17:23 Goal ENG New Jersey Devils: Brown C. assists: Glass C. 0-4
- 19:00 2 min New Jersey Devils: Evangelista L. Roughing
- 19:00 2 min New Jersey Devils: Meier T. Roughing
- 19:00 2 min Toronto Maple Leafs: Duhaime B. Roughing
- 19:00 2 min Toronto Maple Leafs: Paul N. Roughing
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Second game in two days for both teams — Toronto Maple Leafs and New Jersey Devils played yesterday.
- 4-game winning streak for New Jersey Devils coming into this game.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Toronto Maple Leafs.
- 1-4-0 in the last five for Toronto Maple Leafs.
- 5.6 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 6.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (TOR) | 3.20 | 3.10 | Shortened |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.20 | 4.25 | Drifted |
| 1X2: 2 (NJD) | 1.91 | 1.96 | Drifted |
| Over/Under line | 6 | 6 | No change |
| Handicap TOR | +1.5 | +1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
NHL standings
Regular Season · Eastern Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Carolina Hurricanes |
19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 30 | .789 | 78 | 45 | +33 |
| 2 |  Boston Bruins |
18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 27 | .750 | 68 | 41 | +27 |
| 3 |  Montreal Canadiens |
18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 26 | .722 | 62 | 55 | +7 |
| 4 | New Jersey Devils |
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 26 | .684 | 68 | 55 | +13 |
| 5 |  Tampa Bay Lightning |
17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 24 | .706 | 63 | 53 | +10 |
| 6 |  Ottawa Senators |
19 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 24 | .632 | 60 | 57 | +3 |
| 7 |  Florida Panthers |
19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 22 | .579 | 60 | 56 | +4 |
| 8 |  New York Rangers |
19 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 21 | .553 | 56 | 55 | +1 |
| 9 |  Washington Capitals |
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 20 | .625 | 56 | 53 | +3 |
| 10 |  Buffalo Sabres |
17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 19 | .559 | 50 | 57 | −7 |
| 11 |  New York Islanders |
17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 18 | .529 | 49 | 52 | −3 |
| 12 | Toronto Maple Leafs |
20 | 8 | 10 | 2 | 18 | .450 | 67 | 70 | −3 |
| 13 |  Detroit Red Wings |
19 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 17 | .447 | 51 | 59 | −8 |
| 14 |  Philadelphia Flyers |
20 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 15 | .375 | 45 | 66 | −21 |
| 15 |  Columbus Blue Jackets |
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 14 | .438 | 41 | 51 | −10 |
| 16 |  Pittsburgh Penguins |
18 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 14 | .389 | 58 | 65 | −7 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Toronto Maple Leafs host New Jersey Devils in the NHL on Sunday, November 8, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.