Toronto Maple Leafs vs Utah Mammoth Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Handicap Won

Maple Leafs +1.5 1.42

Confidence70%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 62%

Full game

1X2LostMaple Leafsodds up 2.70Confidence 51%
Over/UnderWonU7.5odds up 1.41Confidence 68%
Best tip of the game: HandicapWonMaple Leafs +1.5odds up 1.42Confidence 70%
Winner (incl. OT)LostMaple Leafsodds up 2.06Confidence 54%
Double chanceLostMaple Leafs or drawodds up 1.64Confidence 66%
Draw no betLostMaple Leafsodds up 2.10Confidence 55%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.05Confidence 89%

1st period

1st period 1X2LostMaple Leafsodds up 2.90Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds down 1.64Confidence 57%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Maple Leafs 52

Mammoth

Final 2–3

Total goalsTotal 7 Actual 5

Draw after 60 minDraw 22% Decided in regulation

Toronto to winTo win 53% UTA won

Score details

Correct scoreLost5–2After 60 min2–34%chance
1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period0–17%chance
Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · 2nd & 3rd30%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 5-2
By period 2-0, 1-1, 2-1
Likeliest 5-2 (4%), 4-1 (3%), 4-2 (3%)

Team stats

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Possession & hits

Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record8-6-29-6-0

Home / road split4-3-15-4-0

StreakW1L1

Rest2 days1 day

Goals for3.83.6

Goals against3.33.5

In the standings7th5th

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game+0.5−0.2

Goals for4.03.6

Goals against3.53.8

Shots on goal28.228.5

Shots against28.325.2

Shooting %14.2%12.6%

Save %88.7%85.7%

Power-play %26.8%23.8%

Penalty kill %91.7%74.4%

Faceoff %53.6%54.7%

Penalty minutes11.911.2

Blocked shots8.016.4

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Head-to-head

Maple Leafs 32

Mammoth

Toronto won three of the last five meetings

Goals a gameGoals 7.2 TOR 3.4 · UTA 3.8

Over 6.5 goalsOver 6.5 4 of 5 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 1 of 5 1 in a shootout

Oct 13, 2026: Utah Mammoth 5, Toronto Maple Leafs 4.
Jan 13, 2026: Utah Mammoth 6, Toronto Maple Leafs 1.
Nov 5, 2025: Toronto Maple Leafs 5, Utah Mammoth 3.
Mar 10, 2025: Utah Mammoth 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 4, after a shootout.
Nov 24, 2024: Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Utah Mammoth 2.

Last five games

Maple Leafs 3-2-0

Win, 4–2 at Vancouver Canucks, Oct 31. Odds: Canucks 3.80, Maple Leafs 1.70.
Loss, 4–5 at Seattle Kraken, Oct 28. Odds: Kraken 2.75, Maple Leafs 2.10.
Loss, 2–5 at Calgary Flames, Oct 26. Odds: Flames 2.85, Maple Leafs 2.05.
Win, 7–2 at Edmonton Oilers, Oct 24. Odds: Oilers 1.96, Maple Leafs 3.00.
Win, 5–4 against New York Rangers, Oct 22. Odds: Maple Leafs 2.45, Rangers 2.30.

Mammoth 2-3-0

Loss, 3–6 at Philadelphia Flyers, Nov 1. Odds: Flyers 3.13, Mammoth 1.99.
Win, 4–3 at Pittsburgh Penguins, after overtime, Oct 29. Odds: Penguins 2.85, Mammoth 2.05.
Loss, 1–3 against Minnesota Wild, Oct 27. Odds: Mammoth 2.25, Wild 2.55.
Win, 5–4 against Tampa Bay Lightning, after overtime, Oct 24. Odds: Mammoth 2.01, Lightning 2.90.
Loss, 3–5 at Seattle Kraken, Oct 22. Odds: Kraken 3.50, Mammoth 1.76.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period0-1

05:47 2 min Utah Mammoth: O'Brien L. Hooking
12:10 2 min Utah Mammoth: Schmaltz N. Hooking
18:58 2 min Toronto Maple Leafs: Roslovic J. Hooking
19:47 Goal PPG Utah Mammoth: Guenther D. assists: Sergachyov M., Keller C. 0-1

2nd period1-1

10:20 Goal Toronto Maple Leafs: Roslovic J. assists: Matthews A. 1-1
13:42 Goal Utah Mammoth: Peeke A. assists: Keller C., Lee A. 1-2
17:45 2 min Toronto Maple Leafs: Paul N. Hooking

3rd period1-1

09:05 Goal Toronto Maple Leafs: Roslovic J. assists: Matthews A., Rielly M. 2-2
11:42 2 min Toronto Maple Leafs: Raddysh D. Cross checking
13:12 Goal PPG Utah Mammoth: Schmaltz N. assists: Keller C., Sergachyov M. 2-3

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

In goal: Bobrovsky S. for Toronto Maple Leafs (3-5-2 in the last 10 starts), Cossa S. for Utah Mammoth (4-2-1 in the last 7 starts).
The total moved up from 5.5 to 6.5 since it was first published.
3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Toronto Maple Leafs.
Power play vs penalty kill: 26.8% on the power play for Toronto Maple Leafs, 74.4% on the penalty kill for Utah Mammoth.
Save % gap: Toronto Maple Leafs 88.7%, Utah Mammoth 85.7% over their recent games.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (TOR)	2.90	2.90	No change
1X2: X (draw)	4.50	4.50	No change
1X2: 2 (UTA)	1.96	1.96	No change
Over/Under line	5.5	6.5	Line raised
Handicap TOR	+1.5	+1.5	No change

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

NHL standings

Regular Season · Atlantic Division

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Boston Bruins	18	13	4	1	27	.750	68	41	+27
2	Montreal Canadiens	18	11	3	4	26	.722	62	55	+7
3	Tampa Bay Lightning	17	11	4	2	24	.706	63	53	+10
4	Ottawa Senators	19	11	6	2	24	.632	60	57	+3
5	Florida Panthers	19	10	7	2	22	.579	60	56	+4
6	Buffalo Sabres	17	8	6	3	19	.559	50	57	−7
7	Toronto Maple Leafs	20	8	10	2	18	.450	67	70	−3
8	Detroit Red Wings	19	7	9	3	17	.447	51	59	−8

Regular Season · Central Division

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Minnesota Wild	20	13	3	4	30	.750	65	44	+21
2	Colorado Avalanche	19	11	6	2	24	.632	78	59	+19
3	Nashville Predators	18	9	4	5	23	.639	55	51	+4
4	Dallas Stars	17	10	5	2	22	.647	49	41	+8
5	Utah Mammoth	18	10	7	1	21	.583	63	63	0
6	Winnipeg Jets	19	8	8	3	19	.500	53	65	−12
7	St. Louis Blues	18	8	8	2	18	.500	53	55	−2
8	Chicago Blackhawks	18	4	13	1	9	.250	39	76	−37

Playoffs

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Utah Mammoth prediction

All predictions

Full game

1st period

Predicted final score

Score details